Informant vs Spy. In real life these two nouns mean exactly the same thing. But in today's strange politics the democrats seem to think that "informant" sounds better than "spy". They are calling the spy planted upon the Trump campaign in 2016 was really only an informant, which sounds so much nicer than spy.
I will admit that "informant" is used in law enforcement stories whereas "spy" is used in military and international stories, but they both work the same. A harmless looking individual is planted on the enemy and passes useful/damaging information to the other side.
If the spy/informant planted on the Trump campaign story holds up, it will cause a furore, probably as big as Watergate.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Friday, May 25, 2018
Thursday, May 24, 2018
Difference between investment and gambling
I think there is one. Investment means taking good real money and lending it to business enterprises to build factories,power stations, and pipelines, purchase machinery, aircraft, motor vehicles, and ships, to buy inventory, stuff that grows the business. Gambling is fun, but the money doesn't go to finance business, it goes back and forth between players. To keep the economy growing we need to encourage investment and discourage gambling with laws, regulation, and taxes.
The stock market makes investment in stocks attractive, mostly because investors can sell their stock for cash, anytime. And quickly, call your broker, and the sale will go thru that day or the next, and the cash will be in your checking account in another day or so. That's liquidity, and it vastly increases the desirability of stocks as an investment. And companies can issue and sell stock, raising cash for merely printing a stock certificate. If you are starting a company, the ability to issue company stock to raise money is a real boon.
And then we have those things that are mostly gambling. The morning NPR news regularly reports "Dow futures are up (or down)". I don't really know just how Dow futures work, but I seriously doubt that any of the money that changes hands gets to businesses for investment. I think the money just goes back and forth between financial players. Pure gambling. Same goes for "derivatives" another poorly understood (at least I don't really understand them) financial deal which just passes money around among players.
We always need more investment and less gambling.
The stock market makes investment in stocks attractive, mostly because investors can sell their stock for cash, anytime. And quickly, call your broker, and the sale will go thru that day or the next, and the cash will be in your checking account in another day or so. That's liquidity, and it vastly increases the desirability of stocks as an investment. And companies can issue and sell stock, raising cash for merely printing a stock certificate. If you are starting a company, the ability to issue company stock to raise money is a real boon.
And then we have those things that are mostly gambling. The morning NPR news regularly reports "Dow futures are up (or down)". I don't really know just how Dow futures work, but I seriously doubt that any of the money that changes hands gets to businesses for investment. I think the money just goes back and forth between financial players. Pure gambling. Same goes for "derivatives" another poorly understood (at least I don't really understand them) financial deal which just passes money around among players.
We always need more investment and less gambling.
Wednesday, May 23, 2018
Oxford History of the American People by Samuel Elliot Morison
This is American history as it ought to be written. Morison starts with pre Columbian America and takes the story right up to the present day (in Morison's case 1965). Morison is a fine writer, his text reads as well as anything by Bruce Catton or Shelby Foote. He covers everyone of any interest, and every political thought that occurred in America. He leaves nothing out. And he make it all interesting. The book is massive, 1150 pages.
Morison is an fascinating guy. He was a Harvard professor. He held a commission in the Navy reserve. When WWII broke out, Morison became the Navy's historian. He went to sea, pretty much for the duration. He was at the Torch landings in North Africa, he was at Midway. After the war he single handedly wrote the Navy's history of World War II, in fifteen volumes, The History of U.S. Naval Operations in World War II. And he collaborated with Henry Steele Commager to write Growth of the American Republic, (usually known as Morison and Commager) which was the standard college US history text for decades. They don't make Harvard professors like that anymore.
It's a fine read by one of the best American historians ever.
Morison is an fascinating guy. He was a Harvard professor. He held a commission in the Navy reserve. When WWII broke out, Morison became the Navy's historian. He went to sea, pretty much for the duration. He was at the Torch landings in North Africa, he was at Midway. After the war he single handedly wrote the Navy's history of World War II, in fifteen volumes, The History of U.S. Naval Operations in World War II. And he collaborated with Henry Steele Commager to write Growth of the American Republic, (usually known as Morison and Commager) which was the standard college US history text for decades. They don't make Harvard professors like that anymore.
It's a fine read by one of the best American historians ever.
Tuesday, May 22, 2018
Give all the teachers a 40% raise
That's what an op ed in Tuesday's Wall St Journal calls for. The writer seems to feel that teachers ought to get paid more, to bring their salaries in line with say civil engineers. OK, nice thought and all. But.
I'm still a believer in capitalist free market theory. You pay enough to attract the people you need, and no more. The modest wages paid to teachers are a signal to young people that we have a goodly supply of teachers and you could do better and make more money in other lines of work. That's what the market is supposed to do, issue price signals to workers and suppliers, when there is a shortage of something, be it Hershey bars or school teachers, the price goes up, more people take up teaching, or candy companies make more candy bars. It's a system that has served us well, allocated labor and capital intelligently, and given us fantastic prosperity. The Soviets tried to operate without the market and they only lasted 70 years.
The same op ed did note that teachers of math and science, who are always in short supply, get paid more than the average teacher. Hint to aspiring teachers, do a math or science major in college rather than the ed major.
I guess my other problem with the mare 'em more idea is that we have poured more and more money into public schools. The vast funding increase has not improved our children's education, at least by objective measures like test scores. They have remained flat over the decades while school funding has doubled.
I'm still a believer in capitalist free market theory. You pay enough to attract the people you need, and no more. The modest wages paid to teachers are a signal to young people that we have a goodly supply of teachers and you could do better and make more money in other lines of work. That's what the market is supposed to do, issue price signals to workers and suppliers, when there is a shortage of something, be it Hershey bars or school teachers, the price goes up, more people take up teaching, or candy companies make more candy bars. It's a system that has served us well, allocated labor and capital intelligently, and given us fantastic prosperity. The Soviets tried to operate without the market and they only lasted 70 years.
The same op ed did note that teachers of math and science, who are always in short supply, get paid more than the average teacher. Hint to aspiring teachers, do a math or science major in college rather than the ed major.
I guess my other problem with the mare 'em more idea is that we have poured more and more money into public schools. The vast funding increase has not improved our children's education, at least by objective measures like test scores. They have remained flat over the decades while school funding has doubled.
Monday, May 21, 2018
Why was Prince Harry wearing a black uniform?
I thought Harry had served in the British Army, you know, the Redcoats. He was wearing a black uniform, with his pilot's wings and some ribbons, at his wedding yesterday.
Hair Products popular with Black Women may contain harmful chemicals
Thus saith UnScientific American on their website. They go on at some length, listing a whole bunch of organic chemicals that I am unfamiliar with. I never took organic chem. On the other hand, they failed to mention, anywhere, ever, just HOW MUCH of these allegedly harmful chemicals were present in the hair products. Modern chemical analysis is so sensitive that it can detect small amounts of anything, just about anywhere. The article failed to let us readers know if these harmful chemicals were present in just tiny trace amounts, or in amounts large enough to matter.
Sunday, May 20, 2018
The Economics Profession ain't diverse enough
Thus saith The Economist. They been running the occasional think piece about economics. This week they ran the last of the series. And all they had to talk about was the lack of diversity, women and blacks, in economics faculties. It's a worthy thought, I think.
But I'm more interested in whether economics as a "science" gets it right or not. Actually I consider economics as much as an art as a science, sorta like history. In fact economics could call itself economic history. Since you cannot run experiments in economics, at least not on the scale of a national economy, the people object, the best economists can do is gather observations, like they do in geology and astronomy. So although economists use a lot of mathematics ('cause a page of equations looks so cool in a paper) it isn't really a full science like physics and chemistry. It's scientific, sometimes.
But the real question is do the economists really know what they are doing?
But I'm more interested in whether economics as a "science" gets it right or not. Actually I consider economics as much as an art as a science, sorta like history. In fact economics could call itself economic history. Since you cannot run experiments in economics, at least not on the scale of a national economy, the people object, the best economists can do is gather observations, like they do in geology and astronomy. So although economists use a lot of mathematics ('cause a page of equations looks so cool in a paper) it isn't really a full science like physics and chemistry. It's scientific, sometimes.
But the real question is do the economists really know what they are doing?
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