Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Words of the Weasel Part 56.



How to Weaponize an Existential Threat.  The title of a piece in the Wall St Journal Op-Ed page.  The author, Joseph Epstein is out to trash a lot of vague words, popular with newsies and pols, which have been creeping into English.  He mentions focus, issue (bland word for bug or problem), charisma, prioritize, weaponize, incentivize.  Word for Window spell check chokes up on weaponize and incentivize
   The author finishes off with “existential threat”.    A threat is a threat, when you are on the receiving end of a threat you have to either knuckle under, or get ready to fight.  The existential part is a fancy way of making the threat sound more dangerous.  Me, I will stick with “deadly threat”.   
   Mr. Epstein doesn’t mention “holistic”, a general purpose sounds good but means nothing word.  When I hear or read “holistic” I know I am wasting my time with this person or article.

Monday, April 29, 2019

Star Wars The Force Awakens 2015


The Force Awakens.  Following up on my Stars Wars refresher, getting ready for the coming Christmas new Star Wars movie, I popped my DVD of The Force Awakens into the player last night.  I’m getting them out of order, The Force Awakens came out for Christmas 2015, and Rogue One came out the next Christmas 2016. 
   They had a better sound man in Force.  All the dialog was audible.  And I picked up on a few of the new character’s names.  Rey, Finn, Poe, BB-8.  Never did catch a name for Darth Vader, Jr.  And everybody knows Han Solo, Leia Organa, and Luke Skywalker by sight.  In this movie they kill off Han Solo.  He will be missed. 
   Camera man was into the dark look, he turned out the lights in a lot of scenes.  Not quite as annoying as Rogue One camera work, but annoying.  Even out door scenes in broad daylight were dim.  Indoor scenes were black. 
   We have a plot of sorts.  Poe has a star map showing where the long lost Luke Skywalker is hiding/meditating.  It is programmed into his droid, BB-8, smaller and cuter than R2D2.  They need to get the map to the Resistance, who then launches a one person search party (Rey) to find Skywalker.  Rey is pretty good; we meet her on desert planer Jakku where she is making bare living scavenging wrecks out in the desert.  Rey has a vehicle nearly as cool as the air car from the first Star Wars flick.  It floats a bit higher off the ground and looks like a John Deere farm tractor without the wheels.  Noisy and smoky internal combustion engine (still surviving in the high tech Star Wars universe?).   Rey is lean and tough, fast on her feet, and a natural born pilot.  She and Finn escape Jakku in the good old Millennium Falcon which they find and steal right off the planetary boss’s back yard.  With Rey in the pilot’s seat and Finn manning the guns, we see a lot of low level flying with TIE fighters in pursuit.  Millennium Falcon is built tough in this flick; we see her scraping the ground and crashing thru trees, and still airborne.  I found these scenes a little jarring, in the Air Force, touching the plane to the ground, even lightly, was a crash, excepting touched the landing gear to the runway.  And, they can kick in the hyper drive and go faster than light before even getting clear of the hanger. 

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Swap the keyboard and Control-C, Control-V and Delete work again

This is Win 10 Pro, running on a reconditioned (used) Dell Optiplex 990.  Changing out the Dell USB keyboard for the old Compaq  keyboard with the old PS2  connector  and everything works!!  I was unable to find anything useful on the net to fix the problem.  Youngest son was up for the weekend and he suggested trying a PS2 keyboard.  That did the trick. I'm still looking for info to get the new USB keyboard to work, it has a nicer keyfeel than the aging Compaq keyboard. 
  I think this is a Win 10 or a driver problem.  The PS2 keyboard uses a different driver.  I don't think the problem is defective hardware, 'cause both Control AND Delete were broke on the USB keyboard.  That's an unlikely hardware failure. 
   Strange that I could not find anyone else on the net complaining about the problem.

Beat the Press.

Chuck Todd had the day off, some newshen I don't know filled in for him this Sunday morning.  All they talked about was the Mueller report.  Apparently nothing interesting has happened anywhere else in the world.  A lot of grieving on air that the Mueller report failed to nuke Trump.  More opining about impeaching Trump.  Not a word about the horrible massacre of Christians in Sre Lanka (Ceylon it used to be called).   Not a word about the engine explosion on the Space-X crew capsule.  Stick with the Drudge Report, you will gt some real news, rather than NBC longing to nuke Trump.

NH Senate doings week of 22-26 April 2019


Ed Committee Hearing.  23 April.  Five bills were heard.  We started off with HB 383 “Relative to the prohibition on unlawful discrimination in public and non-public schools”.  Couple of interesting phrases in that title.  “Unlawful discrimination”, is there any other kind?  Does “lawful discrimination” really exist?  And “non-public schools”.  In plain English those are called private schools.   I asked the representative introducing the bill if “discrimination” included preventing boys from using girl’s restrooms, locker rooms and showers.  She said it did.  She also said preventing boys from competing in girl’s sports would be discrimination.  I plan to speak against and vote against this bill when it reaches the Senate floor.  Can you say stealth transgender?  The bill makes no attempt to define  discrimination, which means it could be anything.
    Now for HB 435, this is a harmless paperwork bill, changes a few names, but otherwise harmless. 
    And HB 447 “Relative to school calendar days”.  This bill merely states that local school boards can set the school calendar as they please just so long as they squeeze in 180 school days.  This is what the law is today. This bill is to kill off a Senate bill passed earlier, that required all schools to start AFTER Labor Day. Most NH schools now start in August.  Administrators and teachers like that.  Personally, I feel that starting school before Labor Day is child abuse.  But that’s just me. 
   And HB 448 another harmless paperwork bill of no consequence.
   And finally, HB 652 which would require two hours of suicide prevention training for everyone, teachers, administrators, bus drivers, secretaries, everybody except coaches.  No funding was provided.   Training could be merely watching some instructional video on the Internet.   No requirement for training students to recognize suicidal thoughts in their friends, or what to do should they feel a friend might be suicidal.   



Short Senate session today.  Started at the usual time, 10 AM and we had all the business on the calendar done by 11 AM.  Opened the show with the Fast Track (consent) calendar.  Ten bills were Fast Tracked.  All of them were harmless and no account.  One was amusing and makes you wonder how anyone does business in New Hampshire.  That was HB 259 that now requires that building inspectors writing up a building or job must quote chapter and verse of the fire code that has been violated when they write up a violation.  Dunno how we have gotten along without that all these years.  Anyhow one quick voice vote and ten more bills, already passed by the House, are passed by the Senate and off for the Governor’s signature. 
   Now for the regular calendar.  We killed (Inexpedient to Legislate, ITL in legitative speak) HB 309 which made complicated changes to the procedures about foreclosing a mortgage.  We passed HB 511 which subjected vaping to the same controls as ordinary cigarette smoking.  No vaping on school property, no vaping in no smoking areas.   Seemed reasonable to me.  Did not get into taxing vaping stuff as hard as we tax cigarettes.  And we voice voted HB 684, concerning rent disputes about “manufactured housing: Ought To Pass (OTP).  I asked the bill’s sponsor if “manufactured housing” was what ordinary people call house trailers.  He conceded that it was.  I then asked him why rent disputes over house trailer rentals deserved special protections at law that ordinary landlord tenant disputes don’t get.  Answer was so vague as to be no answer at all.
   And then HP 663 concerning some obscure language changes about the definition of agriculture and agricultural land use.  We used to call that farming and farms.  Dunno what the lawyers dreamed up to complicate life and raise their billable hours. 
   And HB 118 which would require notifying a child’s doctor of reports of abuse.  This could be a little touchy.  Down in Massachusetts they have a lot of doctors reporting ordinary child accident injury from falls and such as child abuse.  Anyhow HB 118 passed on a voice vote. Zap.
   And HB 396 requiring the bureaucracy to get the lead out and respond to right to know requests within 5 days.    OTP voice vote. 
   And HB 427 made some opaque change to the law about filing protective orders on behalf of minor children.  OTP voice vote.
    And HB 437 concerning “family alienation” was tabled on a voice vote.  This bill would have allowed divorced parents to sue each other for bad mouthing each other in front of the children.  Let’s leave it on the table forever. 
   And a weird one, HB 518 which allows the state to recover the costs of imprisoning someone from that someone.  Apparently we have a wealthy prisoner in slam right now and we want to sock it to him harder.  Senator Lou D’Alessandro spoke in favor of this.  I never heard of this before.  We send a guy to jail, he serves his sentence, or is a good little boy and gets parole, and he is out.  I never heard of a state dunning such a person for room and board in the big house before. 
   And we closed by passing HB 700 concerning taxes on utilities.  I did not understand just what the deal was in HB 700.  I do know New Hampshire utility rates are totally unreasonable, partly due to taxes on utilities, RGGI, another hidden utility tax and more such.   
    

Name Signs for Pundits.


What’s in a name?   I watch a lot of TV talking heads, opining upon nearly everything.  Camera will cut in on one or another of them as they talk.   Leaving me wondering About the name of the speaker.  Some names I know and respect.  Other names I know are turkeys.  A lot of names I never heard of. 
   What the TV people ought to do is place a good sized name sign on the table in front of each participant.  Then the news junkies in the audience, like yours truly, would know who is who and be able to sort out good opinions from the not-so-good opinions presented.  And perhaps learn a few new names in the process.

Monday, April 22, 2019

Talking to people with information on your opponent

Now that Mueller has fizzled out, the democrats are scratching around for something else to throw at Trump  (dump on Trump).  They are talking up a meeting at the Trump Tower in New York back in 2016.  A woman, later identified as a Russian agent, turned up, claiming to have some dirt on Hilary.  They listened to her.  They decided that her information wasn't good enough to use, or leak, but they did listen to her.  Which is perfectly normal.  When you are running for office, and someone offers dirt on your opponent, you listen to them.  You may decide, like the Trump people did, that the dirt isn't solid enough to use, but you want to know what is on offer.  Nothing wrong with this.  Except to democrats and the MSM (democratic operatives with bylines)

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Words of the Weasel Part 55

Blanding down the language.  Must not offend snowflakes, or anyone.
Substance.  One of the most general nouns in English.  Any solid or liquid is a substance.  So now the newsies use "Substance abuse" or Substance abuse disorder"  in place of the more informative and straight forward "Drug Addiction".  Makes you think they are in favor of drug use. 

Rogue One 2016

There is talk about yet another Star Wars flick coming out for Christmas.  So I thought I might re watch the last batch of them, the later ones after the three "revival" ones of some years ago.  Started with Rogue One.  I had the DVD.  I saw this one live in theater, with my daughter, back in 2016 when it came out.  Medium speed for a Star Wars movie.
   No names.  Watched the whole thing and when the credits finally rolled, I could not think of any character's stage name.  Not like the good old days when names like Leia, Skywalker, Obi-wan, Vader, and Han Solo were on everyone's lips.  Major problem is no character ever addresses another one by name.  Secondary problem, junior sound men who aren't very good at their jobs and the dialog is often inaudible.  Good sound requires good microphone placement, good mikes, and actors who don't mumble their lines.  And good sound mixing.  They must mute the score and the sound effects when dialog is happening.  Anyhow, the sound in Rogue One was mediocre to poor.
   As bad as the soundtrack was , the camera man was worse.  It was 2016 and the cult of the unlit scene was raging thru Hollywood.   A good third, maybe a half, of the scenes were dark, so dark I could could recognize who was in the scene.  Just plain annoying. 
   And the writers missed a few good ideas.  Opening scene where slimy Imperial Count whats-his-face, dressed in white, swoops in to arrest the father, a high powered scientist involved in Death Star development, who has fled the project and is living on a remote farm with wife and young child.  Didn't get his name either.   If the old man is such a hot shot scientist, he should have brought some wonder weapon into play and vaporized Count whats-his-face, rather than submitting to arrest.
   Young chick protagonist acts a pretty good part.  Didn't catch her name either.  Handsome guy is OK but his acting is no better than ordinary.  The writers left out a scene that I would have enjoyed, a scene were the two of them get a chance for a quiet talk, uninterrupted by bad guys with guns,  where we hear what she thinks of him, and vice versa. 
   The was an A movie, huge budget, great box office.  But re watching it makes me understand why Hollywood is dying. 

Friday, April 19, 2019

75 miles of Mueller

Yesterday (Thursday, Mueller report release day)  I set out for Concord.  Turned on the car radio.  NPR talked about Mueller and his report, steady, all the way down, some 75 miles.  I'm tired of Mueller.  Surely something important has happened somewhere in the world?  All we get is Mueller talk.  The newsies love the Mueller story, it's easy to cover, since little has happened.  All the newsies have to do is sit down at the keyboard and pontificate.  That's easier than getting out of the office and talking to real live people.
  I hear the released report, after strikeouts, is still 450 pages.  I don't have the energy, or the interest, to plow thru 450 pages of legal gobble-de-gook.  It would be nice if some trustworthy newsie would do a nice evenhanded summary.  Trouble is, about the only newsies that I see as trustworthy are Brett Bair and Britt Hume.  Somehow I don't think either of them will take on the read-and-report-Mueller job.  Too tedious.  

NH Senate doings.


Senate session 18 April.  Started off with the Fast Track (consent) calendar.  18 bills, including HB 540 which sets up a complex deal to finance the Balsam project.  We pulled HB 369 off the Fast Track.  It allowed HHS workers access to the prescription drug monitoring program.  We felt it was a big privacy violation.  NH keeps a list of people obtaining opioid prescriptions largely so that doctors can check to see how many opioid prescriptions a patient has before writing a new prescription.  Needless to say, opioid prescriptions are something of a black mark with employers and others, so we ought to keep this information confidential.  Allowing HHS people access to it doesn’t help the patients, and may well hurt them. Five of the Fast Track bills were to set up more study commissions.  And then a quick voice vote passed all 17 bills left on the Fast Track.   
   Then we ran thru the 14 bills on the regular calendar.  Passed them all on voice votes.  Only bills of interest were HB365 which raised the amount of power a net metering generator can get paid for to 5 megawatts, up from 1 megawatt.  And HB 572 proclaiming second Saturday in June as Pollyanna recognition day.  Very important bill, trust me on this, cause Pollyanna was written by a Littleton author, and we put up a Pollyanna statue in front of the Littleton public library. 
 After all this heavy lifting we finished up and adjourned by 11:30. 
  

Monday, April 15, 2019

Fixing Win 10 shutdown failures


Fix shutdown failure.  15 Apr 2019

This problem has been with my laptop, Flatbeast, since a Windows update a year ago.  Flatbeast would not shut down all the way in software.  Right click on the Windows icon,( lower right hand corner of screen) select  "Shut Down or Sign Out"  and then select "Shut down" and Win 10 would tell you he was shutting down and the screen would go dark.  But the LED in the power button would stay on.  You could not restart with the power button.  Only way to get the machine running again was to hold the power button down for the count to 9, and wait for the LED to go out. 
Fix.  Turn off "fast startup".  Here is how.  Go to control panel.  Select System and Security.  Select Power options.    Select "Choose what the power button does".  Select "Change settings that are currently unavailable.  Uncheck "Turn on fast startup"  .
Finish up by clicking on "Save Settings".  Done.  Now clicking on shut down makes Win 10 really shut down.  Another Micro$oft "feature" fixed.

So how do you pronounce Buttigieg?

As in Mayor Peter Buttigieg just announced as running for president.  Seems like a nice young guy from what I have seen of him on the tube.  Me, I would pronounce his last name butty-gig from the spelling.  The TV newsies are pronouncing it Booty-judge which sounds better.  Poor guy must have taken a lot of flak over his name back in grade school.

Saturday, April 13, 2019

Spring computer migration


I finally bought a new computer.  Trusty Desktop, a Compaq Presario SR 1750 NX, is ten years old, and is still running Windows XP.  My web browser and my anti virus and my TurboTax vendors all say they don't support XP any more.  It's time.  I found a used Dell Optiplex on the net at Amazon for $206 delivered.  Came with Win 10 Professional, the fast I5 processor, and acres and acres of RAM and disk space. Hardware is ten years faster than poor old Trusty Desktop.  The Dell keyboard has nice key feel.    Win 10 is so much slower than XP that the new machine is little faster than the old one.   Migration was sluggish.  My photos filled THREE DVD disks.  Thunderbird took most of the day to get working on the new machine.  The menu entry to point Thunderbird to your email file is deeply hidden and concealed beneath an obscure label.  And what little documentation Google found on the web is wrong. 
    I looked at my patch file from Win 10 laptop and put in most of them.  Some of them, mostly removing frill programs, were unnecessary on Win 10 Pro.  Most stuff is now working EXCEPT control C, control V. and Delete (strike out forward) doesn't work.  Web searching turned up a number of fixes, none of which worked.  Web fixes, re install keyboard driver and update keyboard drive didn't fix it.  I'm still working on it.  

Picking your college major

Everyone has to pick a college major, English or history or French or chemistry or so on and so forth.  Colleges usually ask you to commit to a major by the end of sophomore year. To do this important choice right, you have to have some idea as to what you are going do to make a living after graduation.  Except for the very lucky and the very few who are independently wealthy, or stand to inherit some real money, you gotta make a living.  You will spend much of your time, for the rest of your life, making your living.  Life will be better and happier if you like your career choice.  When we are little kids we all have ideas of what you want to be when we grow up, a fireman, a railroad engineer, a pilot, a nurse, a cowboy, etc.  By the time we get to college, a lot of us have no idea what we want to do for a living after graduation. 
   Get over it.  Do some research.  Start with friends and family.  Ask them what they do at the office.  Read up on the career.  Read some biographies, see if  what they did sounds interesting.  Pick a career that will be fun to do.  Temper the fun to do with some practicality,  being a Hollywood actor is good fun, but the competition is fierce and your chances of making it work are low. 
   After you have thought about your career, pick a major that makes you employable in that career field.  Colleges offer a lot of majors that are of no use what so ever in any field at all.  For example, gender studies, black studies, just about any kind of studies, sociology, art history, anthropology,  won't get you a job, anywhere.  Political science won't get you a job in business or industry, although it helps if you plan to go to law school, or into politics, or both.  All the STEM subjects  are good for employment. 
   College is expensive, you owe it to yourself to come out of college employable at something. 

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

NH Senate Ed Committee hearings 9 April


Tuesday, Ed Committee hearings.  We heard four bills, none of them very important in my view.  There was HB 689, a bill to set up a system of educational savings accounts for most, perhaps all students in New Hampshire.  The state would kick in $250 per kid.  This would be funded by a $100 per account tax on brokerage houses.  This is enough to drive most brokerage houses out of state.  Advocates claimed that kids with an educational savings account were seven times more likely to go to college than kids without.  Tied in with the savings account deal was a requirement to teach “”financial literacy” starting in SECOND grade.  I asked about that, when I did second grade we were still learning to add and subtract.  How do you teach balancing your checkbook, or discuss how interest hurts you on loans and helps you on savings (when the banks pay interest on savings, which few do today). 
Next was HB 489 setting up rules and procedures for children to change schools.  The system in HB 489 seemed unobjectionable.  I asked why we needed this bill this year.  Surely kids have been transferred over all the years the Republic has stood.  Why do we need to re write the rules now?  No good answer was forth coming.
And yet another fund creeps out of the woodwork.  There is a “Public School Infrastructure Fund”.   HB 357 would extend the life of this fund.  From the testimony, the money has mostly gone to hardening school buildings against school shooters. 
And another house keeping bill that should have been handled administratively.  Apparently the state collects as stores higher ed transcripts, in case the higher end institution goes out of business, graduates will still be able to get a couple of their transcript.  The state has been keeping the transcripts forever.  HB356 would let the state throw the transcripts away after 40 years.  We amended that to 50 years. 
  So fresh bills all heard, we went into executive session and declared previously heard bills HB 357 HB 171 HB 356 and HB 719 ought to pass. 
   I went to the afternoon senate commerce committee meeting and spoke in favor of HB 540, a deal to finance restarting the Balsams resort up in Dixville Notch.  The entire North Country is in favor on account of the jobs and the tourists involved.   After hearing all the testimony, Commerce voted it Ought To Pass 5-0 and put it on the Fast Track calendar, which means to bill is almost sure to pass the full senate. 
  And for my last trick of the day, I testified in favor of SB 138 over in the House.  This bill would grant degree granting authority to Signum University, a small new startup offering courses over the internet.  I have spoken with the Signum people, and they mean well, they are not a diploma mill. 
   It was snowing north of Concord.   I 93 was unplowed and slippery.  I spun out, did a 360 and wound up in the ditch.  Luck was with me, I didn’t hit anything, car was unbend, and I was able to pull out backwards onto the shoulder.  It got worse; snow was 3-4 inches deep at Plymouth. 

Monday, April 8, 2019

737 MAX, the engine swap that become a nightmare

The Boeing 737 is the plain vanilla single aisle airliner that flies most airline routes, the ordinary routes that don't, will never, generate enough traffic to fill up a bigger plane.  It's been in production for decades.  Under competitive pressure from Airbus, Boeing decided to do an engine swap on the trusty long serving 737.   Metallurgists have come up with better hot section metals over the years, the better metals allow the engine to run hotter, which gives better fuel mileage, as much as 10% better.   And, Boeing and the FAA promised that the re-engined 737 would fly just like the good old 737 and not require retraining pilots to fly the new aircraft.
   The new engines are good, and do deliver better fuel economy.  They are also bigger, so much bigger that they almost drag  on the runway.  Which means the new engines mount lower beneath the wings.  Which means you get a stronger nose up motion when the throttles are advanced.  Boeing, with FAA approval, decided to modify the autopilot to apply some nose down force using the trim tabs to make the 737 MAX fly like the good old 737.   And something went wrong, and two brand new 737 MAXs dove into the ground right after takeoff, killing all on board.   Aviation Week hasn't told us just what went wrong, but two smoking holes in the ground are enough to convince most of us that something is wrong. 

Thursday, April 4, 2019

NPR talks about lowering drug prices

NPR did this piece a few days ago.  They described a number of complex deals that might or might not work.  They totally failed to talk about one simple act that would lower US drug prices a lot, right now, and it is 100% legal. 
   All we have to do is allow duty free import of drugs from any reasonable first world country, Canada, Britain, the EU, Japan, probably some others.  Drugs are cheaper overseas because the national health authorities are permitted to bargain over price.  The US medicare and medicaid are not allowed to bargain, by law they have to accept whatever price big pharma asks.  Result, a lot of drugs, many of them manufactured in the US, are a lot cheaper overseas, like half the US prices.  If we allowed import, we could take advantage of those lower prices here at home.
   FDA will cry and scream, but they don't get to vote.  They will claim that foreign drugs haven't been inspected, and their makers haven't been  harrassed by FDA.  Far as I am concerned, if the authorities in any reasonable first world country think the drugs are good enough for their own citizens, I think they are OK for US citizens as well.
   Big pharma would go into orbit.  but they don't get to vote.  They do spread a lot of money around in DC, and they would threaten the pols with a cutoff of  "campaign contributions/bribes".  The intelligent pol would vote his district, and with some support from the MSM, the districts would be in favor. 
   That NPR totally ignored this issue is a measure of either their ignorance, or big pharma has got to them.

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Migrating Thunderbird Email to a new computer



I wanted to bring years of  Thunderbird email, addresses, mail folders, macros to sort incoming email in the proper folders, lotta stuff over to the new computer.  Thunderbird keeps all this stuff in “profiles”, disk files, stored in each users space.  This way each user of the computer can have his own email, address book and all that other stuff.  The executable Thunderbird code is kept in Program Files (86), but the mail and address data are kept in a folder name Thunderbird in Documents and Settings in XP renamed Users in Win 10.  The Thunderbird profiles are folders in the Thunderbird folder. Along with a key file named profiles.ini.  Profiles.ini has a pointer to the profile that Thunderbird has been using.  There may be more than one profile, but the one you want to move to the new computer is the one Thunderbird is using at the minute.  The other profiles are older ones, or ones copied in from other computers, or just plain obfusticators.  No matter, bring them all over to the new computer.  I assume you understand how to move files from computer to computer using flash drives or CDs or DVDs or network connections.  Assume the new computer is running Win 10.  Put the Thunderbird folder in the users/your name/appdata/roaming/ directory on Win 10.  Copy the entire Thunderbird directory. 
   Now you need to get the Thunderbird code, the executable, onto the new computer.  I would just download the whole thing from the Mozilla website (Google will find it for you).   That way you get the latest code.  If you are migrating off something really ancient like Win XP, you want the latest version, which they probably have not been making available to ancient OS’s.   Run the new Thunderbird.  It will pop you to a new accounts page.  Cancel that.  Click on the nameless “Bars” button to get to the Thunderbird functions.  Click on Help.  Click on Trouble Shooting.   This displays a bunch of obscure data about Thunderbird.  Go to “Profile Folder”.  Clicking on “Open Folder” opens a window with explorer.  Navigate to the Thunderbird folder on the new machine’s hard drive, the folder that contains profiles.ini.  This points Thunderbird to your profile.  Then exit Thunderbird.  Count to ten.  Start up Thunderbird again.  Navigate  Help/Trouble Shooting Info like you did before.  Check “profiles” the very last entry.  Click on “about: profiles” and you ought to see Profile Home pointing to the Thunderbird folder you brought over from the old machine. 
This ought to be all you have to do to get Thunderbird to see your old email, your email addresses and start working like it always did. 

 

Friday, March 29, 2019

NH Senate session 27-28 March.


Senate session 27 AND 28 March.  Heavy load this week in the Senate.  We met in the afternoon of Wednesday and then all day Thursday.  Thursday session ran until 8 PM.  Crossover day is bearing down on us and we must deal with all the senate bills before crossover day. 
    For Wednesday we passed 24 bills on the Fast Track (consent) calendar in one quick voice vote.  That left 11 bills on the regular calendar, none of which struck me as very important.  The democrats passed SB 267, the reveal student names bill 13-10.  This bill is symptomatic of deeper problems in the testing business.  The yearly assessment test is so tricky that only the test vendor can score it.  So they send the tests out to the vendor.  We have state law on the books requiring student privacy and so they remove the student's names from the tests and replace them with code numbers.  Thru some blunder or other they can only match up 80% of the code numbers with students when the tests come back from the vendor.  So the Ed department wanted to solve this problem by just leaving the kids names on the tests.  I think we need more straight forward tests that can be scored by the home room teachers.  The other ten bills we passed were routine.  That got us up to only 4PM so we tackled another 5 bills.  And tabled all 5. 
   Thursday we started at 9AM, an hour earlier than usual and ran until 8 PM. Arghh.
We had 42 bills on the calendar.  Highlights.  Passed SB 100 which forbids questions about criminal background checks on job applications.  You can ask the applicant about criminal background during the job interview but not on the application.  Democrats passed SB 8 requiring a redistricting committee.  Not a terrible idea, but the state constitution clearly says redistricting shall be done by the legislature.  Lotta constituents feel strongly that this should have been done by constitutional amendment rather than just an ordinary bill.  I agree with them. 
   The democrats voted to drop the requirement to have a NH driver's license and NH plates in order to vote in New Hampshire (SB67).  This is part of their plan to allow out of state college students to vote in New Hampshire because college students mostly vote democratic.  Me, I think you ought to live in New Hampshire in order to vote in New Hampshire.  Anyone who lives in New Hampshire has a NH driver's license and NH plates.  Other wise they are visitors.  Always glad to see visitors, they bring money, but I don't think they should be allowed to vote in New Hampshire. 
   SB97, fiercely opposed by my constituency, passed on a voice vote.  But we watered it down so it is harmless now.  All mention of critical care hospitals and a 15 mile radius was removed from the bill.  The urgent care clinics just have to get a license like every other health care facility. 
   SB7, the motor voter bill was pushed thru by democrats on a roll call 13-10.  This bill will register to vote anyone who visits DMV for a license or plates.  Far as I am concerned any citizen who doesn't bother to visit town hall to register BEFORE the election is so unmotivated that we don't want their votes.  I guess the democrats think young drivers will vote democrat.
   And some science fiction bills.  SB 216 to set up a New Hampshire council to approve auto driving vehicles safe to allow on NH roads.  Total waste of time.  There will have to be a single national auto driving car safety commission to test and certify auto driving cars as safe.  Detroit cannot afford to submit their auto driving cars to 50 separate state safety commissions, there will have to be a single national commission or we won't get auto driving cars to market.  And SB 283 about voting machines and ballot scanners.  We ought to be voting on paper ballots. They cannot hack paper ballots over the internet.  And you can recount them.  You check a ballot scanner by hand counting a stack of ballots.  Then feed the stack thru the scanner.  If the scanner's count doesn't match the hand count, the scanner is broken.  No legislation required. 
  SB 213 which would limit liability of campground owners got tabled on a roll call vote 12-11.  Lotta campground owners in my district tell me they are getting sued by campers who stumble over stones in the dark. 
   And a final budget buster, SB 263 which would permit school students to sue the school if they think they have been discriminated against by the school or at the school.  Welfare for lawyers.    No definition of discrimination  No age limits.  Can a kindergarten student sue?  Any court awards will come out of local taxpayer's hides. And the money will all go to the lawyers. 

Sunday, March 24, 2019

Mueller report driving the TV newsies bananas

All the TV newsies have been talking all weekend about the Mueller report.  Mueller released it to the Attorney General late Friday afternoon.  They say ( without having had access to the report, yet) that it exonerates Trump.  Barr, the attorney general, released a very short summary Sunday afternoon that backs that up, sort of.  The democrats were hoping the Mueller would provide them with ammunition for an impeachment of Trump.  I think they are disappointed, although they might press ahead with impeachment anyhow.  Lot of heavy duty pols  from both parties  are calling for the entire report to be released to them, and the press, ASAP.  Probably a good idea, just to settle the matter.  To me, the idea that any American would cooperate with the Russkis is absurd. 

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Getting ready for high school

Regardless of whether your high school starts in 9th grade or 10th grade, you want to start thinking about what you want to do to make a living after you graduate high school or graduate college.  Probably you don't have a clue.  I didn't at that age.  But you want to think about it.  Talk to people about their jobs.  Read up.  But unless you are born into a lot of wealth, you will have to make a living doing something after you make it thru school. 
   Since you probably don't know what you want to do yet, you want to keep your options open. One large option is a career in  Science Technology, Engineering, or Math  (STEM).  It can be fun, I did electrical engineering myself, it was a lot of problem solving, customer contact, lab work, software coding.  Beats selling real estate or used cars.  STEM jobs pay well and you will stay employed, layoffs are very rare.
   To do a STEM major in college, you have to take integral calculus freshman year.  The STEM courses are all taught with calculus, if you don't have your calculus you simply cannot understand the coursework.  To take integral calculus, you have to have already taken trigonometry, two years of algebra, and preferably plane geometry.  You have to take these in high school.  You gotta start taking the algebra in 9th grade.  Plane geometry (Euclidean geometry) is not absolutely essential, but it is very useful.  You learn how you can start with a few simple ideas, use some logic and prove some remarkable theorems, using nothing but pencil and paper.  And the proofs are intellectually satisfying, after doing a proof, you know it's true.  This entire concept is so valuable that the plane geometry course is well worth it. 
   Right now, as you start high school, you probably don't know what you want to do to make a living after school.  It is a shame to lock your self out of all the STEM fields because you didn't take the required math courses in high school. 

NH Senate session 21 March



Thursday 21 March.  Regular Senate session.  Not as bad as last week, we only had 40 bills to deal with.  We managed to get done by 3 PM.  Which was good, I was able to get up to Lancaster in time for the Coos County Republican committee meeting.  That ran until 9:30 PM and I didn’t get home until 10:30PM.  Long day. 
   Senate session got off to a good start by passing the Fast Track (consent) calendar of 13 bills in one quick voice vote, no debate.  One surprising exception.  A fairly harmless bill SB 42 to declare applejack as the official New Hampshire state spirit was pulled of the Fast Track calendar and thrown onto the regular calendar.  Usually this kind of bill declaring state flowers, state birds, state just about anything are quickly passed because it makes their sponsors happy and nobody else cares.  Applejack was not so lucky.  The Democrats debated this bill for a half an hour at the end of the day, speaking about the hazards of alcohol, the case for New England rum, and a bunch of other trivia.  Total waste of time. 
    Now for the main event, the regular calendar.  We opened with SB10, the minimum wage bill.  Introduced by Senate President Donna Soucy.  Jeb Bradley spoke eloquently against it. This is a job killer.  Up here in Littleton, far up in the North Woods, the retailers are already automating in anticipation of a $15 minimum wage.  McDonalds, Applebee’s; Wal-Mart, and Lowes are pushing us customers to learn how to run the bar codes thru the scanner.  Kiss that entry level jobs goodbye.  SB 10 backs the minimum wage down to $12 an hour, but it is still a job killer.  Democrats rammed it thru on a roll call 14-10.  That’s all the Democrats voting yes and all the Republicans voting no. We spent a half an hour on this turkey.  Maybe we can get the Governor to veto it.
    Then my bill SB 150 to allow all out of state health insurance companies to sell in New Hampshire was voted Inexpedient  To Legislate on another roll call vote 14-10.  Democrats claimed that the insurance department would not be able to control them, that the out of staters could offer lower cost policies that lacked some of the mandatory coverages of Obamacare and some other stuff.  The way to lower the costs of healthcare is competition.  Right now we have only TWO insurance companies licensed to sell in New Hampshire.  Not much competition there. 
   And we revived casino gambling SB310.  Three fellow senators urged me to vote to revive it and so I did, reluctantly.   It got Ought to Pass 13-11.  Probably the house will vote it down.  This bill has been kicking around for 10 years that I know of.  It always promises fantastic tax revenues.  And it gets voted down every time (so far). 
   We have been kicking a lot of cans down the road.  We have tabled 16 bills before this session started.  We tabled 10 more on Thursday.  Let’s hope that table is strong enough to hold up under load.  It is not clear to me what will happen to these tabled bills.  They might be allowed to die quietly and out of sight.  They might be waiting for the finance committee to decide if we can afford them.  Stay tuned. 
   And we voted SB 309 which restores the stabilization grants to state schools Ought To Pass 24-0.  Stabilization grants are an obscure school funding deal, going far back in history.  However, the schools in district 1 (my district) need the money badly.  So do plenty of other districts.  I said exactly that during the floor debate.  Unfortunately, after voting OTP, the democrats moved to table the bill.  If it ever gets off the table it will do good. 

Monday, March 18, 2019

What happened to Sears Roebuck?

Well, they are dead or dying, I think we all know that.  But what killed Sears?   The Wall St Journal had a longish piece on Sears on Saturday.  It was a collection of comments by eight ex Sears people, some of them pretty high up, remarking on Sears collapse.  Too bad none of them wrote about what went wrong.  They all expressed sorrow but none of them gave a coherent story explaining what happened.  Too bad.  I miss Sears.  I noticed just this morning that the little mini Sears we used to have in Littleton is gone.

Saturday, March 16, 2019

NH Senate Session 14 March



Senate session, Thursday 14 March.  88 bills on the calendar.  Session ran until 10 PM.  I didn’t get home til nearly midnight.  They promise worse is coming.  We knocked off 18 bills on the Fast Track calendar with one voice vote.  We bumped SB 143, dealing with state aid to special ed students off the Fast Track calendar into the hurley burley of the regular calendar ‘cause it involved a LOT of tax payers money. 
   We had a few good bills and a lot of bad bills. For good bills we passed SB 266 which makes state aid to education cover kindergarten students on the same basis as grades 1-12 and redirects the Keno revenue from kindergarten to school building aid.  That passed 24-0 on a roll call vote. 
   We passed suicide prevention training for students and teachers 24-0 on a roll call vote.  We are loosing all too many students to suicide.  We need to let all students know what suicide is, and what they should do or who they should contact should they find that a friend is contemplating suicide.  Certainly back when I was in grade school I would confide a lot of stuff to my closest friends than I would to teachers or parents.  And back then I had no idea what suicide was or what to do should I learn of a friend thinking about it.  
   We passed SB 306 establishing a housing board of appeals to which builders and developers could go after a build-absolutely-nothing-anywhere (BANANA) planning board refused to grant a building permit, especially a building permit for workforce housing or affordable housing.  Way things are going, without the housing board of appeals nothing will get built anywhere is the state inside of five years.  SB 306 passed on a voice vote, no nays were heard. 
     And now for the bad bills.  The democrats voted SB 135 and SB 301 thru.  Both bills raised the business profits tax a lot.  Like $37 mil a year.  Most of us know that last year was a very good year indeed and this year is shaping up nicely.  GNP growth is up, unemployment is down, stock market is up (mostly) and taxes are down.  Out in the real world, where I come from, it is generally accepted that the good economy of last year was caused by tax cuts, both federal and state.  In the not so real world of the Senate, democrats believe they can raise taxes without stalling the economy.  Nobody out in the real world believes that.  Anyhow the democrats have voted in heavy duty tax hikes.  Hopefully the governor will veto them. 
   The democrats passed SB7, the motor voter bill on a roll call 14-10.  This bill would register anyone to vote who registered a car or obtained a driver’s license.  If you are a driver you are a voter, zap.  Me, I think the voters ought to go to town hall and register BEFORE the election.  Far as I am concerned, any voter who lacks the motivation to get out and register himself is so unmotivated that we don’t need his vote. 
   And the democrats passed SB 249 to allow state house employees to unionize.  We really really needed that.
   They also passed SB 71 allowing the state to interfere in the party’s delegate selection.  I believe the two parties ought to select their delegates anyway they please, without any state interference.  No matter, the democrats pushed this turkey thru 14-10 on a roll call. 
   And we had some Mickey Mouse bills. SB 133 about definition of emergency vehicles.  We need this?  We all know that flashing lights and a siren mark an emergency vehicle.  And SB 275 requiring the state to replace the entire fleet of state vehicles with battery operated vehicles by 2039. 

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Life in the NH Senate



I have been posting the goings on in Concord on my campaign Facebook page.  Lately Facebook has gotten flaky and refusing to accept my posts.  So I'm going to start posting them here as well.

Tuesday, 12 March.  Ed Committee hearings.  Started off at 9 AM with SB 267 bearing the suspicious title of “Relative to the release of student assessment information and data”   New Hampshire Dept of Ed requires yearly testing (assessment) of all NH students.  The tests are sent off to the test provider to be graded.  State law currently requires that student’s names, birth dates, addresses, and other identifying information be kept confidential.  So the schools erase the student ID info from the tests before sending them off and replace it with an ID number.  Thru some bungle or other, the tests come back, scored; the Dept of Ed admitted that only 80% of numbers matched up with children’s names.  The Ed folks wanted to just leave the children’s names on the tests to solve the bungle.  Just great.
   It gets worse.  I asked why the tests were not graded by the home room teacher and be done with it.  The Dept of Ed representative explained that the tests were administered by computer.  If the child was doing well, the computer would switch to more difficult questions.  If the child was doing poorly, the computer would switch to easier questions. In short no two children got the same questions on the test.  This is not right.  It is unfair to give some kids easier tests and some kids harder tests.  After hearing this, I am convinced that the entire NH yearly testing deal is corrupt, and should be scrapped. 
   Didn’t bother anyone else on the committee.  In executive session they voted the bill Ought To Pass 3-1.  I was the one, everyone else was perfectly happy with the bill and the testing protocol. 
   Next was SB 137 which wants to set up special certification of school nurses by the Dept of Ed.  In addition a nurse being licensed to practice in New Hampshire, she had to get “certified” by the Dept of Ed.  Job security for some Dept of Ed bureaucrats.  Plus, what does Dept of Ed know about the practice of medicine?  Never mind, in executive session we voted it Ought To Pass 3-1.  Again I was the one. 
   Finally we got to a bill that I submitted to authorize Signum University to grant degrees.  Signum is a startup.  It is an internet deal, I have talked with the Signum people and they sound real to me, not just a diploma mill.  They specialize in English literature (Tolkien) and Germanic philology.  The Tolkien part makes them OK in my book, I first read Tolkien in middle school, I read it to all my children, and I still occasionally read it to myself.  Anyhow we voted Ought To Pass 4-0. 
  

Monday, March 11, 2019

Ethiopian Airlines crash

It was a brand new Boeing 737 MAX, the same plane that Lion Airlines crashed a couple of months ago.  In the Lion crash, it is believed that the autopilot got into a snivit and thought the plane was stalling.  It took control of the stick, pushed the nose down to get out of the stall, and flew the aircraft into the ground, over the strenuous objections of the crew, who pulled back on the stick as hard as they could.  Aircraft hit the water, killing all on board.   This Ethiopian crash looks like it might be the same problem.  It's too early to be sure, we have not had time to read out the cockpit recorders, but it sure looks suspicious.  The Lion air crash investigation is not complete, and they have not issued any fixes to the 737 MAX based on that disaster, yet.
   The 737 MAX is the well known 737 which has been flying for decades.  The MAX part is a re engine mod, putting on bigger, more powerful and more fuel efficient engines on a well proven airliner. The anti stall feature in the autopilot is a reaction to the Airbus crash in the south Atlantic a couple of years ago.  In that disaster the entire flight crew, three qualified pilots in the cockpit, failed to recognize they had stalled the aircraft and failed to pull out of it.  The plane hit the water, all on board were killed, and it took a couple of years of searching the ocean bed to find the flight recorders and figure out what had happened.

Wall St Journal is OK with stock buybacks

We been hearing a lot of talk from both left and right about the evils of corporations buying back their stock. Like talk of banning the practice. It's not that corporations need the stock, they can print new stock certificates for nearly any amount of money for pennies, cost of paper and ink.  It's not like buying raw materials or building new factories.  It is believed that buying up the company's stock will raise its price, supply and demand, make the stock scarcer and its price will rise.
   Saturday's WSJ editorial came out strongly in favor of  allowing stock buybacks.  They didn't give any numbers.  The traditional way for a company to raise the price of its stock is to declare a big fat dividend, Which is paid to all stock holders and can be expensive for a company like GE with a zillion shares outstanding.  The idea behind stock buybacks is you only have to pay off the investors that actually sell their stock, rather than all shareholders.  Might be cheaper that way.  The WSJ didn't give any numbers supporting that idea.
   On the other hand, the main reason companies want to boost their stock price is to reward executives with stock options.  I had a stock option once, with Bernie Gordon's Analogic, and it paid off like crazy.  On the other hand, if the company wants to pay off a hardworking successful CEO, they can jolly well vote him a cash bonus. They don't have to manipulate the stock market to reward successful executives. 
   And, you would think that companies could find constructive things to do with extra cash in the till rather than doing stock buybacks.  Like new product development, new factories and distribution centers, improved manufacturing techniques to lower product cost, more publicity and advertising, buying up competitors,  stuff that would increase their income. 

What will it take to get the Jewish community to vote Republican?

Obama was not a supporter of Israel.  This new rep Omar from Milwaukee is a friend of Palestinian terrorists and no friend of Israel. So is Alex Occasional Castro. The US Jewish community ought to wise up and dump the Democratic party for the Republican party.  The Republicans are long time friends of Israel, and reliably against  antisemitism in all its forms. It was Trump who moved the US embassy to Jerusalem.  It was the Republican party that led the civil rights movement of the 1960s.  The Democrats pander to their black supporters who are antisemitic at heart.

Sunday, March 3, 2019

Beat the Press brings on Cohen

In case you hadn't noticed, the democrats have had Micheal Cohen, Trump's long time lawyer and fixer, testifying in front of Congress.  Even Fox News carried the hearings live, for hours.  Today, Sunday,  Chuck Todd on Beat the Press summarized the testimony, actually Todd reran video clips that he thought would hurt Trump the most.  I watched.  Actually, I didn't think that any of the things Todd showed were particularly bad, evil, or even just crude.  Todd showed a clip about Trump knowing about an upcoming Wikileaks dump of Hillary's damaging emails. So?  This is a violation of what?  Then there was a lotta talk about Trump trying to build a hotel in Moscow.  So?  To build anything in New York you gotta pay people off.  I'm sure it works the same, maybe worse, in Moscow.   And more talk about a meeting in  New York with a Russian agent who claimed to have dirt on Hillary to share with Trump.  So?  If I am running for election and anyone turns up dirt on my opponent, I'm gonna listen.  As I heard the story, the Trump people decided that the dirt on offer was fake at the first meeting with the agent  and didn't buy.  Not so dumb. 
   In short, Todd's best picks from Cohen's testimony failed to convince me that anything was out of order.  I am OK with Trump, but I would not describe myself as a true believer.  If the Cohen testimony doesn't convince me, it won't convince any of the Trump base voters. 
   Too bad the MSM wastes all that press coverage on a nothingburger story, rather than informing us of what is really going down in Washington. 

Saturday, February 16, 2019

Lost Wax Casting, ancient technology, still in service

The process goes like this.  Make a wax version of the desired part or artwork.  Then cover the wax master  with clay.  The clay was fired (like pottery) to make it hard and tough.  In the firing the wax melted and ran out.  Then molten metal was poured into the clay mold and allowed to cool and harden.  When cool, the clay mold was broken off and you had a shiny new part or art object.  And no mold parting marks.  Aviation Week claims the lost wax process is 5000 years old.
   Today we call the process "investment casting"  and a lot of key aerospace parts are still made that way.  In fact Aviation Week was complaining about a lack of investment casting capacity  slowing production in the aerospace industry.   One key part made by investment casting is the turbine blades for jet engines.  The tougher you can make the turbine blades, the hotter you can run them which gives better fuel mileage, which translates into better range and better carrying capacity.  Modern turbine blades are very tricky, they have cooling passages up the center, they are cast from secret alloys involving a lot of nickel, and who knows what else, and they are cooled slowly and carefully so that they come out as single crystals of metal.  Some one commented "There are nine countries in the world that can make nuclear bombs, but only two, the US and the UK, that can make modern jet engine turbine blades."

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

USAF manages the KC-46 tanker contract

The KC-46 tanker job should have been a straight forward contract.  Take a well proven airliner which has been in production and flying for decades, take out the seats and install fuel tanks, plus an air-to-air refueling boom in the tail.  No high risk new technology.   Piece of cake, right?
   Well, first the Air Force decided that it knew more about how to wire an aircraft than Boeing did.  Air Force insisted that Boeing re do all the aircraft wiring "to bring it up to Air Force standards".  Good cost enhancer that was. 
   And then, the Air Force wanted a fancy remote vision system, rather than a plain old reliable glass window, to let the refueling boom operator see his boom and steer it into the receptacle of the receiving aircraft.  Now Air Force is complaining that the remote vision system  lacks contrast and looses detail when the receiving aircraft is backlighted by the sun.  (Beware the Hun in the Sun).   For the last two years USAF has refused to accept new KC-46 tankers 'cause of  the remote vision system and 40 brand new KC-46 tankers have piled up at Boeing's  Everett field.  Now, the Air Force has agreed to accept the aircraft, but they will withhold $28 mil per aircraft until the remote vision system is fixed. 
   How to screw up a simple procurement.   Way to go USAF. 
   Note: I am a USAF veteran. 

Monday, February 11, 2019

Green New Deal, or New Green Deal

Speaking as an electrical engineer, let me address one part of the Green New Deal, electric power generation.  We need to keep the power on for customers, all night, and all day.  "Alternate energy" (windmills and solar cells) won't do that.  For example, I live up in the north country where it gets very cold (20 below) and stays cold for days.  My oil burner won't run without electricity.  Should the power go off, my heat goes off, and my pipes will freeze after a couple of hours.  Lots of industrial processes, from traditional ones like baking bread to high tech ones like fabbing semiconductors need the power to stay on while the batch, be it loaves or LSI semiconductors is in the oven.  If the power quits while a batch is in process, that batch is ruined.  Loss of a batch of loaves is a loss of hundreds of dollars, loss of a batch of semiconductors is tens of thousands of dollars.  Plenty of other batch processes will be ruined if the power fails while the batch is in process.
   Solar cells stop making electricity when the sun goes down.  Which happens every evening.  Windmills stop making electricity when the wind stops blowing, which happens less predictably, but often enough. My house is high in the White Mountains of New Hampshire, and I get plenty of dead calm days.  In fact it's a dead calm as I write this.  A power system based on solar and wind will suffer frequent power outages, like every night.  Which is unacceptable, except for those who advocate a return to the Hiawatha life style, teepees heated by wood fires. 
   The greenies have poisoned the waters concerning nuclear power.  We have built dams on all the rivers.  Just the middle sized Connecticut river has six power dams on it starting with Moore Dam in Littleton.  If we want the power to stay on all night, we need to burn natural gas.  Fortunately we have plenty of natural gas.  It's becoming a waste product of fracking.  Out on the Bakken they are paying people to take the gas away.  Natural gas is out competing coal in the power generation business.  
   So, Alexandra Occasional-Castro's call for elimination of fossil fuel ain't gonna happen, not unless we put up with power failures on a daily basis. 

Monday, February 4, 2019

Better double check your yearbook, while you are in the school

A 30 year old yearbook is causing Virginia governor Northam all sorts of grief today.  Lesson to all graduates,  better double check your year book page while you are still at the school.  Remove anything that might cause you grief in the future, should you be successful in your career.  I would recommend strongly against gag photos, photos in any kind of costume, nick names, any kind of sexting, any kind of political remarks.  Keep it down to a professional portrait of yourself, honors, sports played, club memberships, good simple stuff that will look good 20-30 years in the future. 

Sunday, February 3, 2019

MAGA hats show support for our president and the administration

Which is a good thing.  Americans ought to support their president.   As a symbol, the Make American Great Again slogan was created by the Donald Trump campaign in 2016 as part of his effort to win the election.  The acronym and the hat were created a few weeks later.   The MAGA hat means support of the sitting president, nothing more.
   There has been plenty of opining on the tube about the MAGA hat representing racism, white supremacy, un-Americanism, Satan worship, and other malarky.  That's all a crock.  We elected Donald Trum p to be our president in 2016.   To see high school students wearing MAGA hats is a goodness.  The current administration, under attack from the media and the democrats, needs all the support it can get. 

Monday, January 28, 2019

900 year New England temp record meets Shannon's sampling theorem

A post in Phys.org claims to have used a new method to find and plot the temperature recorded in the bottom of a deep Maine lake.  They perform some unspecified analysis of a chemical that I have never heard of to determine the temperature of long ago.  They don't explain this bit of chemistry at all.  They claim to have taken 136 measurements over some 900 years of lake bottom sediments.  And they claim to have discovered previously unknown temperature variations of 50-60 year duration.
Good paper,  the authors feel they have made a breakthru.
I think they have not taken enough samples.  Temperature in Maine can get up to 90F in the summer, I've been there, I know, and Maine winter runs 20F with cold snaps down as far as -40F.  And  this temperature variation, 70 to 130 degrees, happens quite regularly, summer and winter happen every year.  So we only take 136 samples over 900 summers and winters.  Suppose our samples hit mostly summer for a few years?  Bingo, a heat wave wave, global warming strikes early.  Suppose our samples only hit winter for a few more years in a row?  Bingo, a mini ice age.  
   To do this right, you have to take at least two samples for every year.  That's Shannon's Sampling Theorem, you have to sample twice in the period of the highest frequency  in the signal you are sampling.  If you don't take enough samples, you get aliasing.  That is what causes the wheels of the stagecoach to start turning backwards as the stage gathers speed on the way out of Deadwood.  The movie camera samples the wheels 24 frames per second.  When the wheel spokes move too much in between camera frames, the wheel appears to move in reverse. 
   This paper claims to find 10  different 50-60 year periods of heat or cold.  Since they are not taking enough samples, they could well be seeing an alias.  Their samples  just happen to hit summer for a long stretch of years, or just happen to hit winter for a long stretch of years.  That's aliasing, and will show you imaginary hot spells and cold spells.  Just as imaginary as the stagecoach wheels running backwards.
  About the best you can do with this under sampled data is divvy it up into convenient slices, say 100 years each, and take the average over each 100 year slice.  Then you can look for temperature changes from century to century. 

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Microbrewers hung up by the Shutdown

According to today's Wall St Journal, micro brewers need approval from some federal bureau or other before they can market new brews or new labels.  The brewers have thousands of gallons of suds sitting in tanks, waiting for that bureau to come back to work and do their paperwork.
   Sounds like a severe case of micromanagement to me.  I don't see why brewers, or any other company, except maybe drug companies,  need federal bureaucrats to approve labels, recipes, packaging, or anything else.  If the customers don't like the new recipe or label or whatever, they will stop buying the product.  That ought be enough to keep the brewers and other companies  making good stuff.