I know I am a day late. Success of the D-day landings was crucial to the defeat of Hitler. It was a humungus enterprise, thousands of landing craft, all built just in time, a million soldiers, tanks, floating harbors, fuel pipelines laid across the channel, and a zillion other things cranked out by British and American industry.
It was extremely dangerous. It might have failed. It was so chancy that Eisenhower, the supreme commander, and the man with the best information, penned a press release announcing defeat of the invasion. Fortunately he never had to use it. With a little more luck, and a better German command structure, Rommel might have been able to throw German armor into the battle on the day of the landings instead of a day later.
Defeat would have been a disaster. It took all of 1942 and 1943, and half of 1944 to build up for D-day. After a defeat on the landing beaches, it would have taken at least another year to build up to a second try. Hitler would have been able to move all the troops guarding France against invasion to the Russian front and that surely would have slowed the Red army down, perhaps even defeated it. It would have given Hitler time to bring secret weapons, V1, V2, jet fighters, guppy submarines, even nuclear weapons into action.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Tuesday, June 7, 2016
Monday, June 6, 2016
Payday loans.
The Diane Reams show was whining about pay day lenders this morning. Lender's are accused of making very high cost short term loans to borrowers who cannot actually pay off the loan off, they just keep rolling it over, at horrible rates of interest, and get skinned.
Elizabeth Warren's Consumer Financial Protection Bureau wants to increase paperwork, and make the lender learn the borrowers income , expenses, and calculate his chances of repaying the loan. Does not sound very effective to me, although it will furnish work for bureaucrats.
They used to have laws against usury, usually defined as loans at 35% per year or worse. The payday lenders are charging more like 350% per year, which is really really bad. Usury laws used to be a business of state law. I understand that the payday lenders have managed to get usury laws repealed, or watered down in many states to allow them to operate. The payday lenders claim that they cannot do business at 35% and allowing the really poverty stricken access to loans is a social good.
I'm thinking that an old fashioned usury law, criminalizing doing loans at more than 35% would clean up the payday lender situation. It would deny credit to people on the bottom, no income, no assets, no job. These people are not good credit risks, and mostly don't have the money to pay off a payday loan. I think it's better for such people to do with out, rather than lend them money that they will be unable to repay.
Elizabeth Warren's Consumer Financial Protection Bureau wants to increase paperwork, and make the lender learn the borrowers income , expenses, and calculate his chances of repaying the loan. Does not sound very effective to me, although it will furnish work for bureaucrats.
They used to have laws against usury, usually defined as loans at 35% per year or worse. The payday lenders are charging more like 350% per year, which is really really bad. Usury laws used to be a business of state law. I understand that the payday lenders have managed to get usury laws repealed, or watered down in many states to allow them to operate. The payday lenders claim that they cannot do business at 35% and allowing the really poverty stricken access to loans is a social good.
I'm thinking that an old fashioned usury law, criminalizing doing loans at more than 35% would clean up the payday lender situation. It would deny credit to people on the bottom, no income, no assets, no job. These people are not good credit risks, and mostly don't have the money to pay off a payday loan. I think it's better for such people to do with out, rather than lend them money that they will be unable to repay.
Fair Point phone book fail.
So I need to renew my drivers license. I know there is or was (haven't checked lately) a DMV office on US 302 in Twin Mountain. Decide to give them a call, just to see if they are still there, and if there is any paperwork I might need to bring.
Open the Fairpoint phone book. Check the Government Offices, State section. No phone number there. Call the Littleton State Police office thinking they might have the number. They didn't, although the officer was very polite on the phone. Check the town of Franconia website, looking for a phone number for Franconia police. No phone numbers on the website. Finally dial 911. Convince the 911 person that it is not an emergeny, I just need a phone number. She finally comes up with a number. I call it. They give me another number, which finally works.
Save your old Verizon phone books, the Fairpoint one is mostly useless.
Or is it the death of phone numbers?
Open the Fairpoint phone book. Check the Government Offices, State section. No phone number there. Call the Littleton State Police office thinking they might have the number. They didn't, although the officer was very polite on the phone. Check the town of Franconia website, looking for a phone number for Franconia police. No phone numbers on the website. Finally dial 911. Convince the 911 person that it is not an emergeny, I just need a phone number. She finally comes up with a number. I call it. They give me another number, which finally works.
Save your old Verizon phone books, the Fairpoint one is mostly useless.
Or is it the death of phone numbers?
Sunday, June 5, 2016
Agencies shall make no law...
Right now federal agencies, IRS, FDA, EPA, FHA, FAA, FCC, FEC, NRC, BATFE, NSA, BLM. et cetera, ad nausium, issue regulations, lots of regulations, all of which have the force of law, and are binding upon us poor citizens. Regulations that can favor one company over another, regulations that tear a man's house down, regulations that can shut a business down arbitrarily, and regulations that make every thing more expensive.
I think we ought to take the power of regulations away from all agencies. The only laws a citizen should have to respect are real laws, passed by both houses of Congress and signed by the president.
Should an agency want to bind the public to something, they can try and get Congress to pass a real law. If perchance, Congress fails to pass the agency's little brain child, then it means it's a bad idea.
And while we are at it, no agency should have it's own private police force, with badges, guns, and the power of arrest. Should an agency want some law enforced, they can jolly well call the regular police, just like us citizens have to do.
In a real democracy, laws are passed by the legislature, not written by bureaucrats in secret.
I think we ought to take the power of regulations away from all agencies. The only laws a citizen should have to respect are real laws, passed by both houses of Congress and signed by the president.
Should an agency want to bind the public to something, they can try and get Congress to pass a real law. If perchance, Congress fails to pass the agency's little brain child, then it means it's a bad idea.
And while we are at it, no agency should have it's own private police force, with badges, guns, and the power of arrest. Should an agency want some law enforced, they can jolly well call the regular police, just like us citizens have to do.
In a real democracy, laws are passed by the legislature, not written by bureaucrats in secret.
Trump figures out the media
The Donald figures that the media are Democrats to a man, and out to get him, and elect Hillary. So, rather than the usual shtick of trying to placate them, which is what the usual pol does, Trump is trashing them, figuring that it gets him air time, and the media is so hostile now, that good solid trashing won't make things any worse than they already are. Plus the voters like watching the Donald trashing the media.
I predict more solid anti-media words coming toward the media. If Trump gets elected, he will have the bully pulpit and at least four years to let 'em have it. Fun fun fun.
I predict more solid anti-media words coming toward the media. If Trump gets elected, he will have the bully pulpit and at least four years to let 'em have it. Fun fun fun.
Saturday, June 4, 2016
SpaceX wants to go to Mars. Year after Next.
SpaceX is creating a manned vehicle to take astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS). Essentially they are adding life support equipment, an air plant, and retro rocket engines to the existing ISS resupply carrier. And doing 50,000 pounds of NASA paperwork to "man rate" the vehicle.
SpaceX wants to send one, unmanned, to Mars in 2018. They have a signed agreement with NASA regardng intellectual property for SpaceX and NASA support for the mission. The vehicle ("Red Dragon") would make a jet landing on Mars, under control of the autopilot. SpaceX has been able to jet land the Falcon booster on a raft in the ocean which seems like a harder job than landing on Mars with it's lesser surface gravity.
"Red Dragon" has impressive engine power. Eight engines, burning nitrogen tetraoxide and hydrazine, produce 33,000 pounds of thrust, call it 16 tons of thrust. The vehicle only weights 15 tons on earth. If the fuel holds out, it has plenty of thrust to slow down and even hover briefly before touchdown.
Takeoff will be atop a Falcon Heavy booster which is three Falcon Nine boosters, strapped together. That will be 27 rocket engines, producing 5.1 million pounds of thrust. Design goal is deliver 15 tons to Mars surface. Straight thru, no earth orbit rendezvous.
SpaceX wants to send one, unmanned, to Mars in 2018. They have a signed agreement with NASA regardng intellectual property for SpaceX and NASA support for the mission. The vehicle ("Red Dragon") would make a jet landing on Mars, under control of the autopilot. SpaceX has been able to jet land the Falcon booster on a raft in the ocean which seems like a harder job than landing on Mars with it's lesser surface gravity.
"Red Dragon" has impressive engine power. Eight engines, burning nitrogen tetraoxide and hydrazine, produce 33,000 pounds of thrust, call it 16 tons of thrust. The vehicle only weights 15 tons on earth. If the fuel holds out, it has plenty of thrust to slow down and even hover briefly before touchdown.
Takeoff will be atop a Falcon Heavy booster which is three Falcon Nine boosters, strapped together. That will be 27 rocket engines, producing 5.1 million pounds of thrust. Design goal is deliver 15 tons to Mars surface. Straight thru, no earth orbit rendezvous.
Thursday, June 2, 2016
The Norks and their nukes
The Economist ran a cover story about the need to do something about North Korea's nuclear program. They went on about weakness and craziness in the Kim regime. Like it might be so crazy as to not be deterreable. The Norks have a missile operational today with enough range to hit all of South Korea and all of Japan. They have missiles under development with enough range to hit the western US. They managed to launch a satellite which means they have a missile that can reach anywhere in the world. Might not have the throw weight to loft a nuclear warhead, yet.
The Economist claims that the Bill Clinton administration considered an air strike on the Nork's nuclear facilities, but Clinton backed off,. fearing that it would touch off a second Korean war. I never heard that story before. There has been some talk that the Norks have dug in so deep that even our 15 ton Massive Ordinance Penetrator bomb couldn't take 'em out.
The Economist does acknowledge that non-military ways of pressuring the Norks pretty much don't exist, especially as the Chinese like having the Norks as a buffer state between them and the South Koreans. The Chinese are sending enough food and fuel to North Korea to keep 'em alive. The Chinese fear the Kim regime is shaky, and that any serious pressure might cause it to collapse. The Chinese don't want that to happen, cause the likely result is the South Koreans take over from the Kim regime, giving the Chinese a pushy, industrialized competitor, who is hand in glove with the Americans, right on their border.
Best the Economist can suggest is installing anti missiles, THAAD and Patriot. They compute that such a two layer defense, each layer having a Probability of kill (Pk) of 70% would yield an overall effectiveness of 90%. Not bad, but not very reassuring when you think about how bad just one nuke can be.
Of course Aviation Week doesn't see things quite that way. They have reported that each of the Nork nuclear tests had a yield of about one kiloton of TNT. That's so weak that most people call it a fizzle. So maybe the Nork's don't really have nukes, yet.
The Economist claims that the Bill Clinton administration considered an air strike on the Nork's nuclear facilities, but Clinton backed off,. fearing that it would touch off a second Korean war. I never heard that story before. There has been some talk that the Norks have dug in so deep that even our 15 ton Massive Ordinance Penetrator bomb couldn't take 'em out.
The Economist does acknowledge that non-military ways of pressuring the Norks pretty much don't exist, especially as the Chinese like having the Norks as a buffer state between them and the South Koreans. The Chinese are sending enough food and fuel to North Korea to keep 'em alive. The Chinese fear the Kim regime is shaky, and that any serious pressure might cause it to collapse. The Chinese don't want that to happen, cause the likely result is the South Koreans take over from the Kim regime, giving the Chinese a pushy, industrialized competitor, who is hand in glove with the Americans, right on their border.
Best the Economist can suggest is installing anti missiles, THAAD and Patriot. They compute that such a two layer defense, each layer having a Probability of kill (Pk) of 70% would yield an overall effectiveness of 90%. Not bad, but not very reassuring when you think about how bad just one nuke can be.
Of course Aviation Week doesn't see things quite that way. They have reported that each of the Nork nuclear tests had a yield of about one kiloton of TNT. That's so weak that most people call it a fizzle. So maybe the Nork's don't really have nukes, yet.
Wednesday, June 1, 2016
Snowflakes on NPR
The morning story is from an NPR chick. She had a flat tire, and 5:30 in the morning. Rather than opening her trunk and breaking out the jack and the spare, she started off by finger stroking her smart phone. She found out she was not a member of AAA, and AAA memberships would not be effective for 48 hours. But she did find some obscure web site that offered road service. It took service better than an hour to get there, and only three minutes to change her tire. She closed the piece by raving about clever new websites.
She would have done better just changing her own tire, all by her little snowflake self.
I can remember insisting that my teen age daughter change a tire right in our driveway before I allowed her to drive herself to school.
She would have done better just changing her own tire, all by her little snowflake self.
I can remember insisting that my teen age daughter change a tire right in our driveway before I allowed her to drive herself to school.
Tuesday, May 31, 2016
Sorry about the Gorilla
On the other hand, I know nothing about gorilla's, and I know nothing about the specific gorilla that got shot. I am not going to second guess the zoo personnel who had to deal with the situation. I'm sure the zoo people feel terrible about killing their gorilla, and did every thing they could to avoid it. They clearly did the best they could in a bad situation. And, the life of a four year old boy is more important than the life of a gorilla. I'm glad the boy lives.
A question that the newsies have been too ignorant to ask. . How does a small boy get into an enclosure stout enough to hold an adult gorilla? If the enclosure can keep gorillas in, why did it not keep small boys out?
Something for all parents to consider. Small children think live animals are cute and huggable. In the Disney movies all the animals talk and act like people. There was a time when a wild black bear strolled by my NH house. All the small children playing on my deck dashed down after the poor bear. They wanted to pet it. The bear, seeing what was coming for him, increased his pace smartly and disappeared into heavy woods before the kids got too close. Fortunately that bear did not have any cubs with it, or things might have gotten very ugly.
Parents ought to make sure their children understand that wild animals are dangerous, and should NOT be pursued. Wild animals are safe as long as you keep your distance. I have wild bears strolling about up here all the time. I keep my distance, the bears keep their distance, and we all stay very happy.
A question that the newsies have been too ignorant to ask. . How does a small boy get into an enclosure stout enough to hold an adult gorilla? If the enclosure can keep gorillas in, why did it not keep small boys out?
Something for all parents to consider. Small children think live animals are cute and huggable. In the Disney movies all the animals talk and act like people. There was a time when a wild black bear strolled by my NH house. All the small children playing on my deck dashed down after the poor bear. They wanted to pet it. The bear, seeing what was coming for him, increased his pace smartly and disappeared into heavy woods before the kids got too close. Fortunately that bear did not have any cubs with it, or things might have gotten very ugly.
Parents ought to make sure their children understand that wild animals are dangerous, and should NOT be pursued. Wild animals are safe as long as you keep your distance. I have wild bears strolling about up here all the time. I keep my distance, the bears keep their distance, and we all stay very happy.
Xmen Apocalypse
Spent Memorial Day weekend at youngest son's brand new house. Since it rained Saturday, we went to the movies. This is the newest Xmen flick, just out. It might as well have been titled "Xmen versus the Mummy".
Lotta CGI special effects. Explosions, fires, collisions, Magneto's strange powers destroying whole cities. According to the rather weak plot, an God/Demon/Evil Sorcerer from Egypt of 3600 BC comes to life in fairly modern times and starts doing evil. Never mind that First dynasty Egyptian Old Kingdom didn't get started until about 2900 BC. This is the prequel Xmen, set in the 1970s or 1980's. Whole new cast, all younger. The guy playing a younger Charles Xavier isn't as good in the role as Patrick Stewart was. Nice costumes, the chicks look sharp and sexy, the guys look hunky, mostly. Hugh Jackman gets a brief (5-10 minute on screen) part. He never gets to speak a line, he just kills a bunch of soldiers, and the last we see of him he is dashing off into a snow covered forest, bare foot, and wearing only Bermuda shorts. Does adamantium warm a body as well as make it bulletproof?
Nobody has a line as good as Storm's line in the first Xmen, "Have you ever seen a toad struck by lightning?"
OK for kids, or dyed in the wool Xmen fans, but not as good as the first two Xmen flicks.
Lotta CGI special effects. Explosions, fires, collisions, Magneto's strange powers destroying whole cities. According to the rather weak plot, an God/Demon/Evil Sorcerer from Egypt of 3600 BC comes to life in fairly modern times and starts doing evil. Never mind that First dynasty Egyptian Old Kingdom didn't get started until about 2900 BC. This is the prequel Xmen, set in the 1970s or 1980's. Whole new cast, all younger. The guy playing a younger Charles Xavier isn't as good in the role as Patrick Stewart was. Nice costumes, the chicks look sharp and sexy, the guys look hunky, mostly. Hugh Jackman gets a brief (5-10 minute on screen) part. He never gets to speak a line, he just kills a bunch of soldiers, and the last we see of him he is dashing off into a snow covered forest, bare foot, and wearing only Bermuda shorts. Does adamantium warm a body as well as make it bulletproof?
Nobody has a line as good as Storm's line in the first Xmen, "Have you ever seen a toad struck by lightning?"
OK for kids, or dyed in the wool Xmen fans, but not as good as the first two Xmen flicks.
Friday, May 27, 2016
Nuking Hiroshima was the right thing to do
The Japanese started WWII by attacking Pearl Harbor, in time of peace, without a declaration of war. They sank the Pacific Fleet battle line, which gave them naval supremacy thruout the Pacific, at least by the thinking of 1942. They inflicted several more humiliating defeats upon us and upon the British. They treated our prisoners of war like dirt, many of them died in Japanese captivity.
The Japanese fought hard. Guadalcanal, Saipan, Okinawa, Io Jima, Tarawa. Based upon bitter experience gained on Okinawa and Saipan, we figured invasion of the Home Islands would cost us a million casualties, and the Japanese far more. By 1945 US submarines had blockaded Japan, nothing big enough to be worth a torpedo was getting in or out of the Home Islands. The Air Force had total air superiority, and were fire bombing every city in Japan. Even at this low point, with their backs to the wall, the Japanese refused to negotiate.
Offered a chance to end the war, Truman took it. And it worked. The first nuke on Hiroshima shook 'em up, but not enough to bring them to their senses. The second nuke on Nagasaki finally did the trick. The bitter end generals were pushed out of government, and some rational men took over and ended the war.
The Japanese fought hard. Guadalcanal, Saipan, Okinawa, Io Jima, Tarawa. Based upon bitter experience gained on Okinawa and Saipan, we figured invasion of the Home Islands would cost us a million casualties, and the Japanese far more. By 1945 US submarines had blockaded Japan, nothing big enough to be worth a torpedo was getting in or out of the Home Islands. The Air Force had total air superiority, and were fire bombing every city in Japan. Even at this low point, with their backs to the wall, the Japanese refused to negotiate.
Offered a chance to end the war, Truman took it. And it worked. The first nuke on Hiroshima shook 'em up, but not enough to bring them to their senses. The second nuke on Nagasaki finally did the trick. The bitter end generals were pushed out of government, and some rational men took over and ended the war.
Thursday, May 26, 2016
Horatio Hornblower, The Mutiny
Good flick. Came to me thru Netflix. The Brits started a series of TV movies about Hornblower, starring Ioan Gruffyd, nice young guy, who looks the part and acts the part well. This one is maybe #5 or #6 in the modern series.
Horatio Hornblower is a Royal Navy officer, serving during the Napoleonic wars, invented by author C.S. Forester back in the early 1940's. Forester wrote half a dozen Hornblower tales over the years and they are still in print. The TV movies are all good. Costumes are really good. The naval officers, the petty officers, the seaman, the marines all wear different uniforms, nicely made. I'm not a real expert on period costumes, but they all look right to my eye. Most of the action is filmed at sea, on board ship. The ship[s] are convincing. Makes you think they took the trouble to find or build real sailing warships. Either that or the CGI folks are getting really good. The ships in this modern series are much more convincing that the ship[s] in the old 1950's Hornblower movie with Gregory Peck and Virginia Mayo.
Anyway, it's a good watchable flick, good camera work, good soundtrack. Lots of action, great scenery, excellent plot. The other Hornblower flicks are just as good. And the books are all good reads.
Horatio Hornblower is a Royal Navy officer, serving during the Napoleonic wars, invented by author C.S. Forester back in the early 1940's. Forester wrote half a dozen Hornblower tales over the years and they are still in print. The TV movies are all good. Costumes are really good. The naval officers, the petty officers, the seaman, the marines all wear different uniforms, nicely made. I'm not a real expert on period costumes, but they all look right to my eye. Most of the action is filmed at sea, on board ship. The ship[s] are convincing. Makes you think they took the trouble to find or build real sailing warships. Either that or the CGI folks are getting really good. The ships in this modern series are much more convincing that the ship[s] in the old 1950's Hornblower movie with Gregory Peck and Virginia Mayo.
Anyway, it's a good watchable flick, good camera work, good soundtrack. Lots of action, great scenery, excellent plot. The other Hornblower flicks are just as good. And the books are all good reads.
Labels:
C.S. Forester,
Gregory Peck,
Ioan Gruffyd,
Virginia Mayo
Wednesday, May 25, 2016
So what is Congress planning for Puerto Rico?
Puerto Rico is broke. They owe $70 billion on loans taken out in the past. Between pensions, welfare, lotta featherbedding, and plain old graft, the Puerto Rico government spends far more than it collects in taxes. They cannot make payments on the loans coming due.
Thru some quirk in the law, Puerto Rico as a US territory, cannot declare bankruptcy the way cities and towns, and possibly states can. The idea in bankruptcy is to prevent everyone and his cousin suing, which is more than anyone can defend against, and have an "impartial" judge divvy up the bankrupt's assets. For companies, the judge usually decides to keep the company going, and avoid laying off all the employees. To this end, the bankruptcy judges usually tells the lenders to just suck it up, cancels the debts, makes some company reforms and sets the company going again.
For places like Detroit and Puerto Rico, the path is less clear. No bank with two brain cells firing is going to loan a nickel to places like that. The unions, the pensioners, and everyone else will die in the trenches before allowing any cost cutting. Which leaves the cash strapped government to make payroll with IOU's.
Mean while, all the big New York banks, who made all the totally foolish loans are down in DC right now lobbying Congress to bail out Puerto Rico, i.e. have taxpayers pay off the loans, so the banks don't have to to confess how stupid they are. The banks are asking for $70 billion in comfort money. That's a lotta money.
There is some kinda Puerto Rico deal going thru Congress right now. Speaker Ryan is pushing it. Nobody knows what's in it.
A Puerto Rico deal should merely make it possible for Puerto Rice to declare bankruptcy and be protected from a zillion lawsuits while they work out the details. The bankruptcy court should have the power to cancel debts, cancel contracts, fire politicians, and raise taxes. It should NOT pay off the lenders. The lenders made stupid loans, anyone could tell Puerto Rico could not pay off the loans, even twenty years ago. For being stuck on stupid, the banks oughta take a $70 billion hit. Maybe it will learn 'em some.
And our noble MSM ought to find out what is going down in DC and clue us in. Perhaps the banks have bought them off?
Thru some quirk in the law, Puerto Rico as a US territory, cannot declare bankruptcy the way cities and towns, and possibly states can. The idea in bankruptcy is to prevent everyone and his cousin suing, which is more than anyone can defend against, and have an "impartial" judge divvy up the bankrupt's assets. For companies, the judge usually decides to keep the company going, and avoid laying off all the employees. To this end, the bankruptcy judges usually tells the lenders to just suck it up, cancels the debts, makes some company reforms and sets the company going again.
For places like Detroit and Puerto Rico, the path is less clear. No bank with two brain cells firing is going to loan a nickel to places like that. The unions, the pensioners, and everyone else will die in the trenches before allowing any cost cutting. Which leaves the cash strapped government to make payroll with IOU's.
Mean while, all the big New York banks, who made all the totally foolish loans are down in DC right now lobbying Congress to bail out Puerto Rico, i.e. have taxpayers pay off the loans, so the banks don't have to to confess how stupid they are. The banks are asking for $70 billion in comfort money. That's a lotta money.
There is some kinda Puerto Rico deal going thru Congress right now. Speaker Ryan is pushing it. Nobody knows what's in it.
A Puerto Rico deal should merely make it possible for Puerto Rice to declare bankruptcy and be protected from a zillion lawsuits while they work out the details. The bankruptcy court should have the power to cancel debts, cancel contracts, fire politicians, and raise taxes. It should NOT pay off the lenders. The lenders made stupid loans, anyone could tell Puerto Rico could not pay off the loans, even twenty years ago. For being stuck on stupid, the banks oughta take a $70 billion hit. Maybe it will learn 'em some.
And our noble MSM ought to find out what is going down in DC and clue us in. Perhaps the banks have bought them off?
Tuesday, May 24, 2016
Let the passengers carry heat. Safer that way.
Things have changed. Back before 9/11 passengers all understood that when hijacked, they should sit tight, don't give the hijackers any trouble, and they will come out of it alright. 9/11 changed all that. Now passengers all understand that if they let the hijackers take control of the aircraft, they will die a fiery death in the crash. Since then, a few "unruly" passengers have been subdued in flight by fellow passengers. In one case a fire axe was used as a pacifier.
If we just let the passengers carry heat, then Abdul the Hijacker has to worry about some little old lady passenger in economy taking a .38 out of her purse and splattering his brains all over the cabin ceiling. And certainly hijackers armed with box cutters aren't going to win over passengers with handguns. And if we say handguns are OK, then TSA can stop hassling passengers over the odd Swiss Army knife in some guy's pocket. And we can drop that stuff about liquid explosives. The liquid explosive is so touchy that Abdul the Hijacker is more likely to have the stuff go off in the taxi on the way to the airport than in flight. Real terrorists use Semtex, a plastic explosive.
If one in twenty passengers carries, then the hijackers will face a fusillade from five to ten armed passengers no matter what flight they try.
And we could solve the long security line problem that TSA is putting us thru. For that matter we could lay off TSA and save our selves a lotta hassle and a lotta money.
All we need for decent security is to X-ray all the checked bags to keep the terrorists from putting a bomb in the baggage compartment. And X-ray the hand luggage as well. We could solve the long line problem overnight.
If we just let the passengers carry heat, then Abdul the Hijacker has to worry about some little old lady passenger in economy taking a .38 out of her purse and splattering his brains all over the cabin ceiling. And certainly hijackers armed with box cutters aren't going to win over passengers with handguns. And if we say handguns are OK, then TSA can stop hassling passengers over the odd Swiss Army knife in some guy's pocket. And we can drop that stuff about liquid explosives. The liquid explosive is so touchy that Abdul the Hijacker is more likely to have the stuff go off in the taxi on the way to the airport than in flight. Real terrorists use Semtex, a plastic explosive.
If one in twenty passengers carries, then the hijackers will face a fusillade from five to ten armed passengers no matter what flight they try.
And we could solve the long security line problem that TSA is putting us thru. For that matter we could lay off TSA and save our selves a lotta hassle and a lotta money.
All we need for decent security is to X-ray all the checked bags to keep the terrorists from putting a bomb in the baggage compartment. And X-ray the hand luggage as well. We could solve the long line problem overnight.
Monday, May 23, 2016
The Donald is rising in the polls
My major objection to The Donald used to be national polls showing him losing to Hillary. Well, that seems to be turning around. This weekend the TV newsies began to cite new polls showing The Donald level, or slightly ahead of Hillary. The lead isn't decisive yet, but compared to where The Donald was a couple of months ago, it's a whole bunch better.
The Republic might be saved yet.
The Republic might be saved yet.
Ergonomic Fail. My Cell Phone
It's extremely small, it's black, which makes it hard to see. Set it down somewhere and you cannot find it. Inoffensive computer casework beige would be easier to see. And I would be happy to have one a tad bigger if it held a bigger battery.
Control of this miniature wonder comes from stroking the touch pad with your finger. The poor thing sports just two real physical buttons. One button is the "wake up" button. Press it and the phone comes to life, touch screen lights up. Press it again and all sorts of weird stuff happens, including missing my incoming call. The other button adjusts the loudness of the ring.
Should phone ring in my shirt pocket, I'm bound to press one or both real buttons while fishing phone out of my pocket. Which means ring loudness randomly changes from max to zero, and the incoming call gets lost.
For my simple needs, the ring loudness might as well be another "app" on the touch screen menus, I'm less likely to screw up the ring settings by just handling the phone. The wake up button ought to be a slide switch, so you cannot press it by accident.
My other gripe, the phone has TWO keypads, a numeric pad like a standard desk phone, and a qwerty keyboard. So, entering a new contact, it asks for contact name. And shows the telephone keypad. It takes four or five finger strikes to find the qwerty keyboard.
This is a lower end Trak Phone, no monthly contract. God help us from the smarter phones.
Control of this miniature wonder comes from stroking the touch pad with your finger. The poor thing sports just two real physical buttons. One button is the "wake up" button. Press it and the phone comes to life, touch screen lights up. Press it again and all sorts of weird stuff happens, including missing my incoming call. The other button adjusts the loudness of the ring.
Should phone ring in my shirt pocket, I'm bound to press one or both real buttons while fishing phone out of my pocket. Which means ring loudness randomly changes from max to zero, and the incoming call gets lost.
For my simple needs, the ring loudness might as well be another "app" on the touch screen menus, I'm less likely to screw up the ring settings by just handling the phone. The wake up button ought to be a slide switch, so you cannot press it by accident.
My other gripe, the phone has TWO keypads, a numeric pad like a standard desk phone, and a qwerty keyboard. So, entering a new contact, it asks for contact name. And shows the telephone keypad. It takes four or five finger strikes to find the qwerty keyboard.
This is a lower end Trak Phone, no monthly contract. God help us from the smarter phones.
Sunday, May 22, 2016
The Curse of the Cameraman
Newly fashionable among Hollywood cameramen, the under exposed shot. In a recent Bond movie (Skyfall) we have a furious hand to hand fight between to black silhouettes. I guessed one was Bond and the other was a Bond villain, but there was no way to tell one fighter from the other. Which makes the whole fight scene pretty meaningless. A recent Marvel comic book movie (Dark Thor) all the scenes are super dark. Ocasionally we can make out the actor's faces in an otherwise black scene, but some times not even that. These aren't the only ones.
This ultra dark fashion makes watching movies a real PITA. It's as bad as the fad for shake-the-camera shots of a few years ago.
And we still have the curse of the soundman out there. You know, the sound man allows the score or the sound effects drown out the dialog.
Hollywood used to get this right, well lit scenes with understandable dialog. But lately directors have been allowing cameramen and soundmen to screw things up.
This ultra dark fashion makes watching movies a real PITA. It's as bad as the fad for shake-the-camera shots of a few years ago.
And we still have the curse of the soundman out there. You know, the sound man allows the score or the sound effects drown out the dialog.
Hollywood used to get this right, well lit scenes with understandable dialog. But lately directors have been allowing cameramen and soundmen to screw things up.
Friday, May 20, 2016
EgyptAir Crash
It's a terrible story. My deepest sympathies to the victims and their families.
The TV newsies have been talking and talking about the story, mostly revealing their total ignorance of aviation. For instance I heard one of the saying the winglets (little upturned fins at the wingtips) were there to improve maneuverability. No way. Winglets reduce the drag caused by the wing tip vortexes. No body talked about the time the vertical stabilizer snapped clean off an Airbus departing New York, causing a crash that killed all on board. At the time, Airbus claimed the failure was caused by the pilot applying too much rudder. The newsies mostly let Airbus get away with this canard years ago. Real aircraft are built strong enough to withstand the force of hard over control surfaces. In an emergency the pilot needs to apply full control forces and not have to worry about the aircraft breaking up in mid air.
Lotta talk about terrorism. It's certainly a valid suspicion. So far there is no evidence (at least on TV) of terrorist action. Evidence like hearing "Take this plane to Mosul" on the cockpit voice recorder. Or flight data recorder showing massive failures all over the plane at once. Or some low life confessing that he put the bomb on the plane. Or intercepted phone or text messages, or email, or snail mail of the low lives gloating about their success. So far we don't even have any terrorist claiming the hit.
I got my suspicions, just like the rest of you, but so far, they are just suspicions. We need to find the wreck and recover the recorders before we know anything.
Also note, EgyptAir is a government of Egypt operation with a mediocre to poor safety record. The Egyptians have plenty of motive to blame the crash on terrorists, as opposed to shoddy maintenance or poorly trained aircrew. It was the Egyptians who first started crying terrorist within hours of the tragedy.
The TV newsies have been talking and talking about the story, mostly revealing their total ignorance of aviation. For instance I heard one of the saying the winglets (little upturned fins at the wingtips) were there to improve maneuverability. No way. Winglets reduce the drag caused by the wing tip vortexes. No body talked about the time the vertical stabilizer snapped clean off an Airbus departing New York, causing a crash that killed all on board. At the time, Airbus claimed the failure was caused by the pilot applying too much rudder. The newsies mostly let Airbus get away with this canard years ago. Real aircraft are built strong enough to withstand the force of hard over control surfaces. In an emergency the pilot needs to apply full control forces and not have to worry about the aircraft breaking up in mid air.
Lotta talk about terrorism. It's certainly a valid suspicion. So far there is no evidence (at least on TV) of terrorist action. Evidence like hearing "Take this plane to Mosul" on the cockpit voice recorder. Or flight data recorder showing massive failures all over the plane at once. Or some low life confessing that he put the bomb on the plane. Or intercepted phone or text messages, or email, or snail mail of the low lives gloating about their success. So far we don't even have any terrorist claiming the hit.
I got my suspicions, just like the rest of you, but so far, they are just suspicions. We need to find the wreck and recover the recorders before we know anything.
Also note, EgyptAir is a government of Egypt operation with a mediocre to poor safety record. The Egyptians have plenty of motive to blame the crash on terrorists, as opposed to shoddy maintenance or poorly trained aircrew. It was the Egyptians who first started crying terrorist within hours of the tragedy.
Thursday, May 19, 2016
NPR ran a story about a four year old being "transgendered"
Was on the FM radio yesterday. I was appalled. How can a four year old know any such thing? Could this be a case of the parents wanted a child of the opposite sex? And rather than having another child, they decided to warp the one they had?
And the pros don't approve either.
And the pros don't approve either.
JFK wanted to send a man to the moon.
Obama wants to send a man to the ladies restroom. Good slam. From Texas.
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Third Party Presidential runs
In 1860, Democrat John Bell split the Democratic Party into Northern and South wings. He tipped the election to Republican Abraham Lincoln.
In 1912, Republican Teddy Roosevelt ran as the "Bull Moose Party" candidate. He tipped the election to Democrat Woodrow Wilson.
In 1968 Democrat George Wallace ran as a third party. He tipped the election to Republican Richard Nixon.
In 1993 Independent Ross Perot ran as a third party. He tipped the election to Democrat Bill Clinton.
Since the modern party system was created with the establishment of the Republican Party in 1856, these are the four "third party" campaigns that garnered enough votes to get into the history books. Just about every election had third party candidates but mostly they never garnered enough votes to matter. These are the four big third party campaigns that did well enough to matter.
In all four cases, the third party was a split off from either the Democrats (Bell and Wallace) or the Republicans (Roosevelt and Perot). In each case the presence of the third party campaign tipped the election to the other side.
So today we have unhappy Republicans talking up a third party campaign. If they get it off the ground, history says it will tip the election to the other party, Hillary.
I don't want Hillary as president. The Donald would be much better.
In 1912, Republican Teddy Roosevelt ran as the "Bull Moose Party" candidate. He tipped the election to Democrat Woodrow Wilson.
In 1968 Democrat George Wallace ran as a third party. He tipped the election to Republican Richard Nixon.
In 1993 Independent Ross Perot ran as a third party. He tipped the election to Democrat Bill Clinton.
Since the modern party system was created with the establishment of the Republican Party in 1856, these are the four "third party" campaigns that garnered enough votes to get into the history books. Just about every election had third party candidates but mostly they never garnered enough votes to matter. These are the four big third party campaigns that did well enough to matter.
In all four cases, the third party was a split off from either the Democrats (Bell and Wallace) or the Republicans (Roosevelt and Perot). In each case the presence of the third party campaign tipped the election to the other side.
So today we have unhappy Republicans talking up a third party campaign. If they get it off the ground, history says it will tip the election to the other party, Hillary.
I don't want Hillary as president. The Donald would be much better.
Labels:
George Wallace,
John Bell,
Ross Perot,
Teddy Roosevelt
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Supremes cannot decide. Both plaintiffs claim victory
The eight surviving Supremes have lost all ability to discuss issues among themselves. Four of them vote leftie, the other four vote rightie, they cannot reach agreement. In short, the eight top legal beagles of America cannot agree on what the law means. Good work law schools.
In the Little Sisters of the Poor case, where Obama is trying to force a Catholic order of nuns to furnish birth control to their employees, the Supremes just ruled that the case must be reheard in the lower courts.
Both sides, the nuns, and the Obama administration claim victory.
They cannot both be right, Can they?
In the Little Sisters of the Poor case, where Obama is trying to force a Catholic order of nuns to furnish birth control to their employees, the Supremes just ruled that the case must be reheard in the lower courts.
Both sides, the nuns, and the Obama administration claim victory.
They cannot both be right, Can they?
Slanting the news same-same Freedom of the Press
They have been all over Facebook and Zuckerman over the accusation of slanting the "Trending" column by dropping conservative stories. A Congressional hearing is promised.
Not that I approve, I'm conservative too, but the United States has been blessed with slanted news reporting since the founding of the Republic. Look at the New York Times. In the 1930's they supported Soviet communism. "I have seen the future and it works". In the 1950's they supported Fidel Castro, strongly enough to make him dictator of Cuba. In the 1960's they backed North Viet Nam. They published the Pentagon Papers in order to destabilize the Nixon administration. They published a leak from CIA about tapping Osama bin Laden's satellite phone, result, Bin Laden ditched the phone and went back to messengers.
I don't see much difference between want the Times does and what Zuckerman is accused of doing at Facebook.
Not that I approve, I'm conservative too, but the United States has been blessed with slanted news reporting since the founding of the Republic. Look at the New York Times. In the 1930's they supported Soviet communism. "I have seen the future and it works". In the 1950's they supported Fidel Castro, strongly enough to make him dictator of Cuba. In the 1960's they backed North Viet Nam. They published the Pentagon Papers in order to destabilize the Nixon administration. They published a leak from CIA about tapping Osama bin Laden's satellite phone, result, Bin Laden ditched the phone and went back to messengers.
I don't see much difference between want the Times does and what Zuckerman is accused of doing at Facebook.
Monday, May 16, 2016
More Global Warming
It snowed up here, light, only 1/4 inch, but mid May is very late for snow, even in New Hampshire. Clearly global warming at work.
Then my electric bill shows power use by month over the last 12 months. This year, May 2016, average temperature was 43F and my daily power use was 19 KWH. Last May, it was 57F and daily power use was 15 KWH. More global warming at work.
Then my electric bill shows power use by month over the last 12 months. This year, May 2016, average temperature was 43F and my daily power use was 19 KWH. Last May, it was 57F and daily power use was 15 KWH. More global warming at work.
Sunday, May 15, 2016
Wendy's to install automatic kiosks in 6000 outlets
This story has gotten some serious airplay, always followed up with tsk-tsking about how $15 minimum wage causes low end jobs to be automated out of existence.
It reminders me of an old old Robert A. Heinlein story. Our intrepid teen age hero has been invited to breakfast at a truck stop, by a trucker. To make conversation the trucker says,
"This joint used to be automated. Then it went broke, and the trade all went to the Tivoli, down the road apiece. Then the new owner threw out the machinery and hired girls. Business picked up."
At this point the waitress is taking their order and the trucker says to her,
"I want that egg just barely dead. If it's cooked solid I'll nail it to the wall as a warning to others."
"I doubt that you will be able to get a nail thru it," replies the waitress.
"See what I mean," says the trucker to our intrepid teen age hero. "How can machines compete?"
Good luck with automation Wendy's.
It reminders me of an old old Robert A. Heinlein story. Our intrepid teen age hero has been invited to breakfast at a truck stop, by a trucker. To make conversation the trucker says,
"This joint used to be automated. Then it went broke, and the trade all went to the Tivoli, down the road apiece. Then the new owner threw out the machinery and hired girls. Business picked up."
At this point the waitress is taking their order and the trucker says to her,
"I want that egg just barely dead. If it's cooked solid I'll nail it to the wall as a warning to others."
"I doubt that you will be able to get a nail thru it," replies the waitress.
"See what I mean," says the trucker to our intrepid teen age hero. "How can machines compete?"
Good luck with automation Wendy's.
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Trashing Sikes Picot
NPR and the Economist have been blaming the woes of the Arab world on the Sikes Picot Agreement of 1916. Must be the centennial that brings this out. I'll grant every one of the Arab woes, but I cannot believe they have anything to do with Sikes Picot.
The Ottoman empire (forerunner to modern Turkey) used to own, operate, tax, and run all the the modern middle East, Greece and the Balkans, Egypt and North Africa. Turkish/Ottoman control began to slip in the 19th century and World War I brought Lawrence of Arabia to completely tear up the Ottoman empire. In 1916 the British and the French had Sikes (for Britain) and Picot (for France) draw up a plan to divvy up the Ottoman lands after the war. The British, the French, the Italians, and the Russians all got a big slice. Old style imperialism at work. But that's the way things worked a hundred years ago.
In reality, the local Arabs were too dis organized, too tribal, too uneducated, and too primitive to actually run things. It took 30 years for the Arabs to get up to speed and push out the European imperialists and set up their own regimes. To a certain extent, but not entirely, the boundaries of the new Arab states followed the boundaries drawn by Sikes and Picot, but so what? The populations were/are all Arab, they all speak Arabic, they are all Muslims. With the exception of Egypt, there are no natural geographic borders (mountain ranges or rivers, or deserts) so one boundary is about as good as any other.
The entire region is huge, no Arab government has the smarts, the charisma, or the military force to run the whole place. Best the Arabs can manage is to run smaller chunks of it, hence the multiplicity of regimes, Iraq, Iran, Egypt, Qatar, Syria, and so on.
So far as I am considered, the woes of the Arab lands are of their own making, it's not the fault of a diplomatic agreement among European imperialists a hundred years ago.
The Ottoman empire (forerunner to modern Turkey) used to own, operate, tax, and run all the the modern middle East, Greece and the Balkans, Egypt and North Africa. Turkish/Ottoman control began to slip in the 19th century and World War I brought Lawrence of Arabia to completely tear up the Ottoman empire. In 1916 the British and the French had Sikes (for Britain) and Picot (for France) draw up a plan to divvy up the Ottoman lands after the war. The British, the French, the Italians, and the Russians all got a big slice. Old style imperialism at work. But that's the way things worked a hundred years ago.
In reality, the local Arabs were too dis organized, too tribal, too uneducated, and too primitive to actually run things. It took 30 years for the Arabs to get up to speed and push out the European imperialists and set up their own regimes. To a certain extent, but not entirely, the boundaries of the new Arab states followed the boundaries drawn by Sikes and Picot, but so what? The populations were/are all Arab, they all speak Arabic, they are all Muslims. With the exception of Egypt, there are no natural geographic borders (mountain ranges or rivers, or deserts) so one boundary is about as good as any other.
The entire region is huge, no Arab government has the smarts, the charisma, or the military force to run the whole place. Best the Arabs can manage is to run smaller chunks of it, hence the multiplicity of regimes, Iraq, Iran, Egypt, Qatar, Syria, and so on.
So far as I am considered, the woes of the Arab lands are of their own making, it's not the fault of a diplomatic agreement among European imperialists a hundred years ago.
Friday, May 13, 2016
Where have all the retail sales gone?
WashPo has a long article here bewailing the lack of retail sales. One reason might be the really utilitarian product retailers have to sell. Consider Walmart. A worthy place, the price is right, the stuff is OK, and I shop there. But only for pretty utilitarian things, like Jockey shorts, prescription medicine, and paper towels. Over the last few years we have lost the Radio Shack, a nice kitchenware place, a decent used book store, a very decent new book and toy store, an Ace Hardware, two video stores, and The Oasis restaurant. All that's left is Lahout's, Walmart, Staples, Home Despot, and Lowes. None of them are very gifty stores.
For Christmas, birthdays, weddings, anniversaries, I go on line to find nice stuff to give as gifts. I gotta drive a long way south on I93,. Tilton or Concord. to find anything much better. So this Christmas, Amazon, Lee Valley, Signals, and Garrett Wade got all my Christmas buying.
For Christmas, birthdays, weddings, anniversaries, I go on line to find nice stuff to give as gifts. I gotta drive a long way south on I93,. Tilton or Concord. to find anything much better. So this Christmas, Amazon, Lee Valley, Signals, and Garrett Wade got all my Christmas buying.
Labels:
Garrett Wade,
Home Depot,
Lee Valley,
Lowes,
Staples,
Walmart
Cluelessness runs in the family
Apparently Chelsea Clinton's husband, Marc Mezvinsky, some kinda stock broker wheeler dealer has lost humungous amounts of his clients (suckers) money. According to the Daily Mail, he lost the money speculating in Greek bonds. That's a maximum stupid in my book. Anyone with two brain cells firing knew that the Greeks were broke and would never be able to pay off their bonds. Looks like Chelsea married a chucklehead.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
There IS a difference in supermarket brands
Surefine (Mac's Market house brand) 100% Colombian coffee tastes better than Shaw's house brand 100% Colombian coffee. Was in Shaw's the other day and picked up a can of their stuff by mistake. Bad idea, it was harsh and bitter. Even youngest son commented on how bad it was. Whereas the Surefine at $4 and change a can tastes as good as jazzier coffees going for as much as $9 a can.
Tuesday, May 10, 2016
North Carolina Bathroom Brouhaha
The Obama justice department and the state of North Carolina are now suing each other over the bathroom bill. The Feds are threatening to cut off some serious federal money unless North Carolina knuckles under.
Leaving the bathroom bill issue for a bit, let's ask why the Feds were giving a state that kind of money in the first place. Education is a state and local responsibility, and should be paid for by state and local governments. When the folks that spend the money have to raise the money, they are a bit more frugal in spending. Where as free money handed out by the Feds gets spent as fast as possible. There is always something to spend money on.
In short, why is my federal tax money being set to North Carolina? It's a nice place and all, but I think it ought to be raising its money from its own citizens, not freeloading off of me, up here in New Hampshire.
Leaving the bathroom bill issue for a bit, let's ask why the Feds were giving a state that kind of money in the first place. Education is a state and local responsibility, and should be paid for by state and local governments. When the folks that spend the money have to raise the money, they are a bit more frugal in spending. Where as free money handed out by the Feds gets spent as fast as possible. There is always something to spend money on.
In short, why is my federal tax money being set to North Carolina? It's a nice place and all, but I think it ought to be raising its money from its own citizens, not freeloading off of me, up here in New Hampshire.
Monday, May 9, 2016
Army to Shrink to 480,000 troops
So how many are real combat soldiers, infantry, artillery, and armor, and how many are paper pushers and Rear Echelon Mother F----rs (REMF) 480,000 real combat troops is on the thin side, but possible. We only sent 140,000 troops to take out Saddam Hussein a few years ago. But 480,000 who are mostly REMF's is scary.
In the real world, the troops are dispatched on one year overseas, unaccompanied, combat tours, and then they expect at least one year back home with their families. When there ain't enough troops, the same guys get sent back on second and third and fourth combat tours with only a few weeks at home in between each combat tour. This is pretty damn hard on the troops.
In the real world, the troops are dispatched on one year overseas, unaccompanied, combat tours, and then they expect at least one year back home with their families. When there ain't enough troops, the same guys get sent back on second and third and fourth combat tours with only a few weeks at home in between each combat tour. This is pretty damn hard on the troops.
Why we don't want a President Hillary
She would pack the Supreme court with lefties, who would rule against liberty and in favor of regulations, bureaucrats, against the second amendment, and uphold rights for tiny minorities at the expense of the general public They would support all kinds of government snooping on citizens These lefties would stay on the bench for decades suppressing liberty and enhancing federal power.
She would veto repeal, or even any changes to, Obamacare.
She would bungle US foreign policy the way she has bungled Syria, Libya, Tunisia, Ukraine, North Korean, Iraq, and Iran. She is possibly clumsy enough at foreign relations to get us into yet another war.
She is a gun control freak and will attempt to take our guns away.
She will continue Obama's economy killing policies.
The "Never Trump" people talking up Hillary as better than Trump need to think about these things.
She would veto repeal, or even any changes to, Obamacare.
She would bungle US foreign policy the way she has bungled Syria, Libya, Tunisia, Ukraine, North Korean, Iraq, and Iran. She is possibly clumsy enough at foreign relations to get us into yet another war.
She is a gun control freak and will attempt to take our guns away.
She will continue Obama's economy killing policies.
The "Never Trump" people talking up Hillary as better than Trump need to think about these things.
Sunday, May 8, 2016
Selling the Nerd Mobile on TV
One of those successful car commercials. Opens with a sporty looking little red car zipping down an empty road. (When was the last time you got to drive on a road empty of cars?). Camera zooms in on the driver's seat and we have the biggest nerd you ever saw driving the car. That's gonna make me want to buy it. Then we see a cop car, bubble gum machine flashing blue and red in the rearview mirror. Commercial ends, mercifully, before we get to the cop writing the nerd a ticket.
Do they really think this is gonna sell cars?
Do they really think this is gonna sell cars?
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