Yesterday dawned bright and sunny, and I decided to get on with a couple of household tasks that had been on hold, 'cause of days and days of rain. I stained the deck and mowed the lawn. Got both jobs done before sundown.
This morning I woke up to the sound of rain pattering on the roof. But I felt real good about the deck and the lawn. Rainwater is beading up nicely on the deck, and the lawn is cut too short to assault the house, at least for a few more days.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Friday, June 28, 2013
Thursday, June 27, 2013
From The Economist. Can Iran be stopped?
The Economist doesn't have a clue. They spend a lot of time discussing an Israeli air strike. They sort of conclude the because the Israelis have not laid down a "red line", they don't plan a strike. That's not how the Israelis do things.
The Israelis understand something that any parent learns pretty quick. Namely, never make idle threats. If you make a threat, you gotta be ready to carry it out. If you make a threat and then back down at crunch time, things get worse for you. One day Obama may learn this.
As far as carrying out an air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, there is reason to doubt the Israeli Air Force has the capability to do an effective strike. Iran has a lot of sites, some of them are buried really really deep, no one knows if the Israelis know which sites are critical, and which are dummies. Iran has air defenses, and a suite of hot new Russian SAM's on order. I don't know how many aircraft the Israelis have, if they have the range and payload needed to do the job. I'm sure the Israelis have worked the numbers on an air strike, and the answer is probably, "We would have to be awfully lucky to carry it off".
As long as that's the answer, the Israelis aren't gonna make threats, 'cause they aren't sure they can make good on them. They may decide to throw the dice if things get sticky, but they won't make threats or announce their plans in advance.
There is one equalizer that doesn't get talked about much. The Israelis are believed to have nuclear weapons, although they have never made any such claim and are not known to have conducted a bomb test. If the Israeli's made the first strike on Iran with nukes, their odds go way up for them, you only need one hit with a nuke to take out damn near anything. However, the big boys (Russia and the US) have made it abundantly clear that they disapprove of use of nukes by anybody. Nobody knows just what the big boys might do, but nobody wants to find out either.
The Israelis understand something that any parent learns pretty quick. Namely, never make idle threats. If you make a threat, you gotta be ready to carry it out. If you make a threat and then back down at crunch time, things get worse for you. One day Obama may learn this.
As far as carrying out an air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, there is reason to doubt the Israeli Air Force has the capability to do an effective strike. Iran has a lot of sites, some of them are buried really really deep, no one knows if the Israelis know which sites are critical, and which are dummies. Iran has air defenses, and a suite of hot new Russian SAM's on order. I don't know how many aircraft the Israelis have, if they have the range and payload needed to do the job. I'm sure the Israelis have worked the numbers on an air strike, and the answer is probably, "We would have to be awfully lucky to carry it off".
As long as that's the answer, the Israelis aren't gonna make threats, 'cause they aren't sure they can make good on them. They may decide to throw the dice if things get sticky, but they won't make threats or announce their plans in advance.
There is one equalizer that doesn't get talked about much. The Israelis are believed to have nuclear weapons, although they have never made any such claim and are not known to have conducted a bomb test. If the Israeli's made the first strike on Iran with nukes, their odds go way up for them, you only need one hit with a nuke to take out damn near anything. However, the big boys (Russia and the US) have made it abundantly clear that they disapprove of use of nukes by anybody. Nobody knows just what the big boys might do, but nobody wants to find out either.
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Voter Fraud and same day registration
Used to be, much voter fraud was prevented by registration. On election day, they asked your name and looked you up on the voter registration list. If your name was on the list, you got to vote. Fairly airtight. Then in New Hampshire we put in same day registration, show up at the polls on election day, and vote whether you are on the list or not. The college kids at Dartmouth, UNH, and even humble Plymouth State loved it, didn't matter if you were an out of state student, you get to vote in NH elections. The real citizens of Hanover, Plymouth and Durham are completely swamped by hordes of college students on election day.
So now we are wrangling over various voter ID requirements.
So I asked a couple of local politicos about the chance of just repealing same day registration. They both said, "No can do, Federal law requires same day registration."
Is that right? Anyone know for sure?
So now we are wrangling over various voter ID requirements.
So I asked a couple of local politicos about the chance of just repealing same day registration. They both said, "No can do, Federal law requires same day registration."
Is that right? Anyone know for sure?
Stainless Steel is so dated.
There have been repeated rants in the home decorating, Martha Stewart, kind of press declaring stainless steel kitchen appliances to be dead, as dead as avacado green. This morning I saw a TV ad, showing a young couple, shopping for an icebox. They are in a store aisle, completely surrounded by stainless steel iceboxes. Like 20 of 'em. Reports of the death of stainless have been exaggerated.
The Supremes rule in favor of Gays today.
The Supremes overturned California Prop 8 which forbids gay marriage in the state of California. They did it on a technicality rather that come right out and say "The US Constitution Article such-an-such means gay marriage is legal". Probably they couldn't agree among then selves on such an interpretation. Instead they decided that the plaintiffs lacked "standing", a lawyer's way of throwing out lawsuits. And doing it this way, the ruling only affects California, it doesn't impose gay marriage on the non-gay marriage states, which would cause political outrage.
It also supports judge made law. It was a lower court that overturned Prop 8. That ruling is what got appealed all the way to the Supremes. The Supremes have said, "Doesn't matter what the voters say, we judges can make our own laws to suit ourselves." Real democracy that is.
On the real issue, I'm neutral, we have gay marriage here in New Hampshire, the legislature voted it in. There has been some grumbling, but the bulk of the citizens are going along with a state law passed by majority vote in the state legislature. The sky has not fallen.
While they were at it, in a separate case, the Supremes overturned most of the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) Here at least, they ruled that DOMA violated the equal protection clause of the Constitution. They didn't mention that DOMA was as hard on lesbians as it was on gays. Far as I am concerned, that's equal protection, or at least equal prosecution.
But heh, they are the Supremes and we are stuck with 'em.
It also supports judge made law. It was a lower court that overturned Prop 8. That ruling is what got appealed all the way to the Supremes. The Supremes have said, "Doesn't matter what the voters say, we judges can make our own laws to suit ourselves." Real democracy that is.
On the real issue, I'm neutral, we have gay marriage here in New Hampshire, the legislature voted it in. There has been some grumbling, but the bulk of the citizens are going along with a state law passed by majority vote in the state legislature. The sky has not fallen.
While they were at it, in a separate case, the Supremes overturned most of the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) Here at least, they ruled that DOMA violated the equal protection clause of the Constitution. They didn't mention that DOMA was as hard on lesbians as it was on gays. Far as I am concerned, that's equal protection, or at least equal prosecution.
But heh, they are the Supremes and we are stuck with 'em.
Monday, June 24, 2013
So What is a "Registered Provisional Immigrant"?
I first saw this phrase in an Email from my US Senator supporting the 1200 page Corker-What's-his-face amendment.
Sounds like all those 11 million or so illegals currently in the country become "registered provisional immigrants" (RPI for short) as soon as the bill is passed. Or as soon as they file a form down at the Post Office. Wanna bet all those instant RPI's gain the right to stay in the US and the right to work in the US? Once they have that, who needs a green card? I mean a lot of perfectly decent folk just want to hold a job, raise their families, and pursue a little happiness. Gaining US citizenship is of less importance to them, just as long as they can stay in the country and maintain a low profile.
So, after declaring everyone an RPI, why do we need E-verify or employer sanctions? I mean now that everybody is legal, sort of, why do we need by bang on employers about who they hire? Especially since we are still in the grip of Great Depression 2.0 and want to get unemployment down?
Sounds like all those 11 million or so illegals currently in the country become "registered provisional immigrants" (RPI for short) as soon as the bill is passed. Or as soon as they file a form down at the Post Office. Wanna bet all those instant RPI's gain the right to stay in the US and the right to work in the US? Once they have that, who needs a green card? I mean a lot of perfectly decent folk just want to hold a job, raise their families, and pursue a little happiness. Gaining US citizenship is of less importance to them, just as long as they can stay in the country and maintain a low profile.
So, after declaring everyone an RPI, why do we need E-verify or employer sanctions? I mean now that everybody is legal, sort of, why do we need by bang on employers about who they hire? Especially since we are still in the grip of Great Depression 2.0 and want to get unemployment down?
Saturday, June 22, 2013
He must be guilty of something
Snowdon was indicted on NPR this morning for swiping government property and espionage. Well they gotta charge him with something in order to ask the Chinese to extradite him. Surely revealing top secret stuff to the newspapers is against the law. At least back when I had a top secret clearance we all believed that revealing classified stuff was illegal. I don't know what lawyers would call such a crime, but there ought to be a name for it.
I don't quite go along with Dick Cheney and calling Snowdon a traitor. "Treason against the United States shall consist only of levying War against them or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them aid and comfort." Article III, section 3. The founders put this in the Constitution to forbid the British crown's practice of declaring anything that angered the King to be treason.
Snowdon's actions so far, although disloyal, don't quite rise to levying war, and the Chinese aren't exactly enemies of the United States. Competitors, critics, pains in the tail, no good nicks, but not enemies.
The radio went on to describe the Snowdon situation as "a beginning epic legal battle". Well, before that matters much, we have to get Snowdon into US custody. Somehow I don't think the Chinese are going to cooperate in that. And there isn't all that much we can do to pressure them.
I don't quite go along with Dick Cheney and calling Snowdon a traitor. "Treason against the United States shall consist only of levying War against them or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them aid and comfort." Article III, section 3. The founders put this in the Constitution to forbid the British crown's practice of declaring anything that angered the King to be treason.
Snowdon's actions so far, although disloyal, don't quite rise to levying war, and the Chinese aren't exactly enemies of the United States. Competitors, critics, pains in the tail, no good nicks, but not enemies.
The radio went on to describe the Snowdon situation as "a beginning epic legal battle". Well, before that matters much, we have to get Snowdon into US custody. Somehow I don't think the Chinese are going to cooperate in that. And there isn't all that much we can do to pressure them.
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