The new Republican majority in Concord gets to choose a speaker of the
house. They are talking about a vote next week. Candidates are Gene
Chandler (from Bartlett), Bill O'Brien (Mont Vernon) and somebody I
never heard of and cannot remember right now. I know both Gene and
Bill, they are good people, who have the voter's welfare at heart.
Bill O'Brien has served as Speaker before. Back in 2011-12 Bill
managed to trim 11% off the budget, got it to balance, avoided a tax hike,
and despite continuing screams from Democrats and bureaucrats, nobody
was thrown out into the snow. We are talking 11% real cuts, as opposed
to the fake cuts so popular with politicians. There was intense
opposition from Democrats, do gooders, bureaucrats, and the media, all
of whom like increasing taxes and increasing the role of government.
Somehow Bill was able to find the votes for his budget and bring it to a
vote, saving us taxpayers a bundle.
Bill had time for voters. I
remember a little Tea Party meeting in Ashland years ago. It wasn't
much, maybe a dozen people, meeting in someone's living room on a
weeknight. None of us were well known, or influential, or in command
of other votes. But, Bill took the time to drive up (probably and hour
and a half). He explained what was going on in Concord, listened to our
concerns, and convinced everyone in the room that he and the
Republicans knew what they were about. I'll bet he didn't get home to
bed before 11 PM that night.
Gene Chandler is a decent guy, a nice guy, I like him. But I don't believe he would be able to push thru an 11% budget cut.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Maidentrip, An Indie film 2013
14 year old Laura Dekker, a Dutch girl, wanted to sail around the world, single handed. She does it. She also narrates the film, and took all the at sea video. It's a heartwarming tale. Laura films scene after scene, of good weather, of her ketch foaming along with a bone in her teeth, of a cheerful sunlit cabin, of threatening thunder heads, of glorious sunsets, and of running the lee rail under in heavy weather. Clearly Laura loves to sail and loved the trip. It takes a while, she sets off at age 14, and is 16 by the time she finishes. You can see her growing up in the video, she looks a lot more grown up at the end of the trip than at the beginning.
There were a few technical details that I would have enjoyed knowing, like about her boat. I never did catch a name for it. She did mention that it was forty feet long, which makes it a big yacht. I never saw it sailing under Genoa job, the sail of choice of modern yachts. Did Laura know celestial navigation or did she rely upon electronics to guide her from port to port? There are no shots of Laura holding a sextant or consulting a chronometer. No comments upon how well the autopilot could hold course at night while Laura was sleeping. No comments upon what her yacht did for electric power during 18 day passages off shore. Did she have to run the auxiliary engine once a day to charge the batteries? Did she carry solar cells or a wind driven generator?
Anyhow, a heartwarming film. I enjoyed it. The photography is very good, especially for an indie film. Netflix has it.
There were a few technical details that I would have enjoyed knowing, like about her boat. I never did catch a name for it. She did mention that it was forty feet long, which makes it a big yacht. I never saw it sailing under Genoa job, the sail of choice of modern yachts. Did Laura know celestial navigation or did she rely upon electronics to guide her from port to port? There are no shots of Laura holding a sextant or consulting a chronometer. No comments upon how well the autopilot could hold course at night while Laura was sleeping. No comments upon what her yacht did for electric power during 18 day passages off shore. Did she have to run the auxiliary engine once a day to charge the batteries? Did she carry solar cells or a wind driven generator?
Anyhow, a heartwarming film. I enjoyed it. The photography is very good, especially for an indie film. Netflix has it.
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
International Aviation Market Forecast for 2015
Interesting chart in Aviation Week about commercial aircraft production. Comercial being jetliners, regional jet liners, utility aircraft. No biz jets. No military aircraft and no helicopters. Sales forecasts are all for the next ten years.
First thing that comes out in that there are only two real makers of full sized jet airliners, Airbus and Boeing. Airbus is projected to build 7000 jet liners. Boeing is projected to build 7400. When you think that each aircraft sells for $50-100 million, that's a lotta business.
Then there are builders who are pretty much dead. Ilyushin is projected to build just two IL-96 wide body jetliners. At that production rate, they are losing barrels of money on each plane. And we have Tupolev's TU 204/214 single aisle jet liner with a forecast of a mere 9 aircraft. Let's guess the Russian government is subsidizing Ilyushin and Tupolev to keep the production lines open just in case they can line up some orders. Good luck with that. I hear the Aeroflot is advertising that they fly western built aircraft on all their overseas routes.
Then we have the regional jet liners. These look like regular single aisle airliners, but they are smaller and seat few passengers, less than 90, as compared to a 737 which seats 150-180 depending upon model. The regional jet liner makers are new comers, Embraer (Brazil) , Bombardier (Canada), and Comac (China). Presumably it is easier to break into the jet liner market at the bottom, and perhaps small jets can be sold to the various puddle jumper airlines still flying small turboprops. Sales projection are a hundred or so for each maker. This market doesn't look all that hot.
And then we have some surprisingly strong utility aircraft. Beech King Air is forecast to sell 1302 aircraft. That's more than all the regional jet makers put together. The Pilatus PC-12 is forecast to sell 846 aircraft. Even though utility aircraft don't bring in the money that regular jet liners do, that's still a nice bit of business.
First thing that comes out in that there are only two real makers of full sized jet airliners, Airbus and Boeing. Airbus is projected to build 7000 jet liners. Boeing is projected to build 7400. When you think that each aircraft sells for $50-100 million, that's a lotta business.
Then there are builders who are pretty much dead. Ilyushin is projected to build just two IL-96 wide body jetliners. At that production rate, they are losing barrels of money on each plane. And we have Tupolev's TU 204/214 single aisle jet liner with a forecast of a mere 9 aircraft. Let's guess the Russian government is subsidizing Ilyushin and Tupolev to keep the production lines open just in case they can line up some orders. Good luck with that. I hear the Aeroflot is advertising that they fly western built aircraft on all their overseas routes.
Then we have the regional jet liners. These look like regular single aisle airliners, but they are smaller and seat few passengers, less than 90, as compared to a 737 which seats 150-180 depending upon model. The regional jet liner makers are new comers, Embraer (Brazil) , Bombardier (Canada), and Comac (China). Presumably it is easier to break into the jet liner market at the bottom, and perhaps small jets can be sold to the various puddle jumper airlines still flying small turboprops. Sales projection are a hundred or so for each maker. This market doesn't look all that hot.
And then we have some surprisingly strong utility aircraft. Beech King Air is forecast to sell 1302 aircraft. That's more than all the regional jet makers put together. The Pilatus PC-12 is forecast to sell 846 aircraft. Even though utility aircraft don't bring in the money that regular jet liners do, that's still a nice bit of business.
Telephone Scam, Second Edition
So I answered the phone. I think it was the same scammer as before. Had the same foreign accent as the guy last month. . So I told him I thought he was a scammer. So he claimed he was calling from Microsoft. I told him Microsoft never calls anyone, in fact, Microsoft doesn't even answer the phone if you call them. So he blew me a couple of feeble insults and hung up.
The scammers are out there.
The scammers are out there.
Ultra Pricey
The Christmas catalog rush is warming up. Exhibit A, "Chefs, Best Kitchen Starts Here". Cookware, counter top appliances, baking dishes, pots and pans. Nice stuff. I cook a bit, and am partial to decent kitchen stuff.
Well, the stuff in this catalog had better be decent. They have $500 toasters, $500 mixers, $100 fry pans, $140 knives, and $200 soup pots.
Too rich for my blood. Even as gifts.
Well, the stuff in this catalog had better be decent. They have $500 toasters, $500 mixers, $100 fry pans, $140 knives, and $200 soup pots.
Too rich for my blood. Even as gifts.
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
What is Net Neutrality?
What ever it is, Obama is in favor of it. Especially when he gets to make the rules. What ever it is, the FCC will gain control over the internet, a control that the Supreme Court has denied them earlier this year.
The current internet works pretty good for me. I get broadband for $14.99 a month. It's fast enough for movies. I can go to any site I please. Email goes thru, it's nearly as dependable as snail mail. What's not to like? And lets not mess it up.
There is some controversy about streaming video. the video outfits (Netflix) love streaming video. The service providers are luke warm, video sucks up fantastic amounts of bandwidth. requiring expensive new lines to be buried in the dirt. The service providers, given their druthers, would charge extra for streaming video, and assign it a lower priority to allow email, web surfing, googling, and other net services to run at regular speed and streaming video to run when it doesn't interfere with other services. They don't do that now, but they have been muttering about it.
Obama has messed up so many things, the economy, international relations, Iraq, healthcare, Solyndra, and my electric rates. He has the reverse Midas touch, everything he touches turns to garbage. With a record like that, lets keep his hands off the Internet.
The current internet works pretty good for me. I get broadband for $14.99 a month. It's fast enough for movies. I can go to any site I please. Email goes thru, it's nearly as dependable as snail mail. What's not to like? And lets not mess it up.
There is some controversy about streaming video. the video outfits (Netflix) love streaming video. The service providers are luke warm, video sucks up fantastic amounts of bandwidth. requiring expensive new lines to be buried in the dirt. The service providers, given their druthers, would charge extra for streaming video, and assign it a lower priority to allow email, web surfing, googling, and other net services to run at regular speed and streaming video to run when it doesn't interfere with other services. They don't do that now, but they have been muttering about it.
Obama has messed up so many things, the economy, international relations, Iraq, healthcare, Solyndra, and my electric rates. He has the reverse Midas touch, everything he touches turns to garbage. With a record like that, lets keep his hands off the Internet.
Monday, November 10, 2014
The Norks are making nice.
I wonder why. They have released three American prisoners, which is better than average for the Norks. I haven't heard of any negotiations, over say nukes, or economic aid, or lifting of sanctions, or anything like that. There are the "six power" talks about nukes which have been stalled out for quite a while. I haven't heard anything from the South Koreans, who often know more than we do about the North.
Has Obama made an under-the-table secret offer to the Norks?
I think the Norks have a greater need to keep on China's good side than they do for us Americans. China is subsidizing the Norks, to keep 'em running, fearing that a worse breakdown of Nork economy might kick off a revolution that ends up with the new North Korean government joining South Korea, a development that the Chinese cannot approve of.
Has Obama made an under-the-table secret offer to the Norks?
I think the Norks have a greater need to keep on China's good side than they do for us Americans. China is subsidizing the Norks, to keep 'em running, fearing that a worse breakdown of Nork economy might kick off a revolution that ends up with the new North Korean government joining South Korea, a development that the Chinese cannot approve of.
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