It goes back to 2010 when Airbus announced a re engined A320, their workhorse single aisle air liner, that would save 15% on fuel. Next year 2011, American Airlines told Boeing they better have a reengined 737 or else American would buy the Airbus 320 neo. Boeing started the 737 MAX project a year later. This project was a straight forward engine swap, replace the existing engines with newly designed engines that would give better fuel economy, leave the rest of the 737 alone. It took Boeing four years, until 2016, to get the engine swap designed and built and get the first flight accomplished. This is a rediculous length of time. Back in the day, the British were able to swap out an anemic US engine for the 2000 hp Merlin engine on a North American fighter plane over a weekend. The result of the British engine swap was the famous Mustang fighter. You would think if the Brits could do it in a weekend, Boeing ought to be able to do the same thing in less than four years.
One of the constraints, was the 737 MAX had to fly like the preceding 737s. And, the bigger engines of the MAX had a tendency to push the nose up when power was added. So Boeing added code into the autopilot software to push the nose back down and make the new MAX fly just like the old 737. Unfortunately for Boeing, the new code, the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System, MCAS for short, could fail disastrously. When things went wrong, MCAS could dive the plane into the ground. This happened twice within a few months. All on board were killed in both accidents. Which caused the 737 MAX to be grounded. It's been grounded for 5 months now.
Boeing hopes to present corrected autopilot MCAS code to the FAA for approval this month, September. FAA, being a government bureau, can take as much time as they like to decide to OK the new code, or call for yet changes and/or testing. When (and if) FAA ungrounds the 737 MAX then all the other regulators around the world will begin to unground the plane for their airlines and airspace. At this point Boeing is hoping to get the 737 back in the air before the end of 2019. This may be a vain hope.
This blog posts about aviation, automobiles, electronics, programming, politics and such other subjects as catch my interest. The blog is based in northern New Hampshire, USA
Monday, September 2, 2019
Saturday, August 24, 2019
Solar Comes to Groveton NH
I attended a briefing up in Coos
County about plans to build a 5
Megawatt solar power plant just outside of Groveton. Present were Bennie Lamontagne from the
department of business and economic affairs, Senator David Starr, Tara
Giles from Salmonpress, and Barry Normandeau of Normandeau Trucking. Tom
Wemyss of Pure Point Energy gave the briefing.
He showed maps. They already own
a 600 acre site on the east bank of the river (Groveton is on the west bank) of
which they plan to clear some 60 acres to make room for the solar panels. The solar arrays will be mounted on solar
tracking bases to improve power output. The
topography is such that the solar array will not be visible from the roads
which will preserve the up country ambiance of the area. There is a big Eversource substation close by
to accept power to the ISO New England grid.
At one point Tom Wemyss mentioned selling power in Groveton for 8 cents
a kilowatt hour. That sounded good to
me, since I am paying 20 cents a kilowatt hour in Franconia.
The project is
waiting for the NH Legislature to authorize net metering for operations as
large as 5 Megawatts. Right now net
metering is limited to plants no larger than 1 Megawatt. Costs to install are roughly the same for
large or small solar plants. A five
Megawatt plant can make enough revenue to justify construction, a smaller plant
cannot. There is a bill, HB365, to raise
the net metering threshold to 5 Megawatts.
We passed it thru both House and Senate this spring. Unfortunately the governor vetoed it. A veto override will be voted upon in
September.
Assuming a
successful veto override, they have to do some more paperwork with DES and
others. Funding is in hand and
construction could start next summer.
Thursday, August 22, 2019
That Federal Deficit, why it grows and what it means
The Wall St Journal and Fox News have been complaining about the federal deficit and debt this week. They condemn both and let it go at that. They never talk about fixes. There are two fixes, both of them painful. We could reduce federal spending or we could raise federal taxes, or both. Do enough of this and the deficit goes away. However any attempt to reduce spending will provoke howls of pain from those whose federal gravy train has been cut off. Hiking taxes produces screams from taxpayers. No congresscritter has the stones to brave either one, so nothing happens.
So, the feds continue to spend more than they take in from taxes. How do they do this? Simple, they print more money and use it to pay the bills and meet payroll. They do this every year, to the tune of trillions of new paper dollars. And this works in a way. Printing trillions of dollars makes the dollar worth less.
In my life time I have seen gasoline go from 28 cents a gallon to $2.80 a gallon. New cars used to be $2000, now they are $20,000. Comic books used to 10 cents. Now they are $2.50. In short, prices of everything are ten times what they were in my childhood. Or put it another way, the US dollar is worth only a tenth of what it used to be worth. This is a concealed tax on everyone Over a lifetime, 90% of all the money everyone holds is sucked out by the feds.
How long can this go on? Who knows? We put up with a ten times devaluation of the dollar, we can probably put up with a lot more.
So, the feds continue to spend more than they take in from taxes. How do they do this? Simple, they print more money and use it to pay the bills and meet payroll. They do this every year, to the tune of trillions of new paper dollars. And this works in a way. Printing trillions of dollars makes the dollar worth less.
In my life time I have seen gasoline go from 28 cents a gallon to $2.80 a gallon. New cars used to be $2000, now they are $20,000. Comic books used to 10 cents. Now they are $2.50. In short, prices of everything are ten times what they were in my childhood. Or put it another way, the US dollar is worth only a tenth of what it used to be worth. This is a concealed tax on everyone Over a lifetime, 90% of all the money everyone holds is sucked out by the feds.
How long can this go on? Who knows? We put up with a ten times devaluation of the dollar, we can probably put up with a lot more.
Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Asylum ?? For entry to the US ??
Been a lotta talk on TV about asylum, some kind of US policy that might let people from hell hole countries into the US just because the place they come from is so bad.
Not sure I understand what' going on here. Ought to be, used to be, that would be immigrants filed paperwork, perhaps too darn much paperwork, with someone, State Dept? ICE? and in all good time someone might get back to them with rejection notices or invitations to immigrate. You would think that ordinary fairness requires that all would be immigrants get treated the same, no matter where they are coming from. And you would think that in this age where everything and everyplace is on the internet, with broadband no less, that the someone who accepts the would be immigrant's paperwork get back within a reasonable length of time, say 5 weeks, not 5 years.
And just what is the US asylum policy? and how does it fit in? And is it fair to give would be immigrants from hell holes a leg up on everyone else? Just because there home country is dreadful?
Inquiring minds want to know.
Not sure I understand what' going on here. Ought to be, used to be, that would be immigrants filed paperwork, perhaps too darn much paperwork, with someone, State Dept? ICE? and in all good time someone might get back to them with rejection notices or invitations to immigrate. You would think that ordinary fairness requires that all would be immigrants get treated the same, no matter where they are coming from. And you would think that in this age where everything and everyplace is on the internet, with broadband no less, that the someone who accepts the would be immigrant's paperwork get back within a reasonable length of time, say 5 weeks, not 5 years.
And just what is the US asylum policy? and how does it fit in? And is it fair to give would be immigrants from hell holes a leg up on everyone else? Just because there home country is dreadful?
Inquiring minds want to know.
Saturday, August 17, 2019
Recesson Talk
Been a lot of talk on TV, even on Fox. The newsies talk about rates of return on US T-bills. Uncle sells a variety of T-bills, short term, long term, forever term. The rate of return on the longer T-bills fell below the rate of return on shorter T-bills. The newsies are claiming this is a sure fire recession indicator.
Dunno about that. We have bond markets, open 5 days a week, every week. You don't have to hold a bond until maturity, you can sell a long bond anytime. Your broker can have the cash in your account within one business day. That's faster than a check can clear. People (people with money) buy T-bills when they don't have anything better to do with some excess money. T-Bills pay a little interest, not much but better than nothing, and they are as safe as cash. The US has always paid it's debts, ever since the revolution, the US economy is the largest in the world, it is protected by the strongest military in the world, and the US has anything thing you might want for sale, just as long as you have the money to pay for it.
If the investor doesn't have anything better to invest in, like new plant and equipment, new product development, dividends, hot stocks, whatever, he will park the unused cash in T-bills, until he needs it for something more lucrative. I don't think investors really care if it is a 5 year T-bill or a 30 year T-bill. They will sell their T-bill when they need the money for something else.
I don't see any connection between long and short T-bill returns and recessions. The TV newsies do, and they are talking it up, but what do they know? Really?
Dunno about that. We have bond markets, open 5 days a week, every week. You don't have to hold a bond until maturity, you can sell a long bond anytime. Your broker can have the cash in your account within one business day. That's faster than a check can clear. People (people with money) buy T-bills when they don't have anything better to do with some excess money. T-Bills pay a little interest, not much but better than nothing, and they are as safe as cash. The US has always paid it's debts, ever since the revolution, the US economy is the largest in the world, it is protected by the strongest military in the world, and the US has anything thing you might want for sale, just as long as you have the money to pay for it.
If the investor doesn't have anything better to invest in, like new plant and equipment, new product development, dividends, hot stocks, whatever, he will park the unused cash in T-bills, until he needs it for something more lucrative. I don't think investors really care if it is a 5 year T-bill or a 30 year T-bill. They will sell their T-bill when they need the money for something else.
I don't see any connection between long and short T-bill returns and recessions. The TV newsies do, and they are talking it up, but what do they know? Really?
Friday, August 16, 2019
Heal US political polarization. Stop Name Calling
Racist. White Supremacist, Fascist, Nazi, and others. I hear and read this trash talk every day. It is just name calling. It doesn't explain the writer's position, or offer alternative policies, it just slams political opponents. We used to have a policy on the internet, the first one to mention Hitler or Nazis lost the argument. We should bring it back.
Political pundits should concentrate on slamming or advancing policies, rather than doing character assassination on working politicians. Start by giving the policy's name, or bill number, or case name, something so we could recognize it and maybe even Google it for more info or alternate opinions. Describe just what the policy does that is good or bad. Layout a better policy. Explain how the policy is in line with, or dead set against, the basic ideas of America, like the Declaration of Independence or the Constitution. Make a case, for or against a policy.
Understand, that it is far easier for newsies to just name call. You don't have to know anything, research anything, or understand anything to call someone a name. Understand that the newsies who name call do it because they have nothing of interest to contribute to the conversation.
Political pundits should concentrate on slamming or advancing policies, rather than doing character assassination on working politicians. Start by giving the policy's name, or bill number, or case name, something so we could recognize it and maybe even Google it for more info or alternate opinions. Describe just what the policy does that is good or bad. Layout a better policy. Explain how the policy is in line with, or dead set against, the basic ideas of America, like the Declaration of Independence or the Constitution. Make a case, for or against a policy.
Understand, that it is far easier for newsies to just name call. You don't have to know anything, research anything, or understand anything to call someone a name. Understand that the newsies who name call do it because they have nothing of interest to contribute to the conversation.
Wednesday, August 14, 2019
End of Fossil Fuels? Winter is coming
Been hearing a lot of silly talk from Democrats about eliminating fossil fuels. Chilly. We have a long cold heating season up here and I burn quite a bit of furnace oil every winter. The house would be uninhabitable without the furnace. And I need gasoline to get to the grocery store. Mac's Market is only four miles away, but it is down at the bottom of Three Mile Hill, and I am too old to walk that, lugging groceries.
If the Democrats gets elected and outlaw fossil fuel I need to think about relocating to the Carolinas.
Vote a straight Republican ticket.
If the Democrats gets elected and outlaw fossil fuel I need to think about relocating to the Carolinas.
Vote a straight Republican ticket.
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