Article in a local paper said that opioid prescriptions were down, from about 90% of patients in 2014 to maybe 70% in 2016. The article didn't bother to explain the percent numbers (typical of newsies who are totally innumerate). I'm guessing that it is the number of opioid prescriptions written over the total number of patients. Any one please feel free to correct me on this.
If this is progress we are doomed.
I take my self to the doctor today. I used to bring all three children to the doctor along with my wife. For 50 years, 200-300 doctor appointments at least. Never did I or any of my family receive a prescription for opioids. That's an opioid prescription rate of 0 for me and my family.
To hear that an opioid prescription rate of 70% is an improvement is ridiculous.
I can believe that there are some people with real pain problems for whom opioids are indicated. I cannot believe that 70% of people have real pain problems.
I am aware that most of the overdose deaths are caused by heroin and fentanyl , both of which are illegal. I'd like to know how many of these overdose cases got started with prescription opioids. I have never seen any numbers on this. But if 70% of patients are started on opioids, you gotta believe that a lot of 'em move over to cheaper (but more dangerous) street drugs.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
Monday, October 23, 2017
Whither the EU?
Just as it looked like the EU was coming together, the Brits pull out. Britain is the number 2 EU country, just behind Germany and ahead of France in terms of GNP, population, diplomatic effectiveness, American connections, lotta things. To have your Number 2 member pull out has gotta be disheartening for the advocates of European unity.
And we may have further breakups in the works. Catalonia, an important Spanish province, has voted in a referendum to succeed from Spain. There has been some pushback by the government of Spain, and some stories about how turnout for the referendum was very light, say 20%. If that's true, it says that only the hard core Catalans came out to vote. And, if the Catalans succeed, the Basque region will be right behind. And the Scots and the Welsh are making noises about pulling out of the United Kingdom (Britain). That's four small provinces making succession noises. Although I don't remember hearing anyone from these proto-mini-nations talk about joining the EU, it's a good bet that some, maybe all of 'em will apply for EU membership after they make their succession good.
The EU got started right after WWII. The European survivors of that disaster wanted to prevent WWIII by welding Europe together into a single country. The Americans were all in favor for that reason and to present a united front against Russian Communism. It started small with a trade deal called the European Coal and Steel Community. I don't remember, perhaps never knew, just what kind of a deal this was, but it worked. Sometime in the 1960's the Common Market was declared. Initially the Common Market had a mere six members, and Britain was not one of them. In fact the Brits put together a trade block of their own, which lasted for some years. Eventually the Brits, and their trade block joined the EU. Then the Soviets collapsed and all the Warsaw pact satellites rushed to sign up with the EU as a defense against Soviet revanchism. Then the big step, the Europeans launched a successful European currency, the Euro and that worked.
But, the EU never was able to pull together like the American United States did. The EU members never surrendered control of their armed forces, or their diplomatic corps to the central EU government. The American founding documents, the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution talk about base principles ( all men are created equal) and distribution of political power (executive, legislative, judicial). The EU founding treaties are silent on most of the issues Americans find fundamental, and have a lot of happy talk about all the bennies EU citizens are entitled to, free healthcare, universal education, and the like, but don't divvy up the political power the way the Americans did. The American states yielded up serious and important powers (rights to have their own armed forces, right to operate their own foreign policy, and a lot of other heavy duty stuff to the new federal government. The European states didn't yield up an ounce of their sovereignty to Brussels.
Where to next? Will the rest of the EU hang together? Or will more members follow the British lead and bail out? Will the US offer Britain membership in NAFTA? What about other EU refugee countries? Stay tuned for future developments.
And we may have further breakups in the works. Catalonia, an important Spanish province, has voted in a referendum to succeed from Spain. There has been some pushback by the government of Spain, and some stories about how turnout for the referendum was very light, say 20%. If that's true, it says that only the hard core Catalans came out to vote. And, if the Catalans succeed, the Basque region will be right behind. And the Scots and the Welsh are making noises about pulling out of the United Kingdom (Britain). That's four small provinces making succession noises. Although I don't remember hearing anyone from these proto-mini-nations talk about joining the EU, it's a good bet that some, maybe all of 'em will apply for EU membership after they make their succession good.
The EU got started right after WWII. The European survivors of that disaster wanted to prevent WWIII by welding Europe together into a single country. The Americans were all in favor for that reason and to present a united front against Russian Communism. It started small with a trade deal called the European Coal and Steel Community. I don't remember, perhaps never knew, just what kind of a deal this was, but it worked. Sometime in the 1960's the Common Market was declared. Initially the Common Market had a mere six members, and Britain was not one of them. In fact the Brits put together a trade block of their own, which lasted for some years. Eventually the Brits, and their trade block joined the EU. Then the Soviets collapsed and all the Warsaw pact satellites rushed to sign up with the EU as a defense against Soviet revanchism. Then the big step, the Europeans launched a successful European currency, the Euro and that worked.
But, the EU never was able to pull together like the American United States did. The EU members never surrendered control of their armed forces, or their diplomatic corps to the central EU government. The American founding documents, the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution talk about base principles ( all men are created equal) and distribution of political power (executive, legislative, judicial). The EU founding treaties are silent on most of the issues Americans find fundamental, and have a lot of happy talk about all the bennies EU citizens are entitled to, free healthcare, universal education, and the like, but don't divvy up the political power the way the Americans did. The American states yielded up serious and important powers (rights to have their own armed forces, right to operate their own foreign policy, and a lot of other heavy duty stuff to the new federal government. The European states didn't yield up an ounce of their sovereignty to Brussels.
Where to next? Will the rest of the EU hang together? Or will more members follow the British lead and bail out? Will the US offer Britain membership in NAFTA? What about other EU refugee countries? Stay tuned for future developments.
Sunday, October 22, 2017
Driving down to a Boston Train Show
It was a lovely day, dry, warm, sunny. Leaves are a bit past peak in Franconia Notch, but are at peak down south. I93 was in good shape except the widening project south of Manchester hasn't gotten anywhere since I was thru there last. More NH infrastructure money spent with out improving the road at all.
The North Shore Model Railroad Club of Wakefield MA, of which I used to be a member until I retired to NH, put on the show. They had the swap meet at the Wakefield Americal Hall, across the street from the club layout. The vendors had a lot of rolling stock and some structures, no tools or parts. A fair number of steam engines that could serve as project locomotives, except I have two such project locomotive in my shop awaiting work. The crowd was mostly older guys, a few very small children who were entranced, no kids old enough to be into electric trains on their own. The hobby is not recruiting new hobbyists to replace the older guys who are dying off. The North Shore club had three member who I had known die just this fall.
The club layout is down stairs from Brother's restaurant on Main St. The layout is 90 feet long. The newest and last section toward the back is largely done. Benchwork is in, track is laid, trains run. Scenery is coming along nicely. The old core of the club was still there, still guiding the work. This layout was large enough to make a cover story of Model Railroader back in 1985, and it's bigger now.
Anyhow a nice day.
The North Shore Model Railroad Club of Wakefield MA, of which I used to be a member until I retired to NH, put on the show. They had the swap meet at the Wakefield Americal Hall, across the street from the club layout. The vendors had a lot of rolling stock and some structures, no tools or parts. A fair number of steam engines that could serve as project locomotives, except I have two such project locomotive in my shop awaiting work. The crowd was mostly older guys, a few very small children who were entranced, no kids old enough to be into electric trains on their own. The hobby is not recruiting new hobbyists to replace the older guys who are dying off. The North Shore club had three member who I had known die just this fall.
The club layout is down stairs from Brother's restaurant on Main St. The layout is 90 feet long. The newest and last section toward the back is largely done. Benchwork is in, track is laid, trains run. Scenery is coming along nicely. The old core of the club was still there, still guiding the work. This layout was large enough to make a cover story of Model Railroader back in 1985, and it's bigger now.
Anyhow a nice day.
Friday, October 20, 2017
Something must be happening that isn't Donald Trump
All the TV newsies talk about these days is Donald Trump. Nothing else is covered. Not even the stock market. Surely there is something significant happening somewhere in the world that isn't about Donald Trump. But we will never know. Unless we do some web surfing.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Oh Say Can You See
Small patriotic ritual, performed before sporting events. Americans are expected to stand and place their hand over their heart as the national anthem is played. It's a symbol of respect for the flag, and the Republic for which it stands, to borrow a line from the pledge of allegiance. And it's a sign of unity. Anyone who fails to participate is saying they don't like the flag, they don't like the country, and they don't like other other Americans.
No beef with anyone or anything justifies failing to stand for the national anthem. I don't like it, and a whole big bunch of my fellow Americans don't like it. It may be legal. but we don't have to like it. And we don't accept any excuses for failing to stand.
No beef with anyone or anything justifies failing to stand for the national anthem. I don't like it, and a whole big bunch of my fellow Americans don't like it. It may be legal. but we don't have to like it. And we don't accept any excuses for failing to stand.
The Microsoft Computer scammer calls again
This guy pretends to be from Microsoft, and wants to fix your computer. The first time he called (maybe a year ago) I played along until he tried to get me to upload a piece of malware onto Trusty Desktop. I used some salty service language on him and hung up. Since then he has called back about once a month, giving me another opportunity to insult him.
Anyhow, if you get a call from someone who says he is from Microsoft, he is trying to plant a virus on your computer. The real Microsoft never calls anyone.
Anyhow, if you get a call from someone who says he is from Microsoft, he is trying to plant a virus on your computer. The real Microsoft never calls anyone.
Monday, October 16, 2017
Print is up, E-books are down
According to the Wall St Journal, sales of printed books are up 5% this year whereas sales of e-books are down 17%. The Journal gave no reasons. Wow!
The electronic wave of the future stopped cold by Gutenberg's printing press from the 1400's.
I'm in favor, I like reading a printed book better than I like fussing with a laptop to read an e-book. I only mess with e-books to read old favorites no longer in print. Old Edgar Rice Burroughs, old E.E. Smith, old Andre Norton for example. The laptop is bulky but it has a decent screen, the special e-book readers are micro screen devices which don't excite me much. Even the idea of having the Library of Congress packed into a hand held device doesn't really excite me. Apparently the market agrees.
The electronic wave of the future stopped cold by Gutenberg's printing press from the 1400's.
I'm in favor, I like reading a printed book better than I like fussing with a laptop to read an e-book. I only mess with e-books to read old favorites no longer in print. Old Edgar Rice Burroughs, old E.E. Smith, old Andre Norton for example. The laptop is bulky but it has a decent screen, the special e-book readers are micro screen devices which don't excite me much. Even the idea of having the Library of Congress packed into a hand held device doesn't really excite me. Apparently the market agrees.
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Does Weinstein affair account for poor Hollywood movies?
No doubt about it, Hollywood is making fewer movies, many of them are comic book movies, and box office has been terrible this season. And then we have Harvey Weinstein, allegedly a top man in Hollywood. Maybe he doesn't pay enough attention to making decent movies, and wastes too much time harassing and raping actresses? If Harvey is typical of Hollywood management, no wonder the movies are lacking.
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Cost Sharing Payments
President Trump has raised yet another firestorm from the Democrats. He has decided to stop "Cost Sharing Payments" to the health insurance industry. This is in accordance with a federal court decision calling the payments illegal, because Congress never appropriated the money for them. Plus the concept of my tax money going to private insurance companies boggles my mind.
Democrats claim these payoffs are necessary to keep Obamacare insurance premiums from going even higher than they have. To which one might ask why they haven't appropriated the money. And why the money should go to insurance companies, rather than to patients.
The Democratic whining over "Cost Sharing Payments" has drowned out Trump's other Obamacare reform, announced the day before, allowing sale of economical insurance policies, instead of the "covers everything under the sun" Obamacare policies. The medical industry loves the Obamacare policies, they pay for everything, whether it does any good or not. Patients don't complain about cost, 'cause it's all paid for. Used to be you could buy "covers everything" policies for $12000 a year. They cover routine physicals, the wife and kiddies, prescription drugs, out patient treatments, chiropracty , drug rehab, maternity, mental health, and all the cat scans, ultrasounds and MRI's the patient can stand. This was the usually deal for employer provided health care.
But, they was another option, one that paid for the big stuff that nobody has the money for, and let the patient cover the little stuff out of pocket. This coverage could be had (before Obamacare outlawed it) for $3000. If you were in reasonably good health (most of us are) you could save $9000 a year by going with "big stuff only" or "hospitalization only" policies. The $9000 difference was more than enough for yearly physicals, out patient treatments, pills and plasters, just about anything. I used to go this way until Obamacare outlawed such policies, and I became eligible for Medicare. My doctor never approved, he wanted me to get an MRI, I asked what it would cost, he didn't know, it took months to finally get someone to quote me a price ($ Many Thou) at which point to matter was quietly dropped.
Trump is going to allow writing policies that only cover what the patient wants to pay for, rather than cover everything under the sun policies, which are outrageously expensive. Good deal.
Democrats claim these payoffs are necessary to keep Obamacare insurance premiums from going even higher than they have. To which one might ask why they haven't appropriated the money. And why the money should go to insurance companies, rather than to patients.
The Democratic whining over "Cost Sharing Payments" has drowned out Trump's other Obamacare reform, announced the day before, allowing sale of economical insurance policies, instead of the "covers everything under the sun" Obamacare policies. The medical industry loves the Obamacare policies, they pay for everything, whether it does any good or not. Patients don't complain about cost, 'cause it's all paid for. Used to be you could buy "covers everything" policies for $12000 a year. They cover routine physicals, the wife and kiddies, prescription drugs, out patient treatments, chiropracty , drug rehab, maternity, mental health, and all the cat scans, ultrasounds and MRI's the patient can stand. This was the usually deal for employer provided health care.
But, they was another option, one that paid for the big stuff that nobody has the money for, and let the patient cover the little stuff out of pocket. This coverage could be had (before Obamacare outlawed it) for $3000. If you were in reasonably good health (most of us are) you could save $9000 a year by going with "big stuff only" or "hospitalization only" policies. The $9000 difference was more than enough for yearly physicals, out patient treatments, pills and plasters, just about anything. I used to go this way until Obamacare outlawed such policies, and I became eligible for Medicare. My doctor never approved, he wanted me to get an MRI, I asked what it would cost, he didn't know, it took months to finally get someone to quote me a price ($ Many Thou) at which point to matter was quietly dropped.
Trump is going to allow writing policies that only cover what the patient wants to pay for, rather than cover everything under the sun policies, which are outrageously expensive. Good deal.
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Republicans don't really control the federal government
So what is a Republican? Really. A real Republican votes for measures (Obamacare repeal!) important to the party. There is a shortage of real Republicans in DC these days. We have a lot of RINOs, who call themselves Republican but believe in Democrat policies like tax and spend. They actually like robbing their constituents of as much tax as they can get away with, and then using their ill gotten proceeds to buy votes in their districts with pork barrel spending. And we have a lot of just plain weirdos, like John McCain and Rand Paul and Susan Collins who stick it to the party every time they can, just because they can. And we have the "House Freedom Caucus", a bunch of "Republicans" from safe districts, who will bolt the party at the drop of a hat, for any reason at all, or no reason.
As we have seen on Obamacare repeal, these people cannot be depended upon to vote for crucial bills. In the Senate the Republicans have only 52 members and four or five of them are undependable weirdos. Things are a little better in the house, but not much.
Rather than saying "The Republicans control the government." it would be more realistic to say, "The weirdos have enough votes to stop anything."
As we have seen on Obamacare repeal, these people cannot be depended upon to vote for crucial bills. In the Senate the Republicans have only 52 members and four or five of them are undependable weirdos. Things are a little better in the house, but not much.
Rather than saying "The Republicans control the government." it would be more realistic to say, "The weirdos have enough votes to stop anything."
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Girl and Boy Scouts of America??
Just heard about this on the TV. Apparently the Boy Scouts have announced that all ranks of scouting are now open to girls as well as boys. The Girl Scouts of America have objected to what they see as a grab for their membership. Actually, a co-ed scouting program sounds like a good idea in many ways. Maybe the leadership of both the Boy and Girl Scouts can get together on this. Or maybe not. Stay tuned.
Forgiving Debt would Hurt Puerto Rico ??
Headline of an op ed in today's Wall St Journal. Author is a John Tamny, director of Center for Economic Freedom at Freedomworks, editor of RealClearMarkets, and author of "Popular Economics". He has some credentials, although the name is new to me. His arguments make little sense to me, even after re reading the piece several times. He says "By erasing Puerto Rico's debt, Mr. Trump would be handing the territory's political class more money to spend inefficiently." Let's be real here. Fixing up after Hurricane Maria needs lots and lots of money. Puerto Rico doesn't have any money at all. There are only two ways for Puerto Rico to get the needed money, borrowing it, or getting it as a free gift from mainland taxpayers. Lenders are scarce on the ground. It's obvious to real people (but perhaps not to dumb as rocks Wall St bankers) that Puerto Rico doesn't have the money to ever pay off the $93 billion in debt they have already racked up. Those lenders won't get paid back, not ever. New loans won't get paid back either. Lending to Puerto Rico is just plain charity, loans that won't get paid off are charity, not banking.
The other source of money to fix up the hurricane damage is for the US Congress to appropriate the money out of federal tax revenue, or by selling some more T-bills, or both. This is charity, and there is a decent chance that the Congress will feel charitable and will cough up the money, especially if the MSM and the Democrats get on board with the idea.
The concept of "forgiving" Puerto Rico's debts is just psycho-babble. They don't have the money, they will never have the money, and the lenders are never gonna get paid. For that matter Puerto Rico declared bankruptcy a couple of months ago, which means they won't pay anyhow, even if they had the money, which they don't.
The other source of money to fix up the hurricane damage is for the US Congress to appropriate the money out of federal tax revenue, or by selling some more T-bills, or both. This is charity, and there is a decent chance that the Congress will feel charitable and will cough up the money, especially if the MSM and the Democrats get on board with the idea.
The concept of "forgiving" Puerto Rico's debts is just psycho-babble. They don't have the money, they will never have the money, and the lenders are never gonna get paid. For that matter Puerto Rico declared bankruptcy a couple of months ago, which means they won't pay anyhow, even if they had the money, which they don't.
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
Decertifying the Iran Deal?
TV newsies have been talking about it. But they say "decertifying" isn't like canceling the deal. If so, why do we care? It may be a way of expressing disapproval of the deal, but if it doesn't do anything, why does it matter?
Monday, October 9, 2017
US Immigration reform
The TV tells me that the Trump administration has laid some 70 changes to current immigration law on Congress today. Of course the TV newsies don't bother to list just what these changes might be. They did manage to say that the Democrats oppose them, no reasons given.
For myself, I like the idea of a DACA program. People who were brought into the US as children, who have stayed out of trouble with the law, graduated high school or college, who have served in the armed forces, who are gainfully employed, and who want to stay in the US, sound like good and decent citizens to me, and more good and decent citizens make America stronger. We need all the good and decent citizens w can get.
I think anyone who served in the armed forces and received an honorable discharge ought to be offered citizenship if they lack it. For that matter foreign nationals who worked with US forces as interpreters ought to be offered citizenship.
America can take in a lot of immigrants, but there is a limit. I'd set that limit at 1% of the current population, which is like 3 million immigrants a year.
Since a lot of people want to come to America, we can be picky about who we let in. Make a list of desirable characteristics, young, educated, married, married with children, English speaking, no matter how poorly, parents already in the US, healthy, valuable skills, and many more. Assign a point value to each desirable characteristic, and we let in the 3 million with the top scores. Everyone else gets to try again next year.
For myself, I like the idea of a DACA program. People who were brought into the US as children, who have stayed out of trouble with the law, graduated high school or college, who have served in the armed forces, who are gainfully employed, and who want to stay in the US, sound like good and decent citizens to me, and more good and decent citizens make America stronger. We need all the good and decent citizens w can get.
I think anyone who served in the armed forces and received an honorable discharge ought to be offered citizenship if they lack it. For that matter foreign nationals who worked with US forces as interpreters ought to be offered citizenship.
America can take in a lot of immigrants, but there is a limit. I'd set that limit at 1% of the current population, which is like 3 million immigrants a year.
Since a lot of people want to come to America, we can be picky about who we let in. Make a list of desirable characteristics, young, educated, married, married with children, English speaking, no matter how poorly, parents already in the US, healthy, valuable skills, and many more. Assign a point value to each desirable characteristic, and we let in the 3 million with the top scores. Everyone else gets to try again next year.
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Un diagnosed mental illness.
That's what one TV commentator said about the Vegas shooter. And, it's kinda true by default. We believe anyone who would shoot 500-600 innocent strangers to be mentally ill. A week of investigation has failed to find (or at least report on TV) any sort of motive, history, or association that would give a motive, or suggest some kind of mental illness. So, we figure he must have been acting out a horrible mental illness when he opened fire, and no investigator has found any evidence of mental illness before the shooting. On the other hand, they have reported that he had been buying a lot of guns, legally, for a year before, which surely suggests that what ever it was, it started back when he started buying all the guns.
And this is really unusual. In all the previous awful cases, the shooter had given clear signs of mental illness or some kind of dreadful political fanaticism. Unfortunately these signs were ignored until it was too late. In this case alone, we haven't seen any signs of mental illness or political craziness after a week of investigation.
And this is really unusual. In all the previous awful cases, the shooter had given clear signs of mental illness or some kind of dreadful political fanaticism. Unfortunately these signs were ignored until it was too late. In this case alone, we haven't seen any signs of mental illness or political craziness after a week of investigation.
Saturday, October 7, 2017
Smart Phones bad for you
Thus sayeth the Wall St. Journal this morning. They cite some studies, but do not get down to the nitty gritty such as how large was the sample, how did they measure increase of stupidity of subjects. There were some vague and subjective statements, using the blandest of language.
Me, I'm an old fogey, I don't have a smart phone. I do have a laptop that will do anything a smart phone will, and I pack it along when I travel. The laptop has a real QWERTY keyboard and a mouse, which the smartphones lack, and I find essential. I do notice that my smartphone equipped children tend to whip them out during discussions and pop up information to support their points of view.
And I an old enough to remember all the things teachers and parents said against television back when it was just coming in. My buddy Dewey Walsh's family had a 21 inch B&W TV back in the late 1940's. I do remember watching Howdy Doody and Hopalong Cassidy on it. My family didn't get a TV until 1956.
Could it be the people railing against smartphones are the same sort of people who railed against TV?
Me, I'm an old fogey, I don't have a smart phone. I do have a laptop that will do anything a smart phone will, and I pack it along when I travel. The laptop has a real QWERTY keyboard and a mouse, which the smartphones lack, and I find essential. I do notice that my smartphone equipped children tend to whip them out during discussions and pop up information to support their points of view.
And I an old enough to remember all the things teachers and parents said against television back when it was just coming in. My buddy Dewey Walsh's family had a 21 inch B&W TV back in the late 1940's. I do remember watching Howdy Doody and Hopalong Cassidy on it. My family didn't get a TV until 1956.
Could it be the people railing against smartphones are the same sort of people who railed against TV?
Friday, October 6, 2017
There must be something in the water
On Wall St that is. Something that turns brains to mush. Only a totally mushed brain would have loaned $93 billion to Puerto Rico over the years. It was obvious to anyone that Puerto Rico, a nice place to visit during the New England winter, had no way of ever paying the loans back. The money was frittered away on salaries and graft, and this and that, it didn't create anything like industries that made money. Most of the new loan money went to rolling over old loans. But Wall St kept on making loans to Puerto Rico. Must be something in the water.
And then Puerto Rico, after getting a special act of Congress to allow it, declared bankruptcy last month. You would think that lower the value of outstanding Puerto Rican loans. Not on Wall St. They kept right on trading Puerto Rican bonds at around 90 cents on the dollar, right up to last week. After Hurricane Maria blew down every electric wire on the whole island and President Trump made an off hand comment that Puerto Rico's loans would have vanish, then finally did Wall St start trading Puerto Rican bonds at 60 cents on the dollar. Not quite worthless, yet, but a solid hit. Anyone with two brain cells firing knew that after filing for bankruptcy, Puerto Rico was never going to pay off those bonds. Which makes them worthless. But Wall St kept swapping them around at a mere 10 percent discount for weeks. Must be something in the water.
And then Puerto Rico, after getting a special act of Congress to allow it, declared bankruptcy last month. You would think that lower the value of outstanding Puerto Rican loans. Not on Wall St. They kept right on trading Puerto Rican bonds at around 90 cents on the dollar, right up to last week. After Hurricane Maria blew down every electric wire on the whole island and President Trump made an off hand comment that Puerto Rico's loans would have vanish, then finally did Wall St start trading Puerto Rican bonds at 60 cents on the dollar. Not quite worthless, yet, but a solid hit. Anyone with two brain cells firing knew that after filing for bankruptcy, Puerto Rico was never going to pay off those bonds. Which makes them worthless. But Wall St kept swapping them around at a mere 10 percent discount for weeks. Must be something in the water.
Thursday, October 5, 2017
Let's outlaw Bump Stocks!
I never heard of "bump stocks" until the Las Vegas massacre this week. And I am a medium savvy gun guy. Not a total expert, but reasonably knowledgeable. From what the MSM is telling us (you can believe as much of that as you like) the bump stock is some kind of spring loaded rifle stock that gets an otherwise legal semi automatic AR15 to fire at 700 rounds per minute, machine gun speed. And the Las Vegas shooter used some. Apparently the Obama administration ruled bump stocks to be legal a few years ago.
And the Congress is so happy to find something to ban, that most of us would not object to banning. They can pass a law, gain some favorable publicity, what's not to like?
Depends upon what the letter of the proposed law might be. Congress critters (mostly dumb as rocks) might vote for language so broad as to outlaw perfectly ordinary shooting accessories like slings, sights, cheek pads, and rests. I agree that such a law needs to define what it is banning. Just banning "bump stocks" doesn't work, the makers simply rename the product some thing else, anti recoil stock for example, and go right on selling them. They gotta come up with words that only ban devices that raise the rate of fire.
And the Congress is so happy to find something to ban, that most of us would not object to banning. They can pass a law, gain some favorable publicity, what's not to like?
Depends upon what the letter of the proposed law might be. Congress critters (mostly dumb as rocks) might vote for language so broad as to outlaw perfectly ordinary shooting accessories like slings, sights, cheek pads, and rests. I agree that such a law needs to define what it is banning. Just banning "bump stocks" doesn't work, the makers simply rename the product some thing else, anti recoil stock for example, and go right on selling them. They gotta come up with words that only ban devices that raise the rate of fire.
Wednesday, October 4, 2017
Gerrymanders, how to detect them, what to do about them.
The term goes way back. Massachusetts governor Elbridge Gerry, a signer of the Declaration of Independence, vice president of the US under Madison, fairly heavy duty guy for his time, signed off on a Massachusetts redistricting. One district came out long and thin and looked kinda like a salamander. Gerry's political enemies, of which he had a decent number, called the district a Gerrymander, designed to make Gerry's party win the next election. The term stuck.
Today, skillful politicians attempt to draw district boundaries to win elections. The idea goes like this. Pack the opponent's voters into a few districts where they form 100% of the vote. Spread our voters out so they form 51% of the vote in as many districts as possible. This way we win more districts than the opponents do, which gives us control.
Wisconsin Democrats have gotten a case to the Supremes claiming the last redistricting by Republicans is unfair to Democrats because the "Efficiency Gap" exceeds 7%. What is the "Efficiency Gap" you ask? Good question. I never heard of it before. According to the Wall St Journal it is the sum of "wasted" votes from Party X less the sum of "wasted" votes for party Y over the sum of all votes. Chief Justice John Roberts wasn't fond of "Efficiency Gap". He called it sociological gobble-de-gook.
I could get with rules against weird shaped districts, such as "The longest distance across a district shall not exceed 1.5 times the shortest distance across the district." I can get with rules requiring all districts to have the same population, give or take 10%. I could get with rules against districts formed of several blobs connected by ultra thin connecting strips. But I don't like the "Efficiency Gap" idea, it sounds like "You have to redistrict until my party wins."
Today, skillful politicians attempt to draw district boundaries to win elections. The idea goes like this. Pack the opponent's voters into a few districts where they form 100% of the vote. Spread our voters out so they form 51% of the vote in as many districts as possible. This way we win more districts than the opponents do, which gives us control.
Wisconsin Democrats have gotten a case to the Supremes claiming the last redistricting by Republicans is unfair to Democrats because the "Efficiency Gap" exceeds 7%. What is the "Efficiency Gap" you ask? Good question. I never heard of it before. According to the Wall St Journal it is the sum of "wasted" votes from Party X less the sum of "wasted" votes for party Y over the sum of all votes. Chief Justice John Roberts wasn't fond of "Efficiency Gap". He called it sociological gobble-de-gook.
I could get with rules against weird shaped districts, such as "The longest distance across a district shall not exceed 1.5 times the shortest distance across the district." I can get with rules requiring all districts to have the same population, give or take 10%. I could get with rules against districts formed of several blobs connected by ultra thin connecting strips. But I don't like the "Efficiency Gap" idea, it sounds like "You have to redistrict until my party wins."
Labels:
Efficiency Gap,
Elbridge Gerry,
Wisconsin Democrats
Tuesday, October 3, 2017
Electric cars
The Chinese are pushing sales of electric cars. To keep down the traffic in their biggest cities, they conduct license plate lotteries. Out of millions of hopeful car owners, only a few tens of thousands get plates. Unless it's an electric car, electric cars get plates immediately. And, the Brits and the Euro's are talking about the same thing, everybody drives an electric by 2040. Yesterday GM and Ford made similar noises over here. GM has actually made and sold electrics for twenty years now, abet not many of 'em.
Is this really the wave of the future?
Not for me. The best electrics only go 200 miles on a charge, most of 'em are worse, like 100 miles. I regularly drive 400 miles down to see my daughter, my new grandson, and my son-in-law, who is a perfectly nice and decent guy, but I am a little closer to my daughter than my son-in-law. My Buick will make the trip on a single tank of gas. A best electric would have to recharge once, the lesser electrics would have to recharge three times. Even with a high powered 440 volt charger, it takes two hours to get a charge. Lesser 220 volt home chargers take all night. I don't want to spend two hours waiting on a charger, and turning a 10 hour trip into a 12 hour trip. I'm sticking with 87 octane gas engines.
Is this really the wave of the future?
Not for me. The best electrics only go 200 miles on a charge, most of 'em are worse, like 100 miles. I regularly drive 400 miles down to see my daughter, my new grandson, and my son-in-law, who is a perfectly nice and decent guy, but I am a little closer to my daughter than my son-in-law. My Buick will make the trip on a single tank of gas. A best electric would have to recharge once, the lesser electrics would have to recharge three times. Even with a high powered 440 volt charger, it takes two hours to get a charge. Lesser 220 volt home chargers take all night. I don't want to spend two hours waiting on a charger, and turning a 10 hour trip into a 12 hour trip. I'm sticking with 87 octane gas engines.
Monday, October 2, 2017
Las Vegas Shooting
Just awful. My sincerest condolences to the victims, their families, and the wounded.
Sunday, October 1, 2017
This Blog is now TEN years old.
Yep, started posting back in October 2006. For the first years I got no page views at all. Nowadays I can count on 10-20 pages views a day Some hot days the page view count hits the hundreds. That doesn't happen all that often, but it feels good when it happens.
Any how, thank you all for reading here.
Any how, thank you all for reading here.
Friday, September 29, 2017
Hugh Hefner. the Playboy guy
He died the other day. That got some press coverage. I first encountered Playboy way in back in high school. It was boarding school, so parents weren't cleaning up your room and discovering your Playboy stash. The centerfolds, and other porno shots were cool, but for what the magazine cost, we got darn little good photos, and a load of not very convincing editorial comment. I learned not to pay attention to Playboy's writings on man's fashion, stylish cars, and art appreciation. And, it wasn't long before there were other skin mags out there with more juicy photos and less boring editorial comment, and lower prices. I don't remember ever buying Playboy with my own money, but I was happy to read, and leer at, Playboys that my buddies had bought.
Back then, effective contraceptives hadn't made it to market, and the chicks were very reluctant to have sex with guys, fearing pregnancy. I am convinced that the arrival of effective contraceptives had far more to do with the sexual revolution than Playboy ever did.
Back then, effective contraceptives hadn't made it to market, and the chicks were very reluctant to have sex with guys, fearing pregnancy. I am convinced that the arrival of effective contraceptives had far more to do with the sexual revolution than Playboy ever did.
Cambridgeport librarian trashes Dr. Seuss
I used to live in Cambridgeport, a not-very-tony district of the Peoples Republic of Cambridge, MA. Owned a triple decker right off Western Ave for years. The neighbor hood is mostly black, some public housing, and so tough the FBI didn't dare do stakeouts down there. Last time they tried it, the locals thought they were casing the joint for a robbery and beat the tar out the them. The natives I knew were mostly decent, hardworking, open hearted folk.
I'm a fan of Dr. Seuss. When my children were young, we had a lot of Dr Seuss books, and I read them all aloud, over and over again. The children loved them. I found them witty enough to enjoy, time after time.
Gotta wonder about that Cambridgeport librarian who trashed a gift of Dr. Seuss books. Is she a real Cambridgeport native? Or is she a SJW, imported from the suburbs, with a fancy sounding degree in something like gender studies? And a dyed in the wool Trump hater? I cannot imagine a real Cambridgeport native failing to speak well of, and kindly to, the giver of any sort of gift. even if the giver is of the other political party.
I'm a fan of Dr. Seuss. When my children were young, we had a lot of Dr Seuss books, and I read them all aloud, over and over again. The children loved them. I found them witty enough to enjoy, time after time.
Gotta wonder about that Cambridgeport librarian who trashed a gift of Dr. Seuss books. Is she a real Cambridgeport native? Or is she a SJW, imported from the suburbs, with a fancy sounding degree in something like gender studies? And a dyed in the wool Trump hater? I cannot imagine a real Cambridgeport native failing to speak well of, and kindly to, the giver of any sort of gift. even if the giver is of the other political party.
Thursday, September 28, 2017
Tax reform is getting some TV coverage.
I'm ready for it. I'm tired of the non stop NFL dissing the national anthem talk that has taken up ALL last week.
The Democrats are pushing the old line about how any tax change (up down or sidewise) is "for the rich" and thus evil. The MSM is playing this line for all it's worth, when they aren't talking about the NFL. Dunno about that. Doubling the standard deduction is good for the poorer folk. Carly Fiorina had it right when she said "Close every loophole, lower every rate." I haven't seen much about loophole closing.
I heard somewhere on the Web that the NFL is a "non profit" operation and thus pays no taxes. We ought to fix that.
I heard somewhere on the web that a big lot of companies are paying no taxes. We need to find the loopholes they are using and slam 'em closed.
Taking away the loophole for state and local taxes is good. Coming from a state with no income tax and no sales tax, I don't get diddly out of the state and local deduction.
The Democrats are pushing the old line about how any tax change (up down or sidewise) is "for the rich" and thus evil. The MSM is playing this line for all it's worth, when they aren't talking about the NFL. Dunno about that. Doubling the standard deduction is good for the poorer folk. Carly Fiorina had it right when she said "Close every loophole, lower every rate." I haven't seen much about loophole closing.
I heard somewhere on the Web that the NFL is a "non profit" operation and thus pays no taxes. We ought to fix that.
I heard somewhere on the web that a big lot of companies are paying no taxes. We need to find the loopholes they are using and slam 'em closed.
Taking away the loophole for state and local taxes is good. Coming from a state with no income tax and no sales tax, I don't get diddly out of the state and local deduction.
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
Does the GOP have enough party discipline to do tax reform?
They certainly blew it on Obamacare repeal/reform. Pure backstabbing and infighting killed it. For instance John McCain killed two Obamacare reform bills this summer. On the last one he killed, he gave as a reason that the bill had not gone thru some arcane Senate procedures before coming to a vote. He had no objections to the contents of the bill (at least not spoken ones) he just didn't like the process. That's childish. McCain doesn't like Trump (Trump has given him plenty of reason to dislike him) and so he torpedoed a bill essential to the survival of the GOP, just to irritate Trump.
If you claim to be a member of the Republican party, you ought to support your party, even if the party is going places you don't want to go. If you just cannot take where your party goes, the honorable thing to do is to resign from the party, not to stab it in the back. McCain isn't the only offender here. That "House Freedom Caucus" of some 30 weirdos is just itching for a chance to show their stuff by killing an important bill.
If you claim to be a member of the Republican party, you ought to support your party, even if the party is going places you don't want to go. If you just cannot take where your party goes, the honorable thing to do is to resign from the party, not to stab it in the back. McCain isn't the only offender here. That "House Freedom Caucus" of some 30 weirdos is just itching for a chance to show their stuff by killing an important bill.
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
GE to sell off the corporate jets
New CEO John Flannery , replacing long time GE CEO Jeff Inmelt, is doing some cost cutting. He shut down GE's flight operations and is putting the aircraft up for sale.
Good move Mr. Flannery. Corporate jets cost like crazy and your people can get there flying commercial. I know they are nifty perks for company brass, but the money would be better spend on building new factories, developing new products, and boosting wages and dividends. A corporate jet costs nearly as much as a real jetliner, say a 737, and costs nearly as much to fly. And you gotta keep on paying on the planes and paying the salaries of the flight dept whether they fly or not. The airlines pay a lot for their planes, but they fly the hell out of them, ten flight hours a day or more. Corporate jets seldom fly as much as one hour a day.
If your company people need to travel, fly commercial, coach is cozy. Running your own mini airline just costs your company barrels of money for no good reason.
Stockholders should take notice if your companies are wasting money running a company mini airline.
Good move Mr. Flannery. Corporate jets cost like crazy and your people can get there flying commercial. I know they are nifty perks for company brass, but the money would be better spend on building new factories, developing new products, and boosting wages and dividends. A corporate jet costs nearly as much as a real jetliner, say a 737, and costs nearly as much to fly. And you gotta keep on paying on the planes and paying the salaries of the flight dept whether they fly or not. The airlines pay a lot for their planes, but they fly the hell out of them, ten flight hours a day or more. Corporate jets seldom fly as much as one hour a day.
If your company people need to travel, fly commercial, coach is cozy. Running your own mini airline just costs your company barrels of money for no good reason.
Stockholders should take notice if your companies are wasting money running a company mini airline.
Monday, September 25, 2017
Catfood Quality
My local backwoods market carries 8 or 10 different brands of dry catfood. Price ranges from $3.50 a bag to $9-10 a bag. Cat will eat them all, and in fact shows a little more interest in the low end "Alley Cat" $3.50 a bag stuff. I mix things up, even to the point of occasionally buying the $9-10 stuff. I worry that the cat food producers may leave some essential-to-cats nutrient out of the mix, causing Cat to curl up and die. Cat only eats catfood, she won't touch people food or dinner leftovers.
Is Cat missing something in her diet? She is now a senior cat (12yo) so she is slower than she used to be. She gave up hunting some years ago. Should I pamper her with expensive catfood? Or doesn't it make a difference?
Is Cat missing something in her diet? She is now a senior cat (12yo) so she is slower than she used to be. She gave up hunting some years ago. Should I pamper her with expensive catfood? Or doesn't it make a difference?
Sunday, September 24, 2017
Dissing pro football gets more coverage than Obamacare repeal
Senator John McCain pretty much torpedoed the latest last ditch attempt to repeal Obamacare. He said he would not support the current effort at repeal. He said he disapproved of the procedure used to bring it to the floor. Didn't say a word about the contents. This will probably cost the Republicans control of Congress in the 2018 by election. Given majorities in both houses of Congress, and the presidency, the stupid party is unable to get their members to vote out Obamacare. We voters are noticing. We will remember in November.
And then Trump disses some pro football players for remaining seated while the national anthem is sung. Wow. TV has been talking about nothing else since. The NFL and it's commissioner have come out four square for letting the players do what ever they like. Most of us citizens recognize the player's rights of free speech, but free speech doesn't mean we have like what they say. We would happily boil those football players in oil for what they have said. But, this red meat issue, abet low importance issue, has completely overshadowed the really important issue of repealing Obamacare which is impoverishing every one, and wrecking the economy as a side effect.
And then Trump disses some pro football players for remaining seated while the national anthem is sung. Wow. TV has been talking about nothing else since. The NFL and it's commissioner have come out four square for letting the players do what ever they like. Most of us citizens recognize the player's rights of free speech, but free speech doesn't mean we have like what they say. We would happily boil those football players in oil for what they have said. But, this red meat issue, abet low importance issue, has completely overshadowed the really important issue of repealing Obamacare which is impoverishing every one, and wrecking the economy as a side effect.
Saturday, September 23, 2017
Red Phoenix, Larry Bond
An old action thriller in the Tom Clancy mode, written in 1989. Describes the outbreak, combat, and outcome of a second Korean war in 1986. Features pudgy, crazy Kim Jong Il, taking power from his aged father Kim Il Sung, and launching the second Korean war. A decent read. And it sounds so much like what is underway today, lacking NORK nukes and ballistic missiles. Let's hope we can settle today's NORK crisis with out starting up the Korean war again.
Friday, September 22, 2017
Where does CIA hire these losers from??
Valerie Plame, worked for CIA until she was outed by Robert Novak in a Wash Post column back in 2003. The resulting furor went far to destablize the Bush administration and resulting in the conviction of "Scooter" Libby on shaky evidence. That was then.
Now, many years later, Valerie pops back into public view with some internet postings where in she claims that Jews are responsible for getting America into war, and ought to wear special ID badges when on TV. In addition to being despicable, this is pure fantasy. What did this screwball do back when she was working for CIA? How did CIA ever hire such a weirdo? She must have contributed to CIA's many intelligence failures in at least a small amount.
CIA has needed a serious housecleaning for many years. Valerie Plame is just one more reason to get on with it.
Now, many years later, Valerie pops back into public view with some internet postings where in she claims that Jews are responsible for getting America into war, and ought to wear special ID badges when on TV. In addition to being despicable, this is pure fantasy. What did this screwball do back when she was working for CIA? How did CIA ever hire such a weirdo? She must have contributed to CIA's many intelligence failures in at least a small amount.
CIA has needed a serious housecleaning for many years. Valerie Plame is just one more reason to get on with it.
Thursday, September 21, 2017
NHPR talks about opioid prescribing
It was a long piece on the FM radio this morning. A lotta talk about how prescribing opioids for pain is humane and proper. Several doctors spoke at length, guardedly in favor of giving patients enough opioids to kill their pain. Much of the doctor's talk was baffle gab, nice sounding words that don't mean anything. Nobody gave any numbers. No surveys, no comparisons of opioid use now and opioid use in the past. No figures on how many addicts got started with medically prescribed opioids. No discussion of the difference between a dose strong enough to kill pain and a dose strong enough to create addiction. Assertions that things had been tightened up so much that legitimate patients could no longer get prescriptions, or had the prescriptions filled should they have them.
I'd rate this as a NHPR editorial supporting prescription of opioids.
I'd rate this as a NHPR editorial supporting prescription of opioids.
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