Looks like Obama has found a way to avoid striking Syria and saving some face. Kerry proposed a deal where Assad gives up his chemical weapons and we don't bomb him. And, bingo, the Russians take us up on it. Details are unclear, but Congress will be able to avoid voting for military action that the voters are dead set against, and the democrats in Congress will be able to avoid hanging Obama out to dry.
Looks like the famous collision between the irresistible force and the immovable object has been side stepped.
Side stepping is so attractive to every one that it will probably take place.
Now we can get on with the debt limit, the budget, Obamacare, immigration, IRS, EPA, and what to do about Detroit.
Monday, September 9, 2013
Sunday, September 8, 2013
There must be consequences
For the use of poison gas. So say Obama's guys, which includes most of the media talking heads. But that's not the real issue. Shall the United States take sides in the Syrian civil war against the current dictator, Basher Assad? Doing so is highly likely to depose Assad and turn Syria over to the opposition, who are not nice people. The opposition is largely al Quada and other Islamist crazies who have been video taped eating the hearts and livers of slain government soldiers. If they take power they will impose Sharia law, drive all but muslims out of the country, and line up behind the ayatollahs in Teheran. The minority communities of Christians, Jews and Alawites are terrified. They know what an opposition victory has in store for them.
Turning Syria into an Islamist republic will harm the reputation of the United States far more than failing to make good on Obama's idle threats.
The decision to intervene in Syria must be based upon what it will do to Syria, not what it will do to Obama's reputation.
Turning Syria into an Islamist republic will harm the reputation of the United States far more than failing to make good on Obama's idle threats.
The decision to intervene in Syria must be based upon what it will do to Syria, not what it will do to Obama's reputation.
Primaried
They had an ex congresswoman from California on Meet the Press this morning. She was probably in her fifties, doing a fairly good job of looking like she was only 20. Blond, Nice tan, good weight, good hairdo. She said "I got primaried" in the same tone of voice she might have used to say "I got mugged". Clearly she felt loosing her office in a primary election was dirty, underhanded, un American, and ought to be illegal. Obviously, an incumbent like her was owed re-election.
I got news for her. We invented primaries to let the voters clear out dead wood like her. Incumbents loose primary elections when they alienate their constituents.
I got news for her. We invented primaries to let the voters clear out dead wood like her. Incumbents loose primary elections when they alienate their constituents.
Saturday, September 7, 2013
Times are changing
My college alumni magazine turned up in today's mail. So I flip thru it looking for mention of any one I might still know. It's been quite a few years. So skimming the page of newly weds, all dressed in their best, we now have a gay couple smack in the middle of the page. That did catch my eye.
Times they are a'changing.
Times they are a'changing.
Friday, September 6, 2013
The first A stands for Aeronautics
NASA stands for National Aeronautics and Space Administration. This week Jaiwon Shin, associate administrator for aeronautics, laid out six goals for the aeronautics side of the house.
1. Safe, efficient growth of operations.
2. Low Boom Supersonics
3. Ultra efficient subsonic commercial aircraft.
4. Low Carbon propulsion
5. Real time system wide safety assurance
6. Assured autonomy
Growth of operations probably means advanced navigation aids to permit more aircraft to fit into the air. Sounds good, but the current bottleneck to more flights, is the lack of runways to handle them. Building new runways is not an NASA mission (it's FAA) and the major difficulty is the armies of NIMBYs who raise political hell every time airport expansion is proposed.
Low Boom Supersonics is more work on cleverly shaped aircraft that make a less noisy sonic boom. It's interesting, and a fine science project, but we tried supersonic transports 40 years ago. They cost too much, both to buy and to operate.
Ultra efficient sub sonic commercial air craft. At least they limited the project to subsonic. Boeing and Airbus all ready put a lot of work into this, both companies have higher efficiency versions of their bread and butter airliners under development. What can NASA bring to the party?
Low Carbon propulsion. We looked into nuclear powered aircraft back in the fifties. It got as far as test firing a prototype nuclear engine. The program was dropped because of radiation safety concerns and the excessive weight and marginal thrust of the Kiwi A engine. The other avenue is solar electric propulsion. There isn't enough energy in sunlight to achieve much more than a pedal power level of performance.
Real time system wide safety assurance. Not quite sure what that means, unless they are talking about a computerized system for accident reports, safety advisories, Notices to Airman, and so forth.
Assured autonomy. We think this means figuring out how to allow unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, or drones) to fly in US airspace. Anti collision policy right now is "See and be seen". Pilots are expected to look out for and avoid other aircraft. UAV's are not so good at this, the microprocessors don't scan the sky. UAV's were invented to fly missions too dangerous to send real air crew on. I was not aware of any places in US air space where the flak is that bad. Are the druggies using shoulder fired anti aircraft missiles against the Border Patrol?
Jaiwon Shin is hoping to get $560 million to spend on this stuff. Down from $1.7 billion in 1998. Aviation Week feels funding should be increased. No surprise there.
In real life, the improvements from the 707 of 1957 to the 787 of 2013 lie in better materials to make the plane from. Better turbine blade material that lets the turbines run hotter, and better structural materials (carbon fiber) that reduce weight. I note an absence of any material science research in this NASA program.
1. Safe, efficient growth of operations.
2. Low Boom Supersonics
3. Ultra efficient subsonic commercial aircraft.
4. Low Carbon propulsion
5. Real time system wide safety assurance
6. Assured autonomy
Growth of operations probably means advanced navigation aids to permit more aircraft to fit into the air. Sounds good, but the current bottleneck to more flights, is the lack of runways to handle them. Building new runways is not an NASA mission (it's FAA) and the major difficulty is the armies of NIMBYs who raise political hell every time airport expansion is proposed.
Low Boom Supersonics is more work on cleverly shaped aircraft that make a less noisy sonic boom. It's interesting, and a fine science project, but we tried supersonic transports 40 years ago. They cost too much, both to buy and to operate.
Ultra efficient sub sonic commercial air craft. At least they limited the project to subsonic. Boeing and Airbus all ready put a lot of work into this, both companies have higher efficiency versions of their bread and butter airliners under development. What can NASA bring to the party?
Low Carbon propulsion. We looked into nuclear powered aircraft back in the fifties. It got as far as test firing a prototype nuclear engine. The program was dropped because of radiation safety concerns and the excessive weight and marginal thrust of the Kiwi A engine. The other avenue is solar electric propulsion. There isn't enough energy in sunlight to achieve much more than a pedal power level of performance.
Real time system wide safety assurance. Not quite sure what that means, unless they are talking about a computerized system for accident reports, safety advisories, Notices to Airman, and so forth.
Assured autonomy. We think this means figuring out how to allow unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, or drones) to fly in US airspace. Anti collision policy right now is "See and be seen". Pilots are expected to look out for and avoid other aircraft. UAV's are not so good at this, the microprocessors don't scan the sky. UAV's were invented to fly missions too dangerous to send real air crew on. I was not aware of any places in US air space where the flak is that bad. Are the druggies using shoulder fired anti aircraft missiles against the Border Patrol?
Jaiwon Shin is hoping to get $560 million to spend on this stuff. Down from $1.7 billion in 1998. Aviation Week feels funding should be increased. No surprise there.
In real life, the improvements from the 707 of 1957 to the 787 of 2013 lie in better materials to make the plane from. Better turbine blade material that lets the turbines run hotter, and better structural materials (carbon fiber) that reduce weight. I note an absence of any material science research in this NASA program.
Thursday, September 5, 2013
Firefox and Internet Explorer tie.
The two rival browsers are neck and neck with 31 % of page views here. Chrome is coming on strong with 20 %. Windows is still the dominant operating system, followed by Linux (12%) and Macintosh at 6%.
Choppers are death traps
Since 1986 there have been 13 crashes of helicopters servicing oil platforms in the North Sea. 127 passengers and crew have died. The last crash was just last week. Five US built Sikorsky helicopters and 8 Eurocopter machines were lost. All the crashes since 2009 were Eurocopter. European authorities grounded the Eurocopter EC225 in October 2012 and kept it grounded until just a few months ago.
Failure of the main gearbox was responsible for six accidents. Full power of the engines, 5000 to 10000 horsepower flows thru the gearbox which has to gear the 10,000 RPM of the turbines down to 100 RPM or less for the rotor. This is a terrible strain, the slightest weakness, stripping of gear teeth, a crack in the casing, loss of oil pressure, bearing failure, anything, and the gearbox blows apart leaving the helicopter hanging in mid air without power.
Two helicopters were struck by lightening and two other accidents look like pilot error. There was one engine fire, one loss of control (reason not given) and last week's accident where all that is known is the chopper lost power and ditched two miles away from Sumburgh airport.
It's gotten so bad that oil rig workers are reluctant to travel by chopper. Oil companies are chartering ships to transport their workers. This is less than ideal, a three hour flight becomes a couple of rough days at sea. Disembarking from a pitching vessel onto a platform in bad weather is quite dangerous.
Failure of the main gearbox was responsible for six accidents. Full power of the engines, 5000 to 10000 horsepower flows thru the gearbox which has to gear the 10,000 RPM of the turbines down to 100 RPM or less for the rotor. This is a terrible strain, the slightest weakness, stripping of gear teeth, a crack in the casing, loss of oil pressure, bearing failure, anything, and the gearbox blows apart leaving the helicopter hanging in mid air without power.
Two helicopters were struck by lightening and two other accidents look like pilot error. There was one engine fire, one loss of control (reason not given) and last week's accident where all that is known is the chopper lost power and ditched two miles away from Sumburgh airport.
It's gotten so bad that oil rig workers are reluctant to travel by chopper. Oil companies are chartering ships to transport their workers. This is less than ideal, a three hour flight becomes a couple of rough days at sea. Disembarking from a pitching vessel onto a platform in bad weather is quite dangerous.
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