What parents need to do about fentanyl. Before it kills their children.

 Six out of ten sample pills bought from street drug dealers contain enough fentanyl to kill.  Your children need to know this.  The MSM doesn’t talk about it, so unless you, the parent, pass the word to your children, they won’t know. Taking just one pill bought from a street drug dealer has a 60% chance to killing the child, right then and there. 

   The few times the MSM mention this tragedy they call it “a drug overdose”, implying that the victim took too much of the drug.  Better is to call it deliberate poisoning, because the drug dealer sold the child a pill with a lethal dose of fentanyl in it and when the child swallowed that one pill, it killed him. 

    If the children just have to get high, they should stick to alcohol or weed.  Neither of them is good for the kids, but they won’t kill them as quickly as fentanyl laced pills from the street will.  And, if the children just have to get high, they ought to do it in their rooms (dorm rooms) and not be out driving.  Just one can of beer can discombobulate a beginning driver and cause a fatal car accident. 

Biden’s State of the Union fails to impress.

 I stayed up and watched it to the end.  Biden ran on for an hour and twenty.  Biden failed to explain what he would do in a second term to pull the country out of it’s tailspin into the ground.  Biden did make a lot of claims that sounded false to me.  And he complained about stuff well within his powers to fix, without saying he would bother to fix them.  He complained about corporations who make serious money but paid no federal income tax.  That’s caused by a tax code loaded with loopholes, and an IRS that doesn’t audit the big boy’s tax returns.  Biden could fix both of these problems with executive orders or acts of Congress.  Biden said nothing about keeping Chinese recon balloons out of US airspace, or having a US Navy strong enough to keep the Chinese communists out of Taiwan. Biden apparently plans to continue current lefty greenie policies that give us $5 a gallon gasoline, $10 a dozen eggs and $10 a pound bacon. 

Balloons.

The Chinese have flown a sizable balloon over the continental US.  The Chinese admit to ownership.  They launched it from Chinese territory and it crossed the Pacific, entered Canada, and last was heard from drifting across Montana.  The TV newsies have been going ape over it. 

 

The military has discouraged attempts to shoot it down, claiming that falling balloon pieces might hit innocent bystanders on the ground.  I have a little trouble believing that. Montana has a lot of prairie that doesn’t care what falls on it.  It isn’t the way things are in the middle of say New York City.

 

So far, the balloon looks like a civilian weather balloon.  Shooting it down, although attractive, is close to shooting down a civilian airliner that got lost and violated Soviet airspace, which happened maybe 10 years ago.  The Russians took a lot of flak over that.

 

Government briefers have implied that the balloon is maneuverable, implying it has an engine.  I don’t really believe that.  I suspect it is just a free balloon that goes where the winds blow it.  Prevailing winds over the US blow from West to East.  Give the balloon a few days and it will blow out into the Atlantic. 

 

If we really want to show the Chinese that we disapprove of balloons over the US, we can launch a few of our own balloons to drift over China. 

 

 

 

Global Warming

 It is 8 degrees this morning up in Franconia Notch.  I am listening to Biden saying that climate change is the most serious threat faced by mankind.  That sounds foolish to me on a morning this cold. 

How much does Patriot really cost???

Does the Patriot anti aircraft missile system really cost $1 billion per system?  A Patriot system consists of a tracked vehicle to carry the missiles and the radar, 6 or maybe 8 missiles and good radar.  They sell tanks for like $50 million and a tank carries an expensive high power gun that Patriot doesn’t need.  The missiles ought to go for $10 million or so.  The radar would be a phased array type, which is pricey, may $20 million. 

   Add it all up and we have a price tag of $150 million.   That’s not cheap, but is a whole bunch less than $1 billion which is the cost of a Patriot system according to the TV. 

   It would be nice if some newsies checked out the costs on Patriot.  If newsies can count that high. 

 

Baldwin either did not know or did not comply.

 When you pick up a gun, any gun, even your own gun, you check it for being loaded.  Pop out the magazine, swing out the cylinder, look in the chamber to be sure no live rounds are lurking therein.  Basic rule of gun safety.  I learned it at summer camp when I was twelve. 

   Looks like Alex Baldwin did not comply.  The TV doesn't talk about that much. 

The Federal Debt Limit

 It’s a law (buried somewhere in DC) that sets a limit to how much the US Treasury can borrow.  Lately US taxes have been high enough to pay 60% of federal spending.  The Treasury borrows the other 40% to pay the rest of the bills.  Now that we have hit the debt limit, and there is a good chance the Republicans will refuse to raise it, the Treasury is limited to selling off various assets.  Treasury secretary Janet Yellen has said this will keep paying the federal government’s bills until June of this year.

   Last time this happened, maybe ten years ago, the government shut all the national parks and laid off all the “non essential” government workers.   This went on for some months.  It didn’t bother me.  My mail still got delivered, Air Traffic Control kept the airlines flying, I wasn’t expecting an income tax refund so putting the IRS on furlough was OK by me, and Cannon Mountain is a state run park, not federal. 

   This time maybe we could do some belt tightening to keep the federal deficit down. Like laying off those “non essential” bureaucrats for good.  Cut appropriations for the FBI, CPSC, FAA, CIA, FEC and others in half.  Look at military spending.  See what we can do to end “gold plating” of weapons systems, and improve the ratio of “tooth to tail” of all branches.  And Congress critters and their staffs don’t get paid until the budget is balanced somehow, more layoffs or more borrowing or something.   

    

Fireball Cinnimon Whisky

 I had read somewhere that Fireball was the best selling whisky all over New Hampshire.  So, to see what it was I bought a tiny bottle at the State liquor store.  I mixed it with ice and club soda.  The result was not happy.  It had a sweet taste, like sherry.  Quite strong actually.  Not like the whiskey I usually drink which has a hard to describe flavor.  It's good that I bought a really small bottle of Fireball. 

What happened to the Neanderthals?

   It used to be that carbon 14 dating of Neanderthal sites and modern human sites showed a 20,000 to 30,000 year overlap.  The Neanderthals were believed to had co existed with modern humans in Europe for 20 or 30 thousand years. 

    Then there was a recalibration of the Carbon 14 data that showed the Neanderthal sites disappeared about the same time that sites of modern men appeared.  Which leads to the obvious conclusion that Neanderthals lost the competition with modern man and were wiped out.  Unpleasant idea, but likely.

Carbon 14 data is tricky.  Energetic particles from the Sun and cosmic rays strike ordinary Carbon 12, and turn it into radioactive Carbon 14.  This has a half life of 14 thousand years, a good long time.  Living organisms take in both sorts of carbon.  When the organism dies it stops taking in carbon.  By measuring the radioactivity from the carbon 14 in the organic material we can tell how many years has passed since the organism died.  It’s a delicate measurement; the radioactivity of the Carbon 14 is not very strong, compared to say Uranium.   It gets even weaker as time goes by, 14 thousand years, Carbon 14 half life, reduces the radiation by half. 

  I am not hep to just how the Carbon 14 dating was adjusted, but the result moved the oldest Neanderthal sites back 20 to 30 thousand years, putting then up again modern men moving into Europe. 

 

 

 

How many more pieces of classified will turn up?

 So far we have four separate stashes of classified on Biden owned houses or rented offices.  Wanna bet some more classified will surface shortly?

1917 (Movie title) 2019 (date movie released)

In the height to World War I (1917 was the last full year of the war, armistice was declared in November 1918). Two British infantry men are sent on an important mission to deliver orders calling off an attack planned for the next morning.  The movie starts with long long shots of our two heroes striding thru trenches, walking across no man’s land, walking across a green pasture with a couple of cows grazing is it.  Scenery is not all that pretty and nothing happens. 

   While hiding our in a ruined barn watching a dog fight, one of the planes crashes right into the barn.  They pull the pilot out of the burning wreck.  Dunno what the Kaiser told his pilots, but this one, after they save his life, pulls out a gun and shoots one of them.  His buddy puts some rifle bullets into the German pilot and then comforts his buddy as the buddy dies in his arms. 

   The survivor does eventually make it to the unit he set out for and delivers the written orders canceling the attack.  End of movie.

    I was not impressed.  The protagonists never do anything memorable, they just act as targets.  They do a lot of walking, and hitch a ride on and army truck, but this isn’t all the interesting.    

Notices to Airmen.

 That’s what they were called back in the 1960’s when I was serving in the Air Force.  They listed things pilots needed to know before a mission, things like closed runways, Military flying exercises, new high tension power lines.  I hear our transportation secretary had the time to rename the Notice to Air Missions.  Airmen was too sexist for Mr. Buttigieg.  While having time to fiddle with the name, he did not have time to make sure the system was in good enough shape to continue producing NOTAMs to pilots.  I am so glad Mr. Buttigieg is so woke as to change names but not make sure the system works. 

In the Air Force we never took classified home.

 My Air Force service was in the 1960’s.  Each office in the unit had a safe for classified.  If I needed to read a piece of classified, I went to the unit office.  The NCOIC (NCO in Charge) would open the safe.  I would sit and read the classified in the office.  When finished I would hand the classified back to the NCOIC and he would lock it in the safe.  We never took classified out of the office, let alone home. 

  The TV news is chewing over Biden's (and Trump’s) numerous stashes of classified at the former President’s and serving president’s homes.  We would not have allowed that in the Air Force when I was serving.

Gas Stoves

Speaking as a cook, gas stoves are far better than electric stoves.  Gas stoves are hotter, boil water faster.  Turn down the heat on a gas stove and the heat goes down, right now.  Turn down the heat on an electric stove and a long time goes by, burning your food, before anything useful happens, like the heat going down. 

   Gas burns clean, far cleaner that the wood fires that heated human’s caves for 500,000 years in the past.  Far cleaner than smoke from a cigarette, of heaven help us smoke from, a cigar.

  Gas stoves use almost all of the heat energy in the gas to heat the food.  Electric stoves only use 40% (at best).  Back in the electric plant fuel is burned to make steam to turn steam engines that drive the electric generators.  Hot high pressure steam goes from the boiler into the steam engine.  Much cooler, lower pressure steam comes out of the steam engine.  Only while the piston of the steam engine can keep going down, expanding the hot steam, converting heat energy into mechanical energy, does the heat energy of the fuel get converted into electricity.  For current technology, only 40% of the heat energy goes into making electricity, the other 60% goes into heating up the plant’s cooling system.

Was the FAA system that crashed this morning running Windows??

 

FAA tried to make a nationwide failure sound a little better by calling it "glitch".  A better word for a 

nationwide failure is "crash".  

Windows is so full of holes the any sharp high school kid can break into it and do anything he wants. 

It is only fit to run games for children.

Lets hear it FAA.  Were you running on Windows?

Preview

Science was invented in the middle ages

   The Ancients did not have science.  The Hittites were the last to invent/discover something important, namely how to smelt iron back about 800 BC.  The Romans in 200 AD did not have any materials or tools that the Hittites did not have a thousand years before. 

Science is a way of looking at the world.  Science takes facts, from observations, and from experiments, and forms theories that are supported by those facts.  Science does not take ancient authors writings or popular ideas into account, only facts.  Roger Bacon spelled out how to do science in the 1300s.  Science has been very successful.  In the last thousand years we have developed gun powder, printing, electric telegraph, steam railroad, radio and TV, automobiles, aircraft, and a whole raft of  stuff that makes modern life a whole bunch more comfortable than it used to be.

When reading about scientific discoveries you should look for the facts behind the discoveries.  If there are no facts given in what you read, it is not science.

Science is dynamic, it keeps finding new stuff.  When I took geology in college, many years ago, the professor did not believe in plate tectonics.  Now, 60 years later, everybody knows about and believes in plate tectonics.  New science starts small, with perhaps just one article in one journal.  At first few people know of the new science and it is called “tentative” (maybe true maybe not).  As time goes on more and more people learn of the new science and it becomes widely known and accepted.  When it gets written into college textbooks you can say the idea has become generally accepted.  Acceptance is rarely one hundred percent.  For instance we still have people who believe the earth is flat.  When you are looking at science you need to be aware that not all the ideas called scientific are generally accepted. 

 Republicans need to do a RINO hunt.  Nineteen House RINOs denied the Republican party a Speaker of the House from the Republican party.  Dunno what happen next.  This could be the start of two years of  deadlocked votes in the House.  Democrats could not have hoped for anything better for them.  I don't have a list of the RINOs, none of them are from New Hampshire.  We don't have an Republican House or Senate members.  We had chance to vote out three Democrat Congresscritters last month, but it didn't happen.  Too bad.

Watching the crowds at midnight.

 Usually I fall asleep long before midnight on New Years Eve (or any other night for that matter).  This year I took an evening nap at 4:30.  I woke up at 11:30 so I turned on the TV and watched the New Year’s festivities at Times square and at Nashville.  Big crowds both places.  Everyone looked happy, smiling and laughing, some hugging and kissing, a little singing.  I came away thinking America is still in fairly decent shape if we can put forth such large happy crowds. 

Trump’s Taxes

   Democrats forced Trump’s income tax returns into public knowledge.  Trump managed to pay a surprising low income tax.  Absolute zero one year, and just a few hundred dollars in other years. 

Of course, Trump does not do his own taxes.  He hires the best tax lawyers and tax accountants that money can buy.   They found loopholes and special deals scattered throughout the tax code, and used them all. They probably stretched one or two of them farther than anyone else ever did. 

  The IRS is supposed to check or even audit the tax returns of wealthy taxpayers to keep them straight.  IRS never objected to the Trump returns.  It may be the IRS failed to check Trump’s returns, or Trump’s tax people were smarter than the IRS tax people (not unlikely).

   It is a long standing principle of US law that is a perfectly legal to arrange one’s affairs to minimize your tax liabilities.  Trump obviously did a fair amount of this.  It’s perfectly legal.

   Until the IRS comes right out and accuses Trump of tax evasion (they haven’t)  I am going to believe that Trump’s tax returns are legal. 

   We should straighten out the incredible complicated US tax code.  The whole thing fills shelf after shelf.  It is written in lawyer speak which confuses us regular people.  Those of us who still do our own taxes only have J.K. Lasser’s book.  In one 8 ½ by 11 paper back only ½ inch thick, J.K. Lasser gets every thing we need to know packed into a lot less that the shelves and shelves of binders holding the whole tax code.  Those who don’ use J.K. Lasser take their records down to H & R Block and they get them out in good enough shape to prevent an IRS audit of the tax payer. 

Happy New Year

 What more can I say? 

They got 'em.

 

They got someone for the four Dakota murders.  I missed the name, but the cops are charging a student in Pennsylvania.  Glad to hear the cops have a suspect.  They have not said what evidence they have to charge this guy.  Could be anything, tire tracks from the white car, fingerprints in the murder house, bloodstains that have traceable DNA, or anything.  I hope whay ever evidence it is, it sticks. 

Old Line Science Fiction authors.

 H Beam Piper wrote “Space Viking” way back in 1963. I reread it the other day; Lucas Trask is the Vice Roy ruling a frontier planet on the edge of the old Terran Federation.  The Federation crashed centuries before and many of its planets reverted to a pre industrial medieval state.  Trask has decided to make Tanith a base for Space Viking.  This means getting native workers to do the heavy lifting clearing wreckage from the long abandoned space port, suppressing banditry, establishing a planetary government and so on. 

  Somewhat later in the story Trask meets up with planet Marduk.  Marduk is fully civilized, it maintained its civilization even as the Federation fell.  Anyhow Lucas Trask is discussing problems keeping civilization going with a member of the royal family of Marduk.  As the discussion goes on, Marduk’s problems sound distressingly similar to the problem we are having in modern day America.  This in a science fiction novel written in 1963, 60 years ago. 

Army goes for replacement for UH60 Black Hawk.

   Black hawk is a conventional helicopter that has been flying for years and is quite satisfactory.  Back in 2014 the army asked for a fly off between the Bell Helicopter V280 tilt rotor design and the Sikorsky-Boeing Defiant a more or less conventional design with a pusher propeller for better speed. 

 

   After 8 well paid years of testing and tinkering the Army finally picked the Bell V280 which was faster.  The V22 Osprey is the only tilt rotor currently in service.  It can do 300-400 knots, but large conventional helicopters have better range and bigger payloads.  Osprey has a poor safety record, a lot of crashes, some with troops on board and many deaths.  It is not clear to me why the services care about speed.  In Viet Nam we arranged for the troop carrying helicopters to arrive all at the same time.  We had enough troops in the first wave to overwhelm the enemy, especially with gun ships supporting the infantry. 

 

    The Bell 280 is flying, at least the Aviation Week article shows it in the air.  There is a juicy $7.3 billion of “startup money” for the V280.   Actual production of V280’s will cost $70 billion.  Aviation Week did not mention how many V280s that $70 billion will buy. 

  

   The Army said very little about the contract award, like why they picked Bell.  Sikorsky-Boeing is thinking about suing to reverse the contract award.  That ought to suck up another year or two. 

 

Guns for Girls

 Face it girls.  Men are bigger than you are.  They are taller, heavier, and stronger that you are.  If you have a long walk to your car after dark, or to your apartment, you ought to think about carrying a gun.  “All people were NOT created equal; Sam Colt made them that way.”

   You are thinking about a hand gun that can be concealed in a purse, a pocket, a holster, a car glove compartment, a desk drawer, wherever.  Hand guns come in two flavors, revolvers and automatic pistols.  I recommend revolvers because they are extremely reliable.  Pull the trigger and a revolver always goes bang.  Automatic pistols not so much. 

    Handguns are made to shoot a variety of cartridges (bullets) ranging from target practice rounds that would not kill a flea up thru Dirty Harry’s 44 Magnum (“The most powerful handgun on the planet”).  You want the most powerful round that you can shoot well.  For many people 38 Special is easy to shoot and powerful enough to do the job. The more powerful the round, the worse the recoil and the louder the report.  You want the go to a shooting range and actually fire the round you are thinking about and see how hard it is to shoot.  While you are at the range see how well the gun fits your hand.  I learned to shoot in the Air Force where the issue revolver was a miserable to shoot 38 special. The trigger was too heavy, the grip was not big enough to get all my fingers around it, and the wooden grips had been soaked in gun oil for 20 years and were slippery.  The gun twisted in my hand after each shot.  Later I acquired an Army .45 and it shot like a dream.  Try to shoot a number of different guns, you may find one that shoots better for you than the others. 

   Two things about shooting.  Always wear ear defenders, those bulky plastic earmuffs, ESPECIALLY on an indoor gun range.  Without ear defenders the report is so loud that it can scare you into a permanent flinch, where in you squeeze the trigger too fast and too hard and miss the target.  The other thing is to shoot a hand gun with BOTH hands.  This is the Weaver technique which became standard in the late 1960’s and it improved my shooting a lot. 

   You need to get out and shoot your gun for practice if you expect to hit anything for real.  Squeeze the trigger gently so that it is something of a surprised when the gun actually fires.  Line up the front and back sight over the target bulls eye.  Take a small breath and they hold it while you line up the sights and squeeze the trigger.  When you get home from the range clean your gun, especially the inside of the barrel and cylinder.  Wrap your gun in an oily rag when you put it away to prevent rust.  

Cannon Mountain ski weather.

  We got 7 inches of fresh snow last night. Nice fluffy powder. That will put the mountain in great shape.  And it is still snowing as of 7:30 AM.

Title 42.

They have been talking about a court ordered repeal of Title 42 as another disaster on the southern border.  Title 42 was something CDC got passed requiring the Border Patrol to immediately send back to Mexico anyone who might be bringing COVID into the US.  The talk says repealing Title 42 will swamp us with yet more undocumented immigrants.

This discussion seems like malarkey to me.  Anyone crossing into the United States lacking proper paperwork should be immediately returned to where they came.  No Title 42 required.  If they have not gotten proper paperwork from a US consulate abroad or a US Customs station on the border, out they go. Right now.

What’s so hard about that? 

What to do about the FBI?

 Start at the top, fire Wray.  Fire the next three levels of management.  Prosecute them if possible.  Cut the FBI appropriation in half.  They have too many people.  Sell all the FBI's aircraft.  When FBI people travel they can fly commercial, like the rest of us do.  Repeal the law making lying to the FBI a crime.

Ticket splitting?

RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel blamed the “red trickle” in the mid term elections on “massive ticket splitting”.   Ticket splitting is not a cause for defeat.  The cause for Republican defeat is candidates that failed to impress voters. 

   Do we still need an RNC Chairman who lacks such basic understanding of elections?

Parents against Fentanyl.

 

 

Parents want to make sure their children know that street drugs will kill.  Fentanyl is cheap and extremely powerful.  So powerful that the slightest error in mixing fentanyl with other ingredients leaves a pill with enough fentanyl to kill.  A few months ago a survey of street drugs showed that one in six pills bough on the street had enough fentanyl to kill.  A later survey a few weeks ago showed things were worse.  This survey found that one in a mere three pills bought off the street had enough fentanyl to kill you.  The newsies will call it an “overdose”.  I call it deliberate poisoning.

   Anyhow, you ought to tell your kids that street drugs will kill them.   If they just have to get high they ought to stick to alcohol or pot.  They are safer than street drugs.  

Pearl Harbor. Japan’s greater error.

 Up until Dec 7 1941 America was controlled by isolationists who believed we should stay out of any foreign wars, no matter what.  Isolationists pointed to Versailles Peace Treaty that ended World War 1.  Despite serious American participation on the Allied side, we did not get anything much from the Versailles treaty.  Mostly this was because the Versailles Treaty mostly concerned divvying up European colonies between the winners.  After suppressing the Philippine insurrection before WW1 we had little interest in obtaining more overseas colonies.   The Philippines taught us that running a colony is expensive, in lives, in money, and reputation.  There was still plenty of unsettled land in the West to settle countless farmers on. Up until Pearl Harbor the United States was solidly against any kind of military action, anywhere.  We knew that Japan was doing quite a bit of aggression in the East, gobbling up bit parts of China, Manchuria, and other tasty parts of the Far East.  We disapproved.  We send Japan a series of diplomatic notes, (nasty grams) letting them know we disapproved.  But no way were we gong to go farther than nasty grams.

Things drifted on, and we got more difficult.  We finally stopped selling crude oil and scrap steel to Japan.  Many historians said after the war that the embargoes on oil and steel forced Japan to do Pearl Harbor.  This is not true.  The Dutch East Indies had (still have) plenty of oil.  The Nazis had just invaded and occupied the Netherlands, which left the Dutch East Indies just hanging in the wind.  Japan could have sent a fleet of tankers, and some bankers with thick check books to the Indies and they could have bought all the oil Japan would need for years.   And scrap steel is easy to buy, in most places it ranks as ugly junk and people are happy to find someone to haul it away.

Instead Japan decided to declare war on America and deal us a heavy blow.  The Japanese government thought that after a solid blow the Americans would sue for peace.  Serious misunderstanding #1.  After taking a blow Americans never sue for peace, they get mad and start breaking things and enemies.  Most of Japan’s government leaders had never been to America, did not speak English, and had no idea of whom or what they were dealing with.  The one exception was Admiral Yamamoto.  He had done college at Harvard, served as Japan’s naval attaché in DC, spoke English, played poker, and traveled throughout America.  Too bad few people in Japan listened to him.  When they asked Yamamoto how the war with America would turn out he said “for the first six months we shall run wild.  But after six months I have no confidence at all.”

Yamamoto had it right.  Within 6 months of Pearl Harbor we met the Japanese navy at Midway and sank four of the Japanese carriers.  Japan never recovered from that blow.    

Why do democrats want open borders?

 Open borders gets us a flood of Mexican and South American immigrants.  Do democrats believe these immigrants will vote democrat?  Give them a majority somewhere?  How long will it take for illegal immigrants to become registered American voters?  Five years?  Ten years?  That’s a long time to wait for new democrat votes.  Are democrats that patient?  Or do the democrats have some scam to get illegal immigrants registered to vote inside of a year? 

   Or do democrats think we need a lot of low cost labor?  Employers think so, but every illegal immigrant hired puts a real American citizen out of a job.  Those losers were the dependable democrat voters.  Will they stay democrat voters while on unemployment?

   Or is there some other reason to want a flood of illegal immigrants? 

Rail Strike Coming. What does Biden do?

    Trains carry a majority of the freight in America.  Manufactured goods, spare parts, fuel oil and gasoline, coal, metal ores, smelted metals, steel, wood, darn near everything.  A rail strike would cut off all these things, and all the others I haven’t thought of.  All the factories and businesses that depend on stuff will shut down, deepening the recession.  Perhaps so deep we cannot pull out of it. 

   Trains use far less fuel to move cargo than trucks.  A truck has a 400 horsepower diesel engine to move one big 57 foot trailer.  A 100 car freight train, made up of  100 trailer train cars, flat cars built to move two truck trailers, uses 6000 horsepower to more 200 big trailers.  That’s 30 horsepower per trailer, a huge saving of fuel compared to over the road trucking. 

   Way back when the newspapers would talk about the Taft Hartley act which empowered the government to declare a “cooling off period” in the event of a economy threatening strike.  I think the Taft Hartley act is still on the books, and could be used to delay the threatened rail strike.  I have not heard a whisper about Taft Hartley and cooling off periods in any of the media.  Either the newsies are so poorly educated that they never heard of Taft Hartley, or someone, probably Biden, has demanded the msm not mention it.

   So far Biden has let the rail strike get going while he enjoys Thanksgiving on Nantucket.  If the rail strike happens it is going to be bad for all of us.  If Biden does get into the rail strike at this late date would the unions and management believe anything he might say? 

The Last Bettlecruiser. HMS Hood.

 Hood was laid down during World War 1.  The original design was to be another battle cruiser like the three that sank at the battle of Jutland.  After Jutland the British decided that Hood needed more armor, perhaps 6 inches more of armor plate.  When launched a couple of years after the end of World War 1 ( 1920 ) Hood was very big, and very good looking.  She became the Royal Navy’s “show off ship”.  She visited everywhere during the 1920s and 1930s.  Everyone agreed that Hood was very impressive and by extension the Royal Navy was made to seem good and strong.

    In 1940 Hood and Prince of Wales were ordered to intercept Bismark in the Denmark Strait in between Greenland and Iceland, far from England.  They encountered Bismark in the strait and after a few salvos Bismark landed a hit on Hoods after deck and it went right thru the deck armor and exploded below.  The tremendous explosion sank Hood in a few minutes.  After Hood sank the Prince of Wales was simply not ready for combat, she still had yard workmen on board working on her guns, and the crew was brand new and green and not prepared to fight Prince of Wales. She got a few shots off, no hits, and Bismark just steamed past her.

    After Hood was lost no other Navy built battlecruisers.

Calculus or statistics?

 Just read a post claiming that students need a course in statistics to major in STEM fields. Stem (Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics) is a good (abet broad) field in college, it is great for finding a job upon graduation. However, the key field, engineering, demands integral calculus. All the engineering fields, electrical, chemical, mechanical, and civil, demand integral calculus. The class lectures, the homework, the exams, and more are all phrased in calculus and if you don't have calculus you simply don't understand what the professor is talking about. Engineering is the best of the STEM courses, you get to do new design work which is the most fun. You need to take integral calculus freshman year. And that means you took trigonometry in high school, cause you need trig for calculus. I never took a course in statistics and never missed it in 40 years of engineering work.

Admiral Jackie Fisher’s battle cruisers.

Way back when, well before the First World War, Royal Navy admiral Fisher wanted vessels to find the enemy battle fleet at sea.  Battle fleets (maybe a dozen battle ships) had a screen of cruisers to shield them from enemy observation in this age before aircraft.  Since the fleet screen was cruisers, Fisher could not use destroyers for searching; the cruiser screen could easily sink any destroyers that caught up with them.  If he used cruisers, all that would happen is a bunch to ship-to-ship duels between his cruisers and the enemy cruisers and he would not find the enemy battle fleet. 

  So Fisher asked for a ship strong enough to break thru the cruiser screen and fast enough to catch the enemy battle fleet.  The result was a big as a battleship, carried the guns of a battleship, and the turbine engines that were just coming into service. In fact the battle cruisers had everything a battleship had except armor plate.  Their commanders thought they were commanding battleships.

   Come World War 1.  The British had built four of Fisher’s battle cruisers.  They were grouped into a squadron under command of the flamboyant Admiral Beatty.  Beatty wasn’t very bright, he wasn’t an experienced old sea dog; he was a member of parliament.  But, as luck would have it, Beatty encountered the German battle fleet at sea, getting ready for the battle of Jutland.  Beatty failed to get a radio message off giving German position, course, and speed, he failed to order his squadron to turn and run for it.  Instead Beatty ordered his squadron of four battle cruisers to engage the Germans.  With in a few minutes the German battleships sank three out of Beatty’s four battle cruisers, “There seems to be something wrong with our bloody ships today.” Beatty remarked at the time. 

   Meantime the British Grand Fleet, under experienced old sea dog Admiral Jellicoe had put to sea.  Jellicoe knew the North Sea, the tides, the winds, the shoal waters, and the amount to daylight.  Using his knowledge of the sea Jellicoe figured where the Germans were going to go.  He got it right, so right that he was able to cross the German’s Tee, a battle winning maneuver in those days.  One firing pass by the British inflicted so much damage on the Germans that they used a fancy new turning maneuver and left the area.  Jellicoe maneuvered himself and about an hour later managed to cross the German’s Tee a second time, inflicting a lot more damage. 

   Next morning, the British fleet was back at Scapa Flow and reported to London that it was ready for action again.  The German fleet was so shot up that it was not ready to sail again for months.  Both sides claimed victory, but by rights the British won this one. 

The FBI today.

 I read that the FBI has been called into that dreadful 4 victim slaying in Moscow Idaho. I wonder if the FBI can still investigate crimes. Does raiding former presidents and other Republicans make good training for finding evidence of crime?

What are we giving Ukraine that costs $40 billion??

 Biden is asking for $37 billion or perhaps $40 billion in military aide to Ukraine.  The TV has mentioned both numbers today.  Take your pick. 

Question: what are we giving Ukraine that costs $37 or $40 billion dollars?  They could buy a new US aircraft carrier for $13 and a skosh billion.  They could buy F35 fighters, the most expensive fighter ever made, for $100 million apiece.  A billion gets you 10 F35s.  $40 billion gets you 400 F35’s.  I don’t know what tanks and armored personnel carriers cost put I’ll bet $40 billion would buy a lot of them.  I suppose Patriot SAM systems, missiles, tracked launcher with a radar on board could be pricey, but I don’t know just how pricey. 

Anyhow, I would like a list of what we are giving Ukraine, and the list price of each item.

American weapons are very expensive what with the services gold plating the specifications, and the Pentagon bureaucrats drowning the contractors in paperwork.  I used to work for a defense contractor, Raytheon.  They had a big two story building out in Wayland Massachusetts.  On the ground floor they had engineering, stockrooms, labs, and shops, all stuff that actually made the product.  Upstairs, just as big as downstairs, were all paper pushers who kept the bureaucrats off Raytheon’s case by filing all the paperwork on time.    

Trump is running.

 As expected, Trump declared he is running for President yesterday. A lot of people like Trump and will vote for him. Trump can fill up a sports stadium with supporters for a campaign speech. While president last time Trump got GNP growth up to 3+ % from Obama's miserable 1%. He built the border fence. He got Kim Jong what's-his-face to stop launching missiles. He got the stock markets up.
On the other hand, there are a lot of people who detest Trump. Democrats, bureaucrats, newsies, are leading anti Trump voices. I have no idea how Trump's candidacy will worth this time. Certainly DeSantos from Florida looks good.

 It snowed up in the notch last night.  First snow of the winter.  Not much, only 1/4 inch.  Enough to turn the grass and the cars white, not enough to make the roads white.

Thor: Love and Thunder.

It's a new 2022 Marvel super hero movie. It does have Chris Hemsworth as Thor, and Natalie Portman but that is about all that's familiar to me. Thor enters the flick wearing a bathrobe. There is a weirdo old man trying to kill every one. It ain't what I think of as a Marvel Thor movie. It is only mildly interesting. I got it from Netflix.

Polls Not Very Helpful

 Political polls, beloved of TV news commentators, were not very useful this time.  Most of them showed a 1 or 2 percent difference between candidates.  That is a dead heat in my book; either candidate is equally likely to win.  Not much prediction to be had here.  And, despite a lot of talk about a red wave, the election was pretty even Steven.  Which is a pity, Biden gets another two years to drive the country deeper into the ground.  

  Two things that make telephone polls hard to do and all the polls are telephone polls.  Nowadays people won’t talk to pollsters.  Ten or fifteen years ago we count do telephone polling before elections.  People were sort of flattered that the party cared enough to call them.  They were cordial, they would chat.  Not anymore.  Last time I did telephone calling, they just hung up.  Tired of robocallers I guess.

   And then we have smart phones.  My three children don’t have landline phones, they all use smart phones.  They don’t have a phone book for smart phones, so you have trouble dialing voters and not winding up talking to a business receptionist. 

Silence gives assent.

When they smear you, have to say something.  Otherwise people begin to think the smear is true.  You must say something, say the smear is false, say there is some other reason, turn the smear around and lay it on them.  Say something.

Republicans need to work on this.  During last election Democrats accused Republicans of wanting to end, (or reduce) social security benefits.  Totally untrue.  Nobody wants to end or reduce social security because of the furor it would create.  A huge number of people live on social security and any reduction would cause them severe hardship.  Every Republican knows this, and would never touch social security.  Yet Democrats were able to accuse Republicans of this, and the Republicans let them get away with it.  Republicans never came out and said we have no intention of reducing social security because we know how much people depend on it.

Something ought to be done.  Maybe the Republican National Committee needs to work up a “Smear of the Week that needs answering” list and pass it out to candidates and state committees. 

Mid terms disappoint.

 Yesterday's mid term elections were disappointing. New Hampshire voters decided to keep their worthless congressional delegation. I had hoped New Hampshire voters would have been smartest than that. They were not. With democrat Biden administration running us out of gasoline and fuel oil, I had hoped for a Republican Congress to fix it. They are still counting but it does not look good. Looks like the democrats will be left to finish wrecking the country.

Social Security. The third rail of American politics. Touch it and die.

   No one with two brain cells is going to reduce social security, no matter what Democrats are claiming on TV. No Republican is that dumb.  There might be a few Democrats who are that dumb but I doubt it.  The current talk on TV about reducing social security is just talk, nobody, Republican or Democrat, is going to do it because the political backlash would be too severe.

Likewise talk on TV about the feds taking money away from social security is just talk from ignorant people.  TV is full of very ignorant people. 

Social security works like this.  Every worker has money taken from his paycheck and given to social security.  In many years, this year for example, social security takes in more money in taxes than it has to pay out in benefits.  The difference is large, billions of dollars.  So what does social security do with the extra money that they will need in a few years?  Answer, they buy US treasury bonds.  They pay modest interest, they are the safest investment on the planet.  America has never ever failed to pay off on its bonds.   And everyone, politicians, economists, business men, who ever,  is against social security investing the money in banks or stocks or anything private, doing such amounts to Uncle Sam investing a lost of money in where ever, which amounts to gaining government control of some private enterprise, at which point it is no longer a private enterprise. And there is no question that US bonds will pay off for social security when social security needs the money. 

 Good Shooting.

This morning's radio claimed that Ukraine shot down 45 out of 50 Russian crew missiles yesterday. Crew missiles are not easy to hit.  They are fast, 600 mph, and fly low which means the radar cannot see them until they a very close.  My radio was tuned to NHPR which is fairly trustworthy and presumably was passing along a Ukraine press release, which might have exaggerated things a little bit.

Attack on Pelosi Home

Paul Pelosi might have saved himself a skull fracture if he had a loaded firearm in a convenient place around his home. Say a bedside table.  I keep an Army .45 automatic in my bedside table.

He might have avoided an attack in his home if democrat district attorneys jailed known criminals instead of turning them loose to roam the streets.  Democrat city officials who defund the police reduce everyone’s safety in their homes.

The Pelosi’s might want to contact an experienced contractor to beef up the security of their home.  A tougher back door for instance.

 Among to zillion law firms advertising for clients in the Camp Lejeune matter we have Kelly Postal.  Their ad says their legal teams are made up of Marines, West Point graduates and Harvard trained lawyers.  I have a lot of respect for Marines, both of my brothers enlisted in the Marines for the Viet Nam war and did combat tours in Viet Nam.  I did the same except I was Air Force.  West Point graduates become US Army officers, for whom I have a good deal of respect.  Then we get down to Harvard lawyers.  They are a turnoff for me.  I wonder how the Camp Lejeune victims feel about them.

Can the US defend Taiwan from invasion by Mainland China?

 Just in the last week, Fox’s military commentator, retired Army general Jack Keane, said that a recent war game on this subject lead to a decisive victory for China and a defeat for us. 

I have to wonder about this.  The Taiwan Strait is 120 miles wide and blue water, deep enough to float aircraft carriers (or any other kind of ship).  China has to get a sizable army across the strait, land the troops on the island of Taiwan, and keep them supplied during the fighting.  Taiwan has an army with a decent supply of up to date American equipment.  China will have to fight hard to gain control of the island. 

   Our best bet to defend Taiwan is to sink the Chinese invasion force as it crosses the strait.  This will start off as an Air Force battle.  China has a lot of airbases on their side of the straight.  We have a dozen aircraft carriers, of which maybe 9 are operationally ready.  The other three are likely in US shipyards for one sort or another of heavy duty work and thus unavailable.  Each carrier has maybe 90 aircraft on board.  The carriers could be stationed on the far side of Taiwan to make it harder for China to strike them. The carrier aircraft can fly right across Taiwan in a matter of minutes.  The Air Force could fly in a lot of planes to Taiwan to fight from Taiwan’s air fields. That ought to give us 800 Navy aircraft and 500-800 Air Force aircraft. 

   China has maybe 1700 combat aircraft.  Maybe half of them are as hot as USAF fighters and the other half is old, slow, and easy meat for USAF F-22s and F35s.  This info comes from pontification at various Internet sites.  These sites tend to denigrate the Chinese Air Force and say nice things about USAF. I don’t know who would win, before a head to head air battle between them.

   The object of such an air battle is for one side or the other to obtain air superiority,  By which I mean to ability to fly low performance (at least by fighter standards) bombers out into the Taiwan strait to sink Chinese ships carrying troops to invade Taiwan.   Other angles, before the air war settles out, US submarines, lurking underwater in the strait of Taiwan torpedoing any surface vessel that needs it.  Chinese aircraft probably cannot sink subs that stay submerged.  No problem for nuclear subs, not impossible for conventional diesel subs.

   So, I can see American air and sea power keeping the Chinese ships under control and off Taiwan landing beaches.  I think this will defeat a Chinese attempt to take over Taiwan.  I don’t know how General Deane’s war game worked and why it showed a Chinese victory.

Codify Roe v Wade.

Biden says he will do it.  Right after the election as opposed to right now when his party controls Congress.  That might change after the election.

I wonder what “codify” means.  Passing a new law that makes some things illegal and other things legal?  What things?  Are these things measurable or can any Democrat office holder say what they are?

Whither the mid terms?

 Waves, will we have one in the oncoming midterm election? You could not tell from the TV news coverage. They talk about Senate contests in a single state, or head to head poll results over a single election. No stories indicating where a lot of voters are heading, just onsey twosey stuff. If there are any poll results over a broad area I have not seen them. I hope everyone gets out and votes in the upcoming election.