The Economist is unhappy about BlackRock in a cover story. The cover cartoon shows an enormous jet black Rock-of-Gibraltar leaning over the two lane road ahead, threatening to topple and block all traffic forever. BlackRock is a Wall St brokerage house, that buys and sells stock for its clients. It was founded in the '80s and has done pretty well, it has $4 trillion in assets. Part of BlackRock's success is a computer back office that tracks stocks and has made some canny predictions. It was canny enough to keep BlackRock out of the mortgage backed security black hole back in 2006. In fact it was so good that BlackRock now leases access to the system, bringing in $400 million in fees per year. The system, dubbed Aladdin, is so popular on the street that the Economist reckons that another $11 trillion in stocks is controlled by Aladdin, giving a grand total of $15 trillion under the influence, or perhaps control, of this one piece of software. That's quite a chunk of change, the entire US economy is about that size.
This concentration clearly bothers the Economist. If they had a say in the matter, they would put BlackRock under strict government regulation, lest they hiccup and crash the stock market. Good thing the Economist isn't in charge.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Sunday, December 8, 2013
Saturday, December 7, 2013
Facebook has started posting ads on your home. Used to be, you only saw posts from your facebook friends. Now they are giving me 10% straight ads from companies and organizations I never heard of and don't care about. And Firefox doesn't have filters to dump the ads.
There will come a point when the ads become so obnoxious that I will dump Facebook.
There will come a point when the ads become so obnoxious that I will dump Facebook.
Executive Council
We have a vacancy on the NH executive council. Beloved north country councilor Ray Burton died of cancer last month leaving his seat open. The democrats have picked their man, Michael Cryans, to run on their ticket. We Republicans have some competition, at least we think so.
Anyhow, Christopher Boothby is running. There will be a primary in January, 21st I believe. I never heard of Chris before he decided to run. I don't know who is running against him in the primary.
Anyhow, Chris is doing the reasonable thing, he is traveling round the district and talking to voters. I sent out an email blast to north country Republicans and Tea Partiers to come and meet the candidate. We had the back room at the Oasis Restaurant and it filled up with north country political types, including yours truly. I must be getting into the swim of things, I knew everyone who showed up. Lotta hand shaking and how-are-yous and chit chat. Chris and his wife Mara showed up on time, we had a pleasant give and take. Everyone in the room was an old friend of the deceased Ray Burton, and a lot of Ray stories were told, back and forth.
Chris looks OK to me. He won't be Ray Burton, but then its unreasonable to expect anyone to fill Ray'sa shoes. We will have to see if the competition makes it up to the north country.
Anyhow, Christopher Boothby is running. There will be a primary in January, 21st I believe. I never heard of Chris before he decided to run. I don't know who is running against him in the primary.
Anyhow, Chris is doing the reasonable thing, he is traveling round the district and talking to voters. I sent out an email blast to north country Republicans and Tea Partiers to come and meet the candidate. We had the back room at the Oasis Restaurant and it filled up with north country political types, including yours truly. I must be getting into the swim of things, I knew everyone who showed up. Lotta hand shaking and how-are-yous and chit chat. Chris and his wife Mara showed up on time, we had a pleasant give and take. Everyone in the room was an old friend of the deceased Ray Burton, and a lot of Ray stories were told, back and forth.
Chris looks OK to me. He won't be Ray Burton, but then its unreasonable to expect anyone to fill Ray'sa shoes. We will have to see if the competition makes it up to the north country.
Friday, December 6, 2013
Vodka Triumphant
The State Liquor Store has re organized again. Now the vodka shelf is twice as long as it used to be. Serious booze, whiskey and gin has lost shelf space. I figure shelf space allocation is a fair measure of popularity. Which means more people are drinking vodka than anything else.
Too bad. Vodka is for drinkers who don't like the taste of booze. They distill all the flavor out of the stuff, and then mix it with orange juice or tomato juice or Kahlua or whatever.
Too bad. Vodka is for drinkers who don't like the taste of booze. They distill all the flavor out of the stuff, and then mix it with orange juice or tomato juice or Kahlua or whatever.
The Aerospace Plane
The idea has been around for ever. I have a beautifully illustrated children's book from 1951 with a drawing of such a machine. Basically a high performance aircraft that would use wings and jet engines to lift an orbiter space craft high and fast. It would be reusable (you fly it back and land it after launching the orbiter) and hence lower cost than a throwaway booster like Atlas.
Attractive as the idea is, so far nobody has ever built one. There are five NASA design studies, the earliest going back to 1986. Since none of them ever flew, it's fair to say that the concept becomes less attractive when you actually have to build and fly one.
Anyhow, hope springs eternal and NASA is going to try again. This time with a rocket powered craft dubbed XS-1. Design goal is to loft a 3000-5000 pound satellite into low earth orbit for $5 million or less. NASA is talking about $3-4 million study contracts early next year, with a $140 million "build-a-flying prototype" contract in 2015. XS-1 is supposed to reach Mach 10 (roughly half orbital velocity). Gross takeoff weight might be 224,000 pounds. That's airliner weight. Presumably XS-1 burns all its rocket fuel on the way up and then glides back to a dead stick landing, the way the shuttle used to do.
Attractive as the idea is, so far nobody has ever built one. There are five NASA design studies, the earliest going back to 1986. Since none of them ever flew, it's fair to say that the concept becomes less attractive when you actually have to build and fly one.
Anyhow, hope springs eternal and NASA is going to try again. This time with a rocket powered craft dubbed XS-1. Design goal is to loft a 3000-5000 pound satellite into low earth orbit for $5 million or less. NASA is talking about $3-4 million study contracts early next year, with a $140 million "build-a-flying prototype" contract in 2015. XS-1 is supposed to reach Mach 10 (roughly half orbital velocity). Gross takeoff weight might be 224,000 pounds. That's airliner weight. Presumably XS-1 burns all its rocket fuel on the way up and then glides back to a dead stick landing, the way the shuttle used to do.
Retirement before entering service?
Airbus Military announced that the prototype A400M transport aircraft has been retired. A400M is the pan European heavy transport program. The aircraft are huge 4 engine turboprops. The first deliverable model only handed over to the French air force this summer. It will take years of production to fill all the back orders for the aircraft. Surely Airbus will have some engineering change orders needing flight check soon.
So why retire the prototype? These things ain't cheap, something like $100 million each. Is the prototype so bent and broken that nobody wants to fly it anymore? Why not fix it up and bring it up to standard and ship it, and get paid for it? Or use it for research and development. Surely there are programs that could use a truly big airlifter for something?
So why retire the prototype? These things ain't cheap, something like $100 million each. Is the prototype so bent and broken that nobody wants to fly it anymore? Why not fix it up and bring it up to standard and ship it, and get paid for it? Or use it for research and development. Surely there are programs that could use a truly big airlifter for something?
Thursday, December 5, 2013
Nelson Mandela died today
The news came over the TV late this afternoon. He was 95, so it cannot be called an untimely death, but he will be missed. Mandela saved his country from a bloody racial war. I don't understand how he did it, but it happened.
In the 1960s and 70's, a small white minority ran South Africa to suit them selves. Blacks were disadvantaged at law, herded into ugly slums, denied a decent education or a decent job. The whites owned all the property, all the companies, ran the army, the police, the courts, the government, everything. The whites had everything except numbers. The white minority was being as nasty and unpleasant as possible, and the majority blacks had had it up to there. They formed the African National Congress, were getting weapons and organizing for a war of extermination. They had the numbers and it looked like South Africa would explode into civil war that would go on until one side or the other was exterminated.
Working inside this powder keg, Mandela somehow convinced the ruling whites to open the country to free elections and allow themselves to be voted out of power. And, after obtaining power, Mandela was able to prevent the now empowered black majority from wrecking an awful vengeance on the white minority.
I still do not understand how Mandela pulled off this miracle, but he did. It saved his country.
In the 1960s and 70's, a small white minority ran South Africa to suit them selves. Blacks were disadvantaged at law, herded into ugly slums, denied a decent education or a decent job. The whites owned all the property, all the companies, ran the army, the police, the courts, the government, everything. The whites had everything except numbers. The white minority was being as nasty and unpleasant as possible, and the majority blacks had had it up to there. They formed the African National Congress, were getting weapons and organizing for a war of extermination. They had the numbers and it looked like South Africa would explode into civil war that would go on until one side or the other was exterminated.
Working inside this powder keg, Mandela somehow convinced the ruling whites to open the country to free elections and allow themselves to be voted out of power. And, after obtaining power, Mandela was able to prevent the now empowered black majority from wrecking an awful vengeance on the white minority.
I still do not understand how Mandela pulled off this miracle, but he did. It saved his country.
Broken Glass
Apparently Google has banned face recognition software from their "Glass" wearable computer, the one that looks like a pair of eyeglasses.
I wonder why.
Glass would be really useful if it would prompt you with a name when you meet some one. About a zillion times I meet some one whose face I recognize but I cannot for the life of me, remember their name. If Glass could recognize the same face and look up the name, it would be a killer app.
I wonder why.
Glass would be really useful if it would prompt you with a name when you meet some one. About a zillion times I meet some one whose face I recognize but I cannot for the life of me, remember their name. If Glass could recognize the same face and look up the name, it would be a killer app.
Gas Tax Hike.
On Fox TV news Neil Cavuto was raking a Congresscritter over the coals about a gas tax hike. The Congresscritter (his name escaped me) was bound and determined to get a gas tax hike to preserve the infrastructure. Cavuto was hammering the Congresscritter to explain where all the billions of dollars already authorized for infrastructure had gone. The Congresscritter clearly had no clue, and no clue about how much has been appropriated in the past.
Cavuto has a point. The federal gas tax paid for building the interstate highway system. But that is done, the system is built, has been built for the last forty years. Routine maintenance, mowing, plowing, repaving, bridge repair, cleaning storm drains and culverts, is one hell of a lot cheaper than building the road in the first place. The state highway departments have been taking care of it. In well run states like New Hampshire, the asphalt is smooth and black, the stripes are bright and freshly painted, the bridges get rebuilt every thirty years or so, and the road doesn't wash out in the spring. In poorly run states like New York, the interstates are not as well maintained, and in fact can get pretty shabby. For instance I-95 across the Bronx.
But that is a state problem. If New Hampshire, with no income tax and no sales tax, can keep its interstates in good shape, there is no reason why New York (which has both) cannot do so too.
Either way, we don't need the feds slinging money around for "transportation" or " infrastructure". The real needs are handled be state governments, using state tax money. Which is the way it should be.
The last big federal project was the Big Dig in Boston. Taxpayers all over the country got soaked for years to pay for a massive project that did make Boston prettier, but didn't improve the traffic flow at all. You gotta ask, why should citizens in, say North Dakota, be paying for a project of benefit only to Boston real estate interests.
Cavuto has it right, we don't want to hike taxes during Great Depression 2.0 just to maintain full employment at some state road contractors.
Cavuto has a point. The federal gas tax paid for building the interstate highway system. But that is done, the system is built, has been built for the last forty years. Routine maintenance, mowing, plowing, repaving, bridge repair, cleaning storm drains and culverts, is one hell of a lot cheaper than building the road in the first place. The state highway departments have been taking care of it. In well run states like New Hampshire, the asphalt is smooth and black, the stripes are bright and freshly painted, the bridges get rebuilt every thirty years or so, and the road doesn't wash out in the spring. In poorly run states like New York, the interstates are not as well maintained, and in fact can get pretty shabby. For instance I-95 across the Bronx.
But that is a state problem. If New Hampshire, with no income tax and no sales tax, can keep its interstates in good shape, there is no reason why New York (which has both) cannot do so too.
Either way, we don't need the feds slinging money around for "transportation" or " infrastructure". The real needs are handled be state governments, using state tax money. Which is the way it should be.
The last big federal project was the Big Dig in Boston. Taxpayers all over the country got soaked for years to pay for a massive project that did make Boston prettier, but didn't improve the traffic flow at all. You gotta ask, why should citizens in, say North Dakota, be paying for a project of benefit only to Boston real estate interests.
Cavuto has it right, we don't want to hike taxes during Great Depression 2.0 just to maintain full employment at some state road contractors.
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Hunger Games, Catching Fire
So I went to see it last night. Not bad. Not quite as good as the first one, but that's sequels for you. The Jax Jr wasn't very full, and half the audience were oldsters like me. I assume the teenagers all saw it over the weekend. If you liked the first one, you will want to see this one, just to learn what happens next to Katniss and Peeta. The director had more money to make this one, so the costumes and sets are richer and fancier
The plot is more complicated and harder to follow if you haven't read the book, which I haven't. Katniss (Jennifer Lawrence) has a much more complicated romantic life, with two or three guys seriously in love with here. Everyone has grown up a bit since the first one. They are taller and more heavily muscled, clearly adults, where as in the first one everyone looked young enough to be in high school, if they have high school in that world. The costumes show off everyone's figure to advantage.
Poor Peeta has to put up with a lot. Turns out, that Katniss is no longer madly in love with him, and in fact is interested in one or maybe two other guys. He knows about this, in fact he knows the guys, and he doesn't show any jealousy, in fact he is loyal and supportive all thru the story.
Anyhow, I am glad I went to see it. It's one of the very few movies good enough to get me out to Littleton in the dark, rather than just netflixing them later.
The plot is more complicated and harder to follow if you haven't read the book, which I haven't. Katniss (Jennifer Lawrence) has a much more complicated romantic life, with two or three guys seriously in love with here. Everyone has grown up a bit since the first one. They are taller and more heavily muscled, clearly adults, where as in the first one everyone looked young enough to be in high school, if they have high school in that world. The costumes show off everyone's figure to advantage.
Poor Peeta has to put up with a lot. Turns out, that Katniss is no longer madly in love with him, and in fact is interested in one or maybe two other guys. He knows about this, in fact he knows the guys, and he doesn't show any jealousy, in fact he is loyal and supportive all thru the story.
Anyhow, I am glad I went to see it. It's one of the very few movies good enough to get me out to Littleton in the dark, rather than just netflixing them later.
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
Perks of being a Wallflower
I don't know just why I netflixed this one. Must have been the cast, Emma Watson, and Logan Lerman. Logan has had some decent roles, The Lightening Thief, Three Musketeers, and this one. And everyone wants to see Emma Watson as anything besides Hermione. (Is there life after Harry Potter?)
Emma steals all the scenes. She is pretty, slender, well dressed, the life of the parties. And there is a lot of partying. She is vivacious, and Logan falls in love with her at first sight. But by the end of the movie, despite having spent a lot of time together, Emma complains that after all that time, Logan never asked her out.
The flick is about surviving high school. Logan, entering as a freshman, has his doubts. For a shy freshman he does OK, manages to get into a clique with pretty girls (Emma) and the class clown. He finds a sympathetic teacher, he gets invited to all the parties. Kids have done worse.
Especially as Logan's character (Charlie) is a zero. He never does anything, at least not on camera. He has no skills, he isn't into sports, either as a player or a fan. He has no hobbies, he doesn't ride, or camp, or hike, or boat, or drive, or hack computers, or play computer games, or fly model airplanes, or anything. Hell, he doesn't even watch TV. And he dislikes high school, keeps counting the days until he can graduate and get out. This despite having a decent social life.
The irritating thing about this flick, is that neither Logan or Emma ever DO anything. Stuff happens to them, but they never take any action to swim up stream. Or down stream, or anything. They just show up, and somebody else does something to them, and they just take it. No guts. Or the director doesn't want to show anything. What should have been the climax, where Logan stands up in the cafeteria and defends the class clown with his fists, the camera just blacks out, we don't see anything. By most people's standards, standing up to the football team to keep them from beating up a friend is heroic. But, we don't see this happening, they tell us about it afterward. And, although it gets Logan and Emma back together after a quarrel, that's about all it does.
There are some anachronisms. The high school students all dress too well. Someone's favorite song turns up on a 45 RPM record as a gift. Hell I haven't seen a working 45 RPM record player for 30 years. Emma gives Logan a manual typewriter as a gift (Logan wants to become a writer). I ditched my manual typewriter shortly after I got my dual floppy disk MS-DOS IBM PC back in the '80s.
Then to round out the movie, Logan suffers a nervous breakdown right after graduation and spends a month in a funny farm. Although the director had been hinting thruout the movie that there is something wrong with Logan, the hints are ambiguous, and we are looking to see Logan get well as things work out for him in school. But, soon as school is over, and Emma is off to summer school at Penn State, Logan falls apart and gets hospitalized. And then after doing some time, he recovers. We don't see Logan doing anything to make himself well, it just happens. Like everything else, it just happens.
The critics liked this flick even though I didn't. That's movie critics for you.
Anyhow, a low speed movie. Hunger Games is gonna be better.
Emma steals all the scenes. She is pretty, slender, well dressed, the life of the parties. And there is a lot of partying. She is vivacious, and Logan falls in love with her at first sight. But by the end of the movie, despite having spent a lot of time together, Emma complains that after all that time, Logan never asked her out.
The flick is about surviving high school. Logan, entering as a freshman, has his doubts. For a shy freshman he does OK, manages to get into a clique with pretty girls (Emma) and the class clown. He finds a sympathetic teacher, he gets invited to all the parties. Kids have done worse.
Especially as Logan's character (Charlie) is a zero. He never does anything, at least not on camera. He has no skills, he isn't into sports, either as a player or a fan. He has no hobbies, he doesn't ride, or camp, or hike, or boat, or drive, or hack computers, or play computer games, or fly model airplanes, or anything. Hell, he doesn't even watch TV. And he dislikes high school, keeps counting the days until he can graduate and get out. This despite having a decent social life.
The irritating thing about this flick, is that neither Logan or Emma ever DO anything. Stuff happens to them, but they never take any action to swim up stream. Or down stream, or anything. They just show up, and somebody else does something to them, and they just take it. No guts. Or the director doesn't want to show anything. What should have been the climax, where Logan stands up in the cafeteria and defends the class clown with his fists, the camera just blacks out, we don't see anything. By most people's standards, standing up to the football team to keep them from beating up a friend is heroic. But, we don't see this happening, they tell us about it afterward. And, although it gets Logan and Emma back together after a quarrel, that's about all it does.
There are some anachronisms. The high school students all dress too well. Someone's favorite song turns up on a 45 RPM record as a gift. Hell I haven't seen a working 45 RPM record player for 30 years. Emma gives Logan a manual typewriter as a gift (Logan wants to become a writer). I ditched my manual typewriter shortly after I got my dual floppy disk MS-DOS IBM PC back in the '80s.
Then to round out the movie, Logan suffers a nervous breakdown right after graduation and spends a month in a funny farm. Although the director had been hinting thruout the movie that there is something wrong with Logan, the hints are ambiguous, and we are looking to see Logan get well as things work out for him in school. But, soon as school is over, and Emma is off to summer school at Penn State, Logan falls apart and gets hospitalized. And then after doing some time, he recovers. We don't see Logan doing anything to make himself well, it just happens. Like everything else, it just happens.
The critics liked this flick even though I didn't. That's movie critics for you.
Anyhow, a low speed movie. Hunger Games is gonna be better.
Monday, December 2, 2013
Newsies screw up a story
A team of archeologists working in Ethiopia uncovered a really fine projectile point in an old site. The point, pure jet black obsidian, would be a fine addition to anyone's collection of Indian arrowheads. It's inch and a half to two inches long, and finely chipped, very symmetrical, and obviously made by hands. Not one of those border line chipped pebble tools that look like plain pebbles to most people.
Website "I f***ing Love Science" said this point, dated at 280,000 years ago, is older than humans, so it's existence proves humans are older than we think they are. They didn't mention the dating method.
National Geographic talked about analysis of wear patterns on the edges of the point proved that it was a projectile point for a thrown spear, a javelin. Geographic claimed wear patterns showed the point had struck its targets while doing 1900 miles per hour. Whoa Nelly. 1900 miles per hour is Mach two, the speed of a rifle bullet. Somehow I don't think Alley Oop could throw that hard.
Some clicking around the web found the original technical article in "Plos" an archeological webzine. The dating comes from Argon-Argon measurements. The site is underneath a layer of volcanic deposits, the Argon-Argon dating tells when the volcanic deposit cooled down, stopped being molten lava, and hardened into stone. Anything underneath the deposit has got to be older. Which sounds like a better dating than you get from stratigraphy (counting layers in the rock). So the 280,000 year old dating is solid, assuming the lab did their work properly.
The speed of projectile issue speaks to the question of whether the point is a projectile point or just the point of a hand held spear. We consider a culture with projectile weapons to be more advanced than one that has to close up and go hand-to-hand. Certainly their chances of taking wary prey like deer is better with a projectile than with a club. The 1900 miles per hour is the speed of micro crack propagation inside the obsidian point. As the point cleaves into it's target, microcracks start at the edge and zip into the body of the point. This has some relationship with the speed with which the point strikes its target. The relationship was unclear.
As to the "point is older than humans" bit. The point is older than modern man, homo sapiens, but it isn't older than earlier human species, Home Habilis, Homo Afarenis, Lucy, etc. Early man goes back 2-3 million years at least.
The remarkable thing about this point, is that it is exceptionally fine, as nice a bit of work as anyone ever did, and it's pretty old. It shows that early man, Homo something-or-other, 280,000 years ago was as good at point making (and presumable spear throwing) as anyone who came after him.
Website "I f***ing Love Science" said this point, dated at 280,000 years ago, is older than humans, so it's existence proves humans are older than we think they are. They didn't mention the dating method.
National Geographic talked about analysis of wear patterns on the edges of the point proved that it was a projectile point for a thrown spear, a javelin. Geographic claimed wear patterns showed the point had struck its targets while doing 1900 miles per hour. Whoa Nelly. 1900 miles per hour is Mach two, the speed of a rifle bullet. Somehow I don't think Alley Oop could throw that hard.
Some clicking around the web found the original technical article in "Plos" an archeological webzine. The dating comes from Argon-Argon measurements. The site is underneath a layer of volcanic deposits, the Argon-Argon dating tells when the volcanic deposit cooled down, stopped being molten lava, and hardened into stone. Anything underneath the deposit has got to be older. Which sounds like a better dating than you get from stratigraphy (counting layers in the rock). So the 280,000 year old dating is solid, assuming the lab did their work properly.
The speed of projectile issue speaks to the question of whether the point is a projectile point or just the point of a hand held spear. We consider a culture with projectile weapons to be more advanced than one that has to close up and go hand-to-hand. Certainly their chances of taking wary prey like deer is better with a projectile than with a club. The 1900 miles per hour is the speed of micro crack propagation inside the obsidian point. As the point cleaves into it's target, microcracks start at the edge and zip into the body of the point. This has some relationship with the speed with which the point strikes its target. The relationship was unclear.
As to the "point is older than humans" bit. The point is older than modern man, homo sapiens, but it isn't older than earlier human species, Home Habilis, Homo Afarenis, Lucy, etc. Early man goes back 2-3 million years at least.
The remarkable thing about this point, is that it is exceptionally fine, as nice a bit of work as anyone ever did, and it's pretty old. It shows that early man, Homo something-or-other, 280,000 years ago was as good at point making (and presumable spear throwing) as anyone who came after him.
Sunday, December 1, 2013
Dissing our friends and sucking up to our enemies
Obama's people decided to close our embassy to the Vatican. Smooth move. Although the Vatican wisely refrained from complaining, I'm sure this act of disrespect disheartened them. Too bad. The Catholic Church has been a powerful force for good, since Christ was a corporal. The United States is a powerful force for good. That makes us natural allies, and dissing each other is counter productive.
On the suck up side, Obama's people promised to lift economic sanctions against Iran in return for little or nothing. Iran has been a force for evil ever since the mullahs took it over in Jimmy Carter's time. The economic sanctions have finally begun to bite hard enough to bring the Iranians to the bargaining table. The proper action is tighten them up some more, bite them harder, until they give up their nuclear program, turn all their fissionables and centrifuges over to us, dismantle their reactors, and allow no knock inspections every where in the country. Iranian goodwill isn't going to get us the time of day, we need to squeeze them til they crack.
On the suck up side, Obama's people promised to lift economic sanctions against Iran in return for little or nothing. Iran has been a force for evil ever since the mullahs took it over in Jimmy Carter's time. The economic sanctions have finally begun to bite hard enough to bring the Iranians to the bargaining table. The proper action is tighten them up some more, bite them harder, until they give up their nuclear program, turn all their fissionables and centrifuges over to us, dismantle their reactors, and allow no knock inspections every where in the country. Iranian goodwill isn't going to get us the time of day, we need to squeeze them til they crack.
Friday, November 29, 2013
Self Driving Cars
The subject came up over Thanksgiving. Some of the older generation thought there was a place for self driving cars when they got too old to drive themselves.
As for me, it will be a cold day in Hell before I left a microprocessor drive me to the store.
As for me, it will be a cold day in Hell before I left a microprocessor drive me to the store.
Movies on TV for Thanksgiving
Mostly old favorites, Bond movies from years ago, Harry Potter, Star Wars, Indiana Jones. Nothing that I don't have on DVD. Seems like Hollywood hasn't made much that people like to watch in recent years.
Single Payer Health Care == Death Panels
All the democrats like a single payer health plan. By which they mean the government pays for free health care for all. Like they have in Britain and Canada.
But, what this really means is all health care come from the government, and if the government doesn't like you, you don't get treated. If you are too old, or a member of the political opposition, or an unpopular group, or just the wrong astrological sign, they don't treat you, they just send you home to die. If they think your pills are too expensive, you do without.
No choices, no options, the government controls all.
But, what this really means is all health care come from the government, and if the government doesn't like you, you don't get treated. If you are too old, or a member of the political opposition, or an unpopular group, or just the wrong astrological sign, they don't treat you, they just send you home to die. If they think your pills are too expensive, you do without.
No choices, no options, the government controls all.
Thursday, November 28, 2013
FDA gets squeamish.
From it's shiny tiled laboratories and ivory towers, the FDA wants to ban the spreading of manure on farmer's fields. FDA claims manure contains germs that will contaminate the crops grown in manure fertilized fields. Wow! What a discovery. Must be a Nobel prize waiting for this one.
Farmers have been spreading manure on fields since 1000 years before Moses. We have cuneiform tablets from Akkad in Mesopotamia describing the use of manure. That was 5,000 years ago. In all that time, the practice hasn't killed us. I doubt that manure turned deadly just last week. It's the same stuff today as it was in Sargon of Akkad's time.
Plus, spreading the stuff out where the sun and rain and wind get at it, will kill just about anything.
Anyhow FDA is out there trying to ban the use of manure in agriculture. Your tax dollars at work.
Farmers have been spreading manure on fields since 1000 years before Moses. We have cuneiform tablets from Akkad in Mesopotamia describing the use of manure. That was 5,000 years ago. In all that time, the practice hasn't killed us. I doubt that manure turned deadly just last week. It's the same stuff today as it was in Sargon of Akkad's time.
Plus, spreading the stuff out where the sun and rain and wind get at it, will kill just about anything.
Anyhow FDA is out there trying to ban the use of manure in agriculture. Your tax dollars at work.
So what's a nomad?
When I learned the word, nomads were hunters or herdsmen with no fixed abode. They followed the game or the graising, striking their tents and moving on as the food sources moved them. Like Abraham.
So I am reading "Stonehenge, the Indo European heritage", by Leon Stover and Bruce Kraig, some European archeaology, discussing the earliest European site. And this amazing phrase pops up. "a nomadic people who farmed,clearing forest land for dispersed settlements as they passed."
Oh really. Once they put in the hard work to clear the land and plant, they aren't going to strike their tents and move on, not until the harvest is in anyhow. And probably not after harvest either. Harvest ought to produce enough food to get thru the winter, which is entirely too heavy to take with them. It's generally accepted that farming makes the settled life possible. The transition from hunter and herder to farmer is the end of the nomadic life. So, "a nomad people who farmed" makes one wonder about the author's common sense.
He is describing the "Danubian" or "Linear Pottery" folk, who settled western Europe before the coming of the Indo Europeans. But he doesn't offer any evidence (potsherds, flints, gravegoods, etc) that the Danubians were nomadic. So he throws out a hard to swallow concept with no backup.
So I am reading "Stonehenge, the Indo European heritage", by Leon Stover and Bruce Kraig, some European archeaology, discussing the earliest European site. And this amazing phrase pops up. "a nomadic people who farmed,clearing forest land for dispersed settlements as they passed."
Oh really. Once they put in the hard work to clear the land and plant, they aren't going to strike their tents and move on, not until the harvest is in anyhow. And probably not after harvest either. Harvest ought to produce enough food to get thru the winter, which is entirely too heavy to take with them. It's generally accepted that farming makes the settled life possible. The transition from hunter and herder to farmer is the end of the nomadic life. So, "a nomad people who farmed" makes one wonder about the author's common sense.
He is describing the "Danubian" or "Linear Pottery" folk, who settled western Europe before the coming of the Indo Europeans. But he doesn't offer any evidence (potsherds, flints, gravegoods, etc) that the Danubians were nomadic. So he throws out a hard to swallow concept with no backup.
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Three Musketeers, a Steampunk Spoof
Another remake. They do most of the famous scenes from way back when, D'Artagnan saying farewell to his father, D'Artagnan getting whipped by Rochfort at the inn, going to England to recover the diamond studs. But the sword fights all degenerate into 20th century kung foo. Both the musketeers and the Cardinal's guard have airships, the baddies like milady DeWinter turn into goodies. The cast is pretty much unknown except for pretty boy Logan Lerman who plays D'Artagnan, and Orlando Bloom who plays an undistinguished Buckingham. They manage to crash an airship onto Notre Dame cathedral. The steeple punctures the gasbag so they cannot lift off. Which leads to a sword fight along the roof of the cathedral.
Trouble is, the spoof is so heavy that I could not take anything seriously. It just goes on, sword fight to kung foo to air ship collision, to sword fight, and on and on. Nothing seems very real, nobody is ever in jeopardy.
It can't hold a candle to the 1970's version with Michael York and Raquel Welsh.
Trouble is, the spoof is so heavy that I could not take anything seriously. It just goes on, sword fight to kung foo to air ship collision, to sword fight, and on and on. Nothing seems very real, nobody is ever in jeopardy.
It can't hold a candle to the 1970's version with Michael York and Raquel Welsh.
Weather is clearing up here
TV news has been reporting horrible weather, travel delays, lots of bad stuff. They show a storm center still down around Philly, heading my way, arriving this evening.
You couldn't tell it by me. Over night snow turned to rain, it's warmed up and rained all the snow off Cannon Mt. It was blowing and raining hard this morning, but it's tapered off, and its clearing a little now. Either we get another hit when that storm center gets here, or it blows out to sea and we get dried out.
You couldn't tell it by me. Over night snow turned to rain, it's warmed up and rained all the snow off Cannon Mt. It was blowing and raining hard this morning, but it's tapered off, and its clearing a little now. Either we get another hit when that storm center gets here, or it blows out to sea and we get dried out.
Would you buy a used COD from this man?
Carrier on board delivery aircraft that is. An unexciting but vital aircraft. COD flies high priority cargo from land bases out to carriers at sea. Back in the day, I well remember LogAir, who flew a big turboprop Argosy transport into our base in Minnesota every day, loaded with spare parts for our fighters. Plenty of times we would tell Maintenance Control that we would have fighter so-and-so back in commission as soon as LogAir came in. That was on a stateside Air Force base in peacetime. I dare say the spare parts situation is worse at sea.
Anyhow, the existing fleet of C-2 Greyhounds, after many years of service, is in need of replacement or refurbishment. The Navy has a bid from Grumman to rebuild the weary Greyhounds, and a bid from Bell-Boeing to furnish V22 Osprey tiltrotors.
And now, Lockheed Martin is proposing to pull 70 or 80 S-3 Vikings out of the boneyard in Arizona, refurbish them, build new and larger fuselages for them. Cargo aircraft typically cube out before they weight out, in other words you run out of room to pack stuff into them long before the cargo gets too heavy to fly. So a new a bigger fuselage would make a better freighter and still be competitive on price. The S3 Viking is/was a twin jet carrier based antisub aircraft that the Navy retired a few years ago.
So, looks like the Navy is looking at rebuilt Greyhounds, rebuilt Vikings, or brand new and pricey Ospreys. I have my doubts that the Osprey has enough range, but I don't have any figures.
Anyhow, the existing fleet of C-2 Greyhounds, after many years of service, is in need of replacement or refurbishment. The Navy has a bid from Grumman to rebuild the weary Greyhounds, and a bid from Bell-Boeing to furnish V22 Osprey tiltrotors.
And now, Lockheed Martin is proposing to pull 70 or 80 S-3 Vikings out of the boneyard in Arizona, refurbish them, build new and larger fuselages for them. Cargo aircraft typically cube out before they weight out, in other words you run out of room to pack stuff into them long before the cargo gets too heavy to fly. So a new a bigger fuselage would make a better freighter and still be competitive on price. The S3 Viking is/was a twin jet carrier based antisub aircraft that the Navy retired a few years ago.
So, looks like the Navy is looking at rebuilt Greyhounds, rebuilt Vikings, or brand new and pricey Ospreys. I have my doubts that the Osprey has enough range, but I don't have any figures.
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Greenies want to hike food prices
Heard on NHPR this morning, the greenies are going to push for a state law requiring all food containing "genetically modified organisms " carry a special warning label. . There is no evidence that "genetically modified organisms" have ever harmed anyone, in anyway. The ultra conservative FDA sees nothing wrong with them. They have been in widespread use for many years with no evidence of problems.
Never mind, they must be evil and we shall drive them from the market with a scarlet letter on the package. That will let us feel good about ourselves for weeks and weeks.
For farmers, grocers, and everyone else in the food business, such a law is yet another government regulation, raising costs, exposing them to lawyer predation, and making it harder to stay in business. For lawyers, fixers, and bureaucrats, such a law is a full employment act.
For consumers, it's just more fine print on the back of the package. When was the last time you read all the fine print on a box of frozen veggies?
If I was in the grocery business, I'd comply with the law by putting "GMO" stickers on everything in the store, just to cover my ___.
Never mind, they must be evil and we shall drive them from the market with a scarlet letter on the package. That will let us feel good about ourselves for weeks and weeks.
For farmers, grocers, and everyone else in the food business, such a law is yet another government regulation, raising costs, exposing them to lawyer predation, and making it harder to stay in business. For lawyers, fixers, and bureaucrats, such a law is a full employment act.
For consumers, it's just more fine print on the back of the package. When was the last time you read all the fine print on a box of frozen veggies?
If I was in the grocery business, I'd comply with the law by putting "GMO" stickers on everything in the store, just to cover my ___.
Monday, November 25, 2013
Just 'cause you got a cancelation notice
Doesn't mean you are uninsured. You aren't uninsured until the cancellation notice takes effect. So sayth Allan Colmes, Fox News liberal gadfly. So all of us who received cancellation notices effective in January, we aren't uninsured.
Great. Thanks Allan for letting us know.
Great. Thanks Allan for letting us know.
Picky software reduces dispatch reliability of 787 Dreamliners
The 787 has more powerful computers than anything flying, more sensors for temperature and pressure and such than ever before, and the software checks all the sensors and keeps issuing warnings to the crew when there is really nothing wrong. But the crew has to do something when the computers are crying "Failure". Especially, when the computer issues an alarm before takeoff, the aircrew will call maintenance to check it out before they taxi out, leading to late departures. Boeing claims a dispatch reliability of 97.5% which sounds pretty good, but it means that out of 100 departures, 2 or 3 will be delayed by computers crying wolf.
Any how Boeing is updating the software to make it less hypochondriac. They want to get dispatch reliability up to 99.2%
Dunno how we ever flew anywhere back in the '60s and '70s before microprocessors.
Any how Boeing is updating the software to make it less hypochondriac. They want to get dispatch reliability up to 99.2%
Dunno how we ever flew anywhere back in the '60s and '70s before microprocessors.
NSA snooping kills jet fighter sale
Brazil was close to buying Boeing F/A 18 fighters to replace their ancient F5E (1960's) fighters. But revelation that NSA was eavesdropping on Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff and national oil company Petrobras has soured relations with the US. The fighter deal may now be dead.
Thanks NSA. Keeping America safe by throwing Americans out of work.
Thanks NSA. Keeping America safe by throwing Americans out of work.
Labels:
Brazil,
F/A 18,
F5E,
Petrobras,
President Dilma Rousseff
Sunday, November 24, 2013
Obama goes for the deal
TV news reports that a deal was reached with Iran last night. No details are given. What ever happened to "open covenants, openly arrived at"? (One of Woodrow Wilson's 14 points from 100 years ago). One suspects that the deal isn't that good for us.
Oh By the way. The right to enrich is the right to make nuclear weapons. Iran lacks any right to enrich, or to have the bomb.
Oh By the way. The right to enrich is the right to make nuclear weapons. Iran lacks any right to enrich, or to have the bomb.
Iran goes for the bomb
All the Iranians (or anyone else) needs to make a nuclear bomb, is enough fissionable material, either 90% uranium 235 or plutonium. U235 occurs in nature. 0.7% of natural uranium is the fissionable U235, the rest is stable U238 which won't make a bomb. Plutonium does not occur in nature, it has to be made in a nuclear reactor.
The Iranians have built up a huge battery of 19,000 centrifuges to separate the fissionable U235 from the inert U238. They have been running the centrifuges long enough to create tons of uranium enriched to 20%. Concentrating from 20% to 90% is easier than what they have already done, concentrating from 0.7% to 20%. Iran is withing spitting distance of the bomb.
The last thing the world needs is nuclear weapons in the hands of Iranian crazies.
So, as the Iranians moved closer to the bomb, we set up an economic blockade on Iran. The US Senate made it law. They can't import anything technical, not even auto parts, they can't sell their oil. Surprisingly, this is working. Iran is hurting enough to start bargaining.
Only the deal the Iranians are offering is "We promise not to make a bomb, and you lift the blockade."
Such a deal. And Obama wanted to accept it.
Fortunately the French were wise enough to reject this "deal". And probably the US Senate won't fall for it either.
The deal we want is "You Iranians turn all your uranium and all your centrifuges over to us, and permit no notice inspections of every place in your country. And you don't get to have reactors. After that is accomplished to our satisfaction, then we will lift the blockade."
If we let the Iranians get the bomb, their neighbors, Saudi and Iraq will build their own bombs. The Pakis and the Israelis already have the bomb.
The Iranians have built up a huge battery of 19,000 centrifuges to separate the fissionable U235 from the inert U238. They have been running the centrifuges long enough to create tons of uranium enriched to 20%. Concentrating from 20% to 90% is easier than what they have already done, concentrating from 0.7% to 20%. Iran is withing spitting distance of the bomb.
The last thing the world needs is nuclear weapons in the hands of Iranian crazies.
So, as the Iranians moved closer to the bomb, we set up an economic blockade on Iran. The US Senate made it law. They can't import anything technical, not even auto parts, they can't sell their oil. Surprisingly, this is working. Iran is hurting enough to start bargaining.
Only the deal the Iranians are offering is "We promise not to make a bomb, and you lift the blockade."
Such a deal. And Obama wanted to accept it.
Fortunately the French were wise enough to reject this "deal". And probably the US Senate won't fall for it either.
The deal we want is "You Iranians turn all your uranium and all your centrifuges over to us, and permit no notice inspections of every place in your country. And you don't get to have reactors. After that is accomplished to our satisfaction, then we will lift the blockade."
If we let the Iranians get the bomb, their neighbors, Saudi and Iraq will build their own bombs. The Pakis and the Israelis already have the bomb.
Saturday, November 23, 2013
Death Spiral
For taxpayers that is.
TV talking heads worry about Obama care going into a death spiral. By which they mean only older and sicker patients sign up for Obamacare and the young and healthy won't. Which means the insurance companies have to raise premiums to pay the bills, which means fewer and fewer healthy patients would sign up, 'cause it costs too much. As the TV newsies tell it, the entire Obamacare plan would emit black smoke, burst into flames and make a big hole in the ground where it hits.
Don't you wish.
In real life, the insurance companies will cry a lot, and head to the White House for a taxpayer funded bailout.
TV talking heads worry about Obama care going into a death spiral. By which they mean only older and sicker patients sign up for Obamacare and the young and healthy won't. Which means the insurance companies have to raise premiums to pay the bills, which means fewer and fewer healthy patients would sign up, 'cause it costs too much. As the TV newsies tell it, the entire Obamacare plan would emit black smoke, burst into flames and make a big hole in the ground where it hits.
Don't you wish.
In real life, the insurance companies will cry a lot, and head to the White House for a taxpayer funded bailout.
Friday, November 22, 2013
Nuking the opposition.
Harry Reid decided to do it, he pulled some kinda magic and now the Senate Dems can approve Obama appointments by a simple majority, instead of the supermajority that has been required since Thomas Jefferson's time. Needless to say, the Republicans are pissed.
They been talking about doing this for a decade. I'm wondering why Harry decided to do it now. Is it cause he figures the Dems are gonna loose the Senate in 2014, so he might as well stack the courts with as many liberal judges as he can? Is it to give the TV newsies something besides the Obamacare disaster to talk about?
Harry must not care much about bipartisan anything. The Republicans are now mad enough to give the Dems trouble just for spite. And, when the Republicans do take the Senate, they have a whole list of crusty conservative judges to appoint.
On a longer term viewpoint, Harry has thrown the classic Senate mission into the trash. The Senate rules on filibusters/super majorities have been there since the beginning, to protect minorities from the tyranny of the majority. Used to be, the majority had to have a lotta votes to jam anything thru that the minority hated. Not any more. Granted, yesterday's nuclear option only covered presidential appointments, but next week, we can go for legislation and Supreme Court appointments.
They been talking about doing this for a decade. I'm wondering why Harry decided to do it now. Is it cause he figures the Dems are gonna loose the Senate in 2014, so he might as well stack the courts with as many liberal judges as he can? Is it to give the TV newsies something besides the Obamacare disaster to talk about?
Harry must not care much about bipartisan anything. The Republicans are now mad enough to give the Dems trouble just for spite. And, when the Republicans do take the Senate, they have a whole list of crusty conservative judges to appoint.
On a longer term viewpoint, Harry has thrown the classic Senate mission into the trash. The Senate rules on filibusters/super majorities have been there since the beginning, to protect minorities from the tyranny of the majority. Used to be, the majority had to have a lotta votes to jam anything thru that the minority hated. Not any more. Granted, yesterday's nuclear option only covered presidential appointments, but next week, we can go for legislation and Supreme Court appointments.
Broadband is back.
I've been off the air since yesterday. Today I called the Time Warner service number. They tried a few things and we decided the modem might have died. So I went into Littleton, to the Time Warner shop on Union Ave, our a little past Lahout's. They gave me a new modem. I took it back and plugged it in and no joy. I'm still off the air. So, call the Time Warner trouble number again, and they say they can have a service man out today. Groovy.
And, the service guy gets here. Swaps out the splitter, replaces some tired looking J connectors, still no joy. He has a clever box the can plug into the coax and make like a modem. They track back to the pole, and decide to change out my coax drop. That does it,. I'm back.
And, the service guy gets here. Swaps out the splitter, replaces some tired looking J connectors, still no joy. He has a clever box the can plug into the coax and make like a modem. They track back to the pole, and decide to change out my coax drop. That does it,. I'm back.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Immigration bill
There are a lot of angles to immigration. There is a "comprehensive" (something for everyone) bill floating around. Democrats would love to get some press and maybe a vote on it, anything to deflect the obmacare flak heading their way. So what's in it for real people?
Well, it could let in more low end workers for picking crops, construction, retail. Planters, growers, farmers, and business are in favor of more low price workers. For the same reasons, unions are against it.
It ought to do something about the estimated 11 million illegal immigrants already in the country. These poor people have no legal standing anywhere and live in terror of a routine traffic stop that gets them deported. Anyone, employers, the mob, petty criminals, cops, the Border Patrol can abuse them at will. This is unfair, unjust un American, and we ought to fix it.
Hispanics and Democrats want to turn all 11 million of 'em into instant citizens. Hispanics like this 'cause a lot the illegals are friends, relatives and neighbors. Democrats like this 'cause they think Hispanics will vote a straight Democratic ticket. 11 million voters for your party is not to be sneezed at. A whole lot of other people see no reason why illegals in the country should get better treatment than the millions of legals who are waiting in line to enter the country.
Maybe we could compromise and issue work permits to illegals who have been here for a while, have jobs, look stable, and have stayed out of trouble with the law. The work permit doesn't let 'em vote, or let them draw welfare, unemployment, medicaid, food stamps, or social security benefits. But it does let them hold a job, get a driver's license, buy a car, buy car insurance, and send their kids to public school.
Or, we could deport them all. I don't approve of that, most of 'em have jobs, contribute to the community, pay taxes and stay out of trouble. We need citizens like that. Arresting them and packing them onto buses for shipment back to Mexico is the sort of thing the Nazis used to do. American is what it is because we have a large and loyal population, both immigrant and native borne. In fact, immigrants are as loyal, and often more loyal than the native borne.
And then honorable service in the US armed forces ought to earn US citizenship. And illegals who were brought to this country as minor children deserve a break. It isn't the kid's fault that their parents decided to slip into the US without doing the required paperwork.
We ought to have an immigrant quota of 1% of the current population, per year. America can easily assimilate that many immigrants. 1% would be about 3 million immigrants a year. We ought to favor the young, the healthy, the educated, the skilled, the married. Current policy favors relatives of American citizens, which gets us a lot of grandparents just about ready to retire and draw US social security.
If we cannot do enough log rolling and horse trading to pass a "comprehensive" immigration bill, then we ought to pass things that every one agrees on. Getting something is better than nothing.
Well, it could let in more low end workers for picking crops, construction, retail. Planters, growers, farmers, and business are in favor of more low price workers. For the same reasons, unions are against it.
It ought to do something about the estimated 11 million illegal immigrants already in the country. These poor people have no legal standing anywhere and live in terror of a routine traffic stop that gets them deported. Anyone, employers, the mob, petty criminals, cops, the Border Patrol can abuse them at will. This is unfair, unjust un American, and we ought to fix it.
Hispanics and Democrats want to turn all 11 million of 'em into instant citizens. Hispanics like this 'cause a lot the illegals are friends, relatives and neighbors. Democrats like this 'cause they think Hispanics will vote a straight Democratic ticket. 11 million voters for your party is not to be sneezed at. A whole lot of other people see no reason why illegals in the country should get better treatment than the millions of legals who are waiting in line to enter the country.
Maybe we could compromise and issue work permits to illegals who have been here for a while, have jobs, look stable, and have stayed out of trouble with the law. The work permit doesn't let 'em vote, or let them draw welfare, unemployment, medicaid, food stamps, or social security benefits. But it does let them hold a job, get a driver's license, buy a car, buy car insurance, and send their kids to public school.
Or, we could deport them all. I don't approve of that, most of 'em have jobs, contribute to the community, pay taxes and stay out of trouble. We need citizens like that. Arresting them and packing them onto buses for shipment back to Mexico is the sort of thing the Nazis used to do. American is what it is because we have a large and loyal population, both immigrant and native borne. In fact, immigrants are as loyal, and often more loyal than the native borne.
And then honorable service in the US armed forces ought to earn US citizenship. And illegals who were brought to this country as minor children deserve a break. It isn't the kid's fault that their parents decided to slip into the US without doing the required paperwork.
We ought to have an immigrant quota of 1% of the current population, per year. America can easily assimilate that many immigrants. 1% would be about 3 million immigrants a year. We ought to favor the young, the healthy, the educated, the skilled, the married. Current policy favors relatives of American citizens, which gets us a lot of grandparents just about ready to retire and draw US social security.
If we cannot do enough log rolling and horse trading to pass a "comprehensive" immigration bill, then we ought to pass things that every one agrees on. Getting something is better than nothing.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Was JFK a Conservative?
With the 50th anniversary of JFK's assassination coming up, TV news is full of chit chat about JFK. Some of the chitchat cites JFK policies, his tax cut, his strong anti-communism, and calls JFK a conservative. I suppose, but fifty years ago, JFK was a liberal. Sides have changed, the left has moved way left compared to where they were 50 years ago. By today's standards, JFK is conservative, but by 1960 standards he was liberal. Standards have changed.
It's one thing for modern talking heads to claim a popular 20th century president supports their 21st century political programs. But if you want to understand want was going down in the 1960's, you need to understand what the words liberal and conservative meant in the 1960's.
It's one thing for modern talking heads to claim a popular 20th century president supports their 21st century political programs. But if you want to understand want was going down in the 1960's, you need to understand what the words liberal and conservative meant in the 1960's.
Monday, November 18, 2013
Gaza Strip Misery?
The Gaza strip is very small,heavily populated, and miserable. A nearly full page article in the Economist details how bad things are. The Israeli's won't let anything but food in, the Egyptians are closing the tunnels that used to smuggle in arms and luxury goods, electric power is mostly off. Then they printed a picture, two small boys, probably seven or eight, playing on a sand pile in front of a crumbling poured concrete building. The background is pretty miserable, but the two boys are dressed in brand new clean jerseys and patterned shorts. The clothes look fresh off the rack at Walmart. My kids never looked that spandy clean playing out of doors back here in suburban US of A. Methinks the photo was carefully posed, presumable by Hamas which runs the Gaza strip.
One wonders why they didn't dress the boys in rags for the photo.
One wonders why they didn't dress the boys in rags for the photo.
Sunday, November 17, 2013
Three-D Printer prints a gun
And even Fox TV news thinks this is horrible. They had a cop explaining the horror of guns without serial numbers. Untraceable. And being all plastic they will go thru airport metal detectors. End of civilization. Let's ban 'em.
This from Fox News. I hate to think what MSNBC is saying.
Let's be real. I can buy a brand new handgun from the likes of Colt, Smith & Wesson, or Ruger for $500-$600. That's new, top of the line. Used, bottom of the line they are cheaper. The 3-D printers cost three or four times that, even for a home hobby shop model that only does plastic. Best future development of 3-D printers, brings the cost down to that of an office laser printer. In 30 years that is. Laser printers have been on the market for thirty years and they are still too expensive for home use. Us home hobbyshoppers use inkjet printers.
Whereas the utility of 3-D printers for inventors, new product development, making unavailable parts for old and out-of-production machines and appliances, doing artwork, making Christmas tree ornaments, jewelry, fancy furniture hardware, and knickknacks is undeniable, and ought to be encouraged. If we let BATFE "regulate" 3-D printers, they will load 'em down with so much paperwork that nobody can afford 'em.
The cop's argument about serial numbers is ridiculous. A Dremel tool will zip the serial numbers off a gun (or anything else) in seconds. Plastic guns going thru metal detectors is bogus too. Air travel would be safer if the passengers carried heat. For that matter, I don't believe all that plastic gun talk. They been talking about them for years, but I have never seen one. Even Glock, which has a plastic frame, still has a steel barrel.
This from Fox News. I hate to think what MSNBC is saying.
Let's be real. I can buy a brand new handgun from the likes of Colt, Smith & Wesson, or Ruger for $500-$600. That's new, top of the line. Used, bottom of the line they are cheaper. The 3-D printers cost three or four times that, even for a home hobby shop model that only does plastic. Best future development of 3-D printers, brings the cost down to that of an office laser printer. In 30 years that is. Laser printers have been on the market for thirty years and they are still too expensive for home use. Us home hobbyshoppers use inkjet printers.
Whereas the utility of 3-D printers for inventors, new product development, making unavailable parts for old and out-of-production machines and appliances, doing artwork, making Christmas tree ornaments, jewelry, fancy furniture hardware, and knickknacks is undeniable, and ought to be encouraged. If we let BATFE "regulate" 3-D printers, they will load 'em down with so much paperwork that nobody can afford 'em.
The cop's argument about serial numbers is ridiculous. A Dremel tool will zip the serial numbers off a gun (or anything else) in seconds. Plastic guns going thru metal detectors is bogus too. Air travel would be safer if the passengers carried heat. For that matter, I don't believe all that plastic gun talk. They been talking about them for years, but I have never seen one. Even Glock, which has a plastic frame, still has a steel barrel.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
Strange Bedfellows
The NRA is going halfsies with the ACLU on a lawsuit against the NSA. How's that for a lotta acronyms in one sentence? The NSA phone spy program keeps a record of every phone call placed all over the world. It only records which number called which other number, it doesn't record the contents of the call, just the information that appears on your phone bill. But that's enough to cause a lot of trouble. NSA could track down every NRA member. This would make a good start on a national gun registry since most gun owners are members. From a registry they could move on to confiscation of guns. Anyhow, the ACLU has it's own problems with NSA telephone surveillance. For that matter I have some problems with NSA telephone surveillance.
The enemy of my enemy is my friend.
The enemy of my enemy is my friend.
Pivot to Asia
One of the dumber statements to come out of the Obama Administration. Our European and Mideast allies read "pivot to Asia" as "pivot away from us". As in "let the Russians or Al Quada roll right over us and don't lift a finger".
The Chinese have to read "pivot" as "America is going to gang up on us". Not a good thing to have them thinking.
And, as a general rule, nobody in the world want's to hear that the Americans are changing policy. They all know we are the 800 pound gorilla, they mostly see us as benevolent, and changes in US policy scare them. As practical people they fear that "changes" will be the worse for them.
That "pivot to Asia" remark was tossed out at a news conference, probably 'cause they couldn't think of anything better to say. It would have been better to say nothing and avoid putting everyone's teeth on edge all around the world.
The Chinese have to read "pivot" as "America is going to gang up on us". Not a good thing to have them thinking.
And, as a general rule, nobody in the world want's to hear that the Americans are changing policy. They all know we are the 800 pound gorilla, they mostly see us as benevolent, and changes in US policy scare them. As practical people they fear that "changes" will be the worse for them.
That "pivot to Asia" remark was tossed out at a news conference, probably 'cause they couldn't think of anything better to say. It would have been better to say nothing and avoid putting everyone's teeth on edge all around the world.
Used car prices
Scanning the used car mail box stuffer today, just to see what's what. We have one year old Cadillac CTS (the four passenger Beemer wannabe) for $30K. Whereas we have bunch of pickup trucks going for more. Used to be a Caddy was worth twice as much as a pickup truck. Not anymore. For real value, try a Chevy Suburban for $47K. Plain four door drive-to-work and go-to-the-store sedans, Toyota, Chevy, Kia, and Ford run in the $16-$20 K range. Used.
I wonder what will be available when my Mercury Grand Marquis wears out and needs replacement?
I wonder what will be available when my Mercury Grand Marquis wears out and needs replacement?
Friday, November 15, 2013
What should Republicans do about O'care?
Well, the House has tried to repeal Obamacare, repeatedly. That is kinda worthless. The Senate won't go along, and even if they did, Obama would veto the measure. Repeal just ain't gonna fly, at least not until after the 2014 elections, and probably not then either.
What about half measures? Repeal the most obnoxious features, or roll it back a year? What's in it for us? Obamacare has pissed off the voters, but good. It's eating into Obama's credibility, and clout. Why do we want to stop that? Let the ObamaDamage continue. Sit back and watch the fun. Pass the popcorn. Let the Democrats figure how to wiggle out from under. We ought to refrain from saying "I told you so", because everyone understands that now, and repeating it just irritates voters, especially those who voted for Obama the second time.
We should point fingers at all Democrats who voted for Obamacare and are running for re election. As in "You did this to us".
What about half measures? Repeal the most obnoxious features, or roll it back a year? What's in it for us? Obamacare has pissed off the voters, but good. It's eating into Obama's credibility, and clout. Why do we want to stop that? Let the ObamaDamage continue. Sit back and watch the fun. Pass the popcorn. Let the Democrats figure how to wiggle out from under. We ought to refrain from saying "I told you so", because everyone understands that now, and repeating it just irritates voters, especially those who voted for Obama the second time.
We should point fingers at all Democrats who voted for Obamacare and are running for re election. As in "You did this to us".
What REALLY happeded at Benghasi
The night the consolate was attacked, they sent a call for help. The US military started to respond. They didn't have troops close enough to send a rescue party quickly enough, but they did have aircraft. The aircraft were sent.
Before the aircraft could arrive, Barack Obama ordered them to return to base. Two general officers,Gen Carter Ham and Rear Admiral Charles M. Gaouette, refused to abandon Americans to Al Quada. Obama fired both of them that night. For good measure, he fired two more the next day.
And that's why Obama has been stonewalling the Benghasi affair ever since.
Before the aircraft could arrive, Barack Obama ordered them to return to base. Two general officers,Gen Carter Ham and Rear Admiral Charles M. Gaouette, refused to abandon Americans to Al Quada. Obama fired both of them that night. For good measure, he fired two more the next day.
And that's why Obama has been stonewalling the Benghasi affair ever since.
Thursday, November 14, 2013
Time Warner broad band fails again
Dunno about those Time Warner guys. But my broadband has been dropping out about once a week lately.
Maybe Time Warner isn't paying it's Internet backbone fees? NSA snooping is crashing their computers? It's not the cable system, my cable TV (comes on the same wire) stays on line, but computer just cannot reach any websites.
Maybe Time Warner isn't paying it's Internet backbone fees? NSA snooping is crashing their computers? It's not the cable system, my cable TV (comes on the same wire) stays on line, but computer just cannot reach any websites.
Going to Mars on a budget
The unmanned Indian Mars mission, Mangalyaan, was launched for a mere $80 million according to Aviation Week. Whereas the next US Mars mission, Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN for short), due to launch in a week or two, will cost $671 million. eight times as much. Granted, the Indian mission only carries 15 kilograms of scientific experiments, but still the difference in cost is striking. "If India can make the world's cheapest car and the world's cheapest tablet, launching the cheapest Mars mission is no big deal," quipped one Indian space scientist.
Mangalyaan has a long way to go. It will be 10 months coasting out to Mars, at which point it has to make a burn to establish itself in an orbit around Mars. We all hope that after 10 months in interplanetary space, all the equipment will still be in working order. Mars is a tough target. Over half the missions to Mars have failed for one reason on another, including missions by Japan and China quite recently.
Good luck and God Speed.
Mangalyaan has a long way to go. It will be 10 months coasting out to Mars, at which point it has to make a burn to establish itself in an orbit around Mars. We all hope that after 10 months in interplanetary space, all the equipment will still be in working order. Mars is a tough target. Over half the missions to Mars have failed for one reason on another, including missions by Japan and China quite recently.
Good luck and God Speed.
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
No nukes is good nukes
Aviation Week has a series of articles about selected nuclear powers, the US, the Russians, French, Indians, and Chinese. Other nuclear countries, the UK, Pakistan, North Korea, Israel, are omitted. Interesting selection that. Dunno what it means other than perhaps Aviation Week just doesn't know anything about the non selected countries.
They give numbers for the US. We are down to about 2000 deliverable warheads as of now, and sequestration and budget cutting forecasts a further drop to 1550 by 2018. Which is WAY down from the bad old days when we had 10,000 warheads aimed at the Russians. Minuteman missiles are down to 450, from 1080 when Minuteman was first deployed back in the 1960's. To my amateur eye, the numbers are probably enough to do the job, namely convince everyone in the world that we could reduce their country to a glow-in-the-dark parking lot if they were stupid enough to really piss us off.
They give numbers for the US. We are down to about 2000 deliverable warheads as of now, and sequestration and budget cutting forecasts a further drop to 1550 by 2018. Which is WAY down from the bad old days when we had 10,000 warheads aimed at the Russians. Minuteman missiles are down to 450, from 1080 when Minuteman was first deployed back in the 1960's. To my amateur eye, the numbers are probably enough to do the job, namely convince everyone in the world that we could reduce their country to a glow-in-the-dark parking lot if they were stupid enough to really piss us off.
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Computers get the new jobs.
The computers have moved into vast areas of the workplace. Back when I started as an engineer, we made pencil sketches of our designs on squared paper. We took these down to drafting and drafting would produce gorgeous D size vellum drawings. The master vellums were kept in drafting, and Ozalid copies were made for production. Engineering change orders did not take effect until drafting had updated the master vellum and gotten the engineer to sign off on it.
Then we got desktop CAD. It took a while to catch on, maybe ten years, but then we engineers did the drawings with a CAD program running on our desktop computers, and the drafting departments just withered away. By the time I retired, there were no drafting departments. That's a lot of good jobs, gone.
When I started in the business, to make a trip, we called a travel agency to get the air tickets, the rental car reservation and the motel reservations. By the time I retired, the travel agencies were gone, and I made my own reservations at Orbitz using my trusty desktop. More good jobs, gone.
Years ago, when we needed a memo, a letter to a customer, a proposal, an ECO, an instruction manual, a test procedure or anything formal, we wrote it out long hand on a yellow lined pad, and took it down to the typing pool. They would type up a rough draft, we would correct same, then a final draft got typed. Each department would have a typing pool. In addition to typing stuff, they kept the supply cabinets stocked with paper and pencils, distributed the interoffice mail, and served as information centers. The head of the typing pool always knew everything and everyone. If you needed to know who to ask, or what procedure to follow, anything, the typing pool would know. Then we got Word-for-Windows with spell check and we began to type our own stuff. Again, the typing pools went away. Interoffice mail just didn't get delivered, there was no one to deliver it. More good jobs gone.
Again, way back when, companies had salesmen, who traveled to customer's sites and sold parts to the engineers. The idea was, get an engineer to design their part into the circuit, and your company owned that socket for the life of the product. We engineers were always happy to see the salesmen, 'cause the salesmen always brought fresh new data books, with the specs on all the latest parts. A salesman was an opportunity to replace your 10 year old TTL databook, with an up to date version. Then we got the internet. Companies posted the datasheets on every part they made on the web. We didn't need data books anymore, we could run off the datasheet on the parts we cared about on the office laserprinter. I don't think I saw a parts salesman after 1995. More good jobs gone.
I wonder what all those draftsmen, travel agents, typists, and salesmen are doing now.
Then we got desktop CAD. It took a while to catch on, maybe ten years, but then we engineers did the drawings with a CAD program running on our desktop computers, and the drafting departments just withered away. By the time I retired, there were no drafting departments. That's a lot of good jobs, gone.
When I started in the business, to make a trip, we called a travel agency to get the air tickets, the rental car reservation and the motel reservations. By the time I retired, the travel agencies were gone, and I made my own reservations at Orbitz using my trusty desktop. More good jobs, gone.
Years ago, when we needed a memo, a letter to a customer, a proposal, an ECO, an instruction manual, a test procedure or anything formal, we wrote it out long hand on a yellow lined pad, and took it down to the typing pool. They would type up a rough draft, we would correct same, then a final draft got typed. Each department would have a typing pool. In addition to typing stuff, they kept the supply cabinets stocked with paper and pencils, distributed the interoffice mail, and served as information centers. The head of the typing pool always knew everything and everyone. If you needed to know who to ask, or what procedure to follow, anything, the typing pool would know. Then we got Word-for-Windows with spell check and we began to type our own stuff. Again, the typing pools went away. Interoffice mail just didn't get delivered, there was no one to deliver it. More good jobs gone.
Again, way back when, companies had salesmen, who traveled to customer's sites and sold parts to the engineers. The idea was, get an engineer to design their part into the circuit, and your company owned that socket for the life of the product. We engineers were always happy to see the salesmen, 'cause the salesmen always brought fresh new data books, with the specs on all the latest parts. A salesman was an opportunity to replace your 10 year old TTL databook, with an up to date version. Then we got the internet. Companies posted the datasheets on every part they made on the web. We didn't need data books anymore, we could run off the datasheet on the parts we cared about on the office laserprinter. I don't think I saw a parts salesman after 1995. More good jobs gone.
I wonder what all those draftsmen, travel agents, typists, and salesmen are doing now.
Labels:
automation,
CAD,
draftsmen,
salesmen,
travel agents,
typing pool
Monday, November 11, 2013
Humanities wailing about the rise of STEM
Seen on the Web, repeatedly, college humanities profs wailing about the emphasis and money going into Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) departments, starving their humanities departments. Statistics show the rising numbers of students with STEM majors, and the declining number of humanities majors. This has been around since C.P. Snow wrote about "Two Cultures and the Scientific Revolution". The trend is understandable, college students want to major in something that leads to a job upon graduation. At least intelligent students do.
The humanities departments need to connect their disciplines to jobs. Right now, humanities departments view their mission as training more humanities professors. That's a loser, their aren't that many college prof jobs out there, and most of them are underpaid "adjunct" professors, part time, no health benefit jobs. Humanities need to show prospective majors where the jobs are.
Take English for example. Show how an English major can lead to jobs. Creative writing, best selling author is always attractive. As well as playwright, screenwriting, writing instruction books, advertising copy, journalism. Surely a knowledge of Shakespeare is useful to writing plays, movie scripts, or TV shows. Understanding the English novel, from Pride and Prejudice to Hemingway is helpful to writers of mainsteam fiction, genre fiction, romance novels, fantasy and science fiction, westerns and mysteries. This will require the typical English prof to conceal his aristocratic distaste for things like advertising and genre fiction, but that's better than unemployment.
Foreign language departments need to expalin the need to speak the language, and know the culture, for overseas work in diplomacy, intelligence, sales, import/export work, journalism, and business. Employers already know that they need American employees with language skills to represent them overseas.
History is an ever expanding and super broad field. Covering everything that ever happened since the invention of writing, makes history the broadest field of all. History books have gone on to the best seller list from the days of Bruce Catton, and Barbara Tuchman, up thru David McCullough. Plenty of good fiction have been written with a historical slant, from C.S. Forester to Tom Clancy. As a background for a career in politics, diplomacy, or intelligence, history is far superior to political science, sociology or economics. History is real, with real examples. The others are theoretical, and mostly opinion.
The humanities departments need to connect their disciplines to jobs. Right now, humanities departments view their mission as training more humanities professors. That's a loser, their aren't that many college prof jobs out there, and most of them are underpaid "adjunct" professors, part time, no health benefit jobs. Humanities need to show prospective majors where the jobs are.
Take English for example. Show how an English major can lead to jobs. Creative writing, best selling author is always attractive. As well as playwright, screenwriting, writing instruction books, advertising copy, journalism. Surely a knowledge of Shakespeare is useful to writing plays, movie scripts, or TV shows. Understanding the English novel, from Pride and Prejudice to Hemingway is helpful to writers of mainsteam fiction, genre fiction, romance novels, fantasy and science fiction, westerns and mysteries. This will require the typical English prof to conceal his aristocratic distaste for things like advertising and genre fiction, but that's better than unemployment.
Foreign language departments need to expalin the need to speak the language, and know the culture, for overseas work in diplomacy, intelligence, sales, import/export work, journalism, and business. Employers already know that they need American employees with language skills to represent them overseas.
History is an ever expanding and super broad field. Covering everything that ever happened since the invention of writing, makes history the broadest field of all. History books have gone on to the best seller list from the days of Bruce Catton, and Barbara Tuchman, up thru David McCullough. Plenty of good fiction have been written with a historical slant, from C.S. Forester to Tom Clancy. As a background for a career in politics, diplomacy, or intelligence, history is far superior to political science, sociology or economics. History is real, with real examples. The others are theoretical, and mostly opinion.
Sunday, November 10, 2013
The Economist likes inflation
Amusing cover story. Cover has a cartoon of a limp hot air balloon sagging toward the sea, where sharks are gathering. Anyhow the gist of the story is we don't have enough inflation, and central banks, (The Fed!) ought to pump up inflation again. They spend some words trashing deflation (falling prices and wages) but they never get around to expaling why inflation is good for anybody. Any how, they are in favor of more of it.
They never explain just which measure of inflation they mean. US labor dept keeps track of "core" inflation, usually everything except food and fuel. Food and fuel are "volatile" and that makes them evil. Core inflation is services and manufactured goods, and is "purer" in the view of economists.
Unfortunately, they use "core" inflation for all those cost-of-living escalators in union contracts and social security. Doesn't help me much. I have to buy oil for the furnace, gas for the car and food for the bod. My house is clogged with generations of manufactured goods, both hand me downs from the older generation and left-behinds from the children. I don't buy new stuff much anymore. But the Social Security cost-of-living escalator works on "core" inflation.
They never explain just which measure of inflation they mean. US labor dept keeps track of "core" inflation, usually everything except food and fuel. Food and fuel are "volatile" and that makes them evil. Core inflation is services and manufactured goods, and is "purer" in the view of economists.
Unfortunately, they use "core" inflation for all those cost-of-living escalators in union contracts and social security. Doesn't help me much. I have to buy oil for the furnace, gas for the car and food for the bod. My house is clogged with generations of manufactured goods, both hand me downs from the older generation and left-behinds from the children. I don't buy new stuff much anymore. But the Social Security cost-of-living escalator works on "core" inflation.
First Plow of the season
We had a bit of snow last night. Less than an inch. But the town plow rumbled by at 6 AM. That's the first this season. First plow counts for more than just first snow
Warren Commission
Been a lot of talk on TV about the Kennedy assassination, new evidence, second gunmen, all good Oliver Stone material.
I clearly remember the day Kennedy was killed. Word reached us on the Franklin & Marshall campus. It was just before my afternoon class in Civil War, taught by good old Frederick Klein. We gathered in the classroom, Fred was clearly shaken. He said a few words about now he understood how the country felt after Lincoln's assassination. Then he dismissed the class. Nobody said much, we settled in front of the dorm TV set to watch the news. We got to see Ruby waste Oswald live. And the state funeral. Those were sad days.
Back then, the entire thing seemed fishy. There was fear in the air. 1963 was the coldest part of the cold war. Oswald's Soviet Russian connections were in the press, his Russian wife, his stay in the Soviet Union. Every one still remembered Joe McCarthy. If the citizens ever got the idea that the Soviets were behind Oswald, all hell would break loose, including a demand for revenge, leading to WWIII.
They appointed the bluest of blue ribbon committee of investigation available to investigate and report what really happened. Earl Warren, chairman, was chief justice of the Supreme Court. You don't get more respectable than that. The rest of the members were all household names. They had full and enthusiastic cooperation of FBI, CIA, the armed services, the Congress, the Dallas authorities, everybody. All the witnesses (except Oswald) were still alive for questioning. Events were still fresh in everyone's memory.
We were disappointed in the contents of the Warren report. Nobody liked the idea that JFK had perished at the hands of a lone nutcase. But we accepted it, largely 'cause we figured the commission members were too honest and too patriotic to lie to us.
I still feel that way. The fifty years of conspiracy theories of history from that time to this don't impress me. I think the Warren Commission, had all the time, all the expertise, all the pressure to produce, that were possible. I doubt that latter day revisionists will get it more right than the Warren Commission did right after the fact.
But they keep trying. It sells movies.
I clearly remember the day Kennedy was killed. Word reached us on the Franklin & Marshall campus. It was just before my afternoon class in Civil War, taught by good old Frederick Klein. We gathered in the classroom, Fred was clearly shaken. He said a few words about now he understood how the country felt after Lincoln's assassination. Then he dismissed the class. Nobody said much, we settled in front of the dorm TV set to watch the news. We got to see Ruby waste Oswald live. And the state funeral. Those were sad days.
Back then, the entire thing seemed fishy. There was fear in the air. 1963 was the coldest part of the cold war. Oswald's Soviet Russian connections were in the press, his Russian wife, his stay in the Soviet Union. Every one still remembered Joe McCarthy. If the citizens ever got the idea that the Soviets were behind Oswald, all hell would break loose, including a demand for revenge, leading to WWIII.
They appointed the bluest of blue ribbon committee of investigation available to investigate and report what really happened. Earl Warren, chairman, was chief justice of the Supreme Court. You don't get more respectable than that. The rest of the members were all household names. They had full and enthusiastic cooperation of FBI, CIA, the armed services, the Congress, the Dallas authorities, everybody. All the witnesses (except Oswald) were still alive for questioning. Events were still fresh in everyone's memory.
We were disappointed in the contents of the Warren report. Nobody liked the idea that JFK had perished at the hands of a lone nutcase. But we accepted it, largely 'cause we figured the commission members were too honest and too patriotic to lie to us.
I still feel that way. The fifty years of conspiracy theories of history from that time to this don't impress me. I think the Warren Commission, had all the time, all the expertise, all the pressure to produce, that were possible. I doubt that latter day revisionists will get it more right than the Warren Commission did right after the fact.
But they keep trying. It sells movies.
Saturday, November 9, 2013
Sorry doesn't cut it
Obama actually managed to say he was sorry about canceling people's health care policies. Too bad he didn't promise to fix anything while he was at it. All talk, no action, that's our boy.
It's all in the pan
Popovers that is. Very tasty for breakfast. Trouble is, they don't always pop for me. I started out using ordinary stamped muffin tins. Then I upgraded to pyrex cups. Either way I have having a 50% failure-to-pop. They would rise, come out tasty, but half the time, no pop.
So I splurged on a brand new Bundt popover pan. $41 marked down to $35. Cast aluminum, carefully shaped popover holes. And it worked. Made my regular recipe this morning, filled the new pan half full, and bingo, they all popped. Must be something magic in this fancy pan.
In fact, maybe there is. Used to be, using muffin pans and such, the top of my popovers would brown and bake solid, rock solid, too solid for the popping action to push up. The fancy pan keeps the tops softer longer, and that may be the secret. Popovers are unleavened bread, no yeast, no baking powder, they rise and pop on steam from the milk alone.
I only have to bake about another 30 batches to spread out the cost of fancy pan. Good thing I like popovers for breakfast.
So I splurged on a brand new Bundt popover pan. $41 marked down to $35. Cast aluminum, carefully shaped popover holes. And it worked. Made my regular recipe this morning, filled the new pan half full, and bingo, they all popped. Must be something magic in this fancy pan.
In fact, maybe there is. Used to be, using muffin pans and such, the top of my popovers would brown and bake solid, rock solid, too solid for the popping action to push up. The fancy pan keeps the tops softer longer, and that may be the secret. Popovers are unleavened bread, no yeast, no baking powder, they rise and pop on steam from the milk alone.
I only have to bake about another 30 batches to spread out the cost of fancy pan. Good thing I like popovers for breakfast.
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