Lefties and unions are pushing for $15 minimum wage for flipping burgers at McD's. Right now McD's pays $7 or $8. They think it will raise the living standards of McD's workers. I think it will get them all laid off.
As a society we have a LOT of young, untrained, not very productive people who need a job. Since they aren't very productive, employers cannot afford to pay them much. Double the pay and the employers will say, " I have to pay these guys more than they bring in, I'd be ahead if I laid them off . I can automate, outsource, or reduce service to my customers and make more money." Net result, no jobs for the workers just entering the job market.
There is no requirement for entry level jobs to pay enough to raise a family on. Entry level workers are un married, probably living at home, still in school. After they have been filling an entry level job for a bit, they can get promoted, find a better job, move to boom areas, or something. Flipping burgers is fine for high school students, but you cannot plan on flipping burgers all your life. You gotta make something of yourself.
So, bottom line, boosting minimum wage cuts off entry level jobs, throws people out of work.
That first job is important to anyone's career. The first job will get you a recommendation when you apply for the next job. As a hiring manager I always checked a guy's references. If his last boss said good things about him, he was hired. Very important to have a last boss, and for him to think well of you. Which means we need entry level jobs, to give the new job seekers some experience and some references. Cut off the entry level jobs by hiking the minimum wage and it gets harder and meaner for the vast majority.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Friday, December 13, 2013
Conspiracy theories of History
One of them that's been going around since 1941, the Pearl Harbor disaster was caused by treason in the American government. The government knew the Japanese air raid was coming a failed to warn the Pearl Harbor commanders. Roosevelt's numerous enemies have accused him of conspiring to bring the US into WWII by setting up the Pacific fleet.
I don't buy this. Roosevelt wanted to intervene in WWII and was prevented from doing so by a powerful isolationist movement. But, Roosevelt wanted to use the fleet to do the intervention. The idea that he would sacrifice the fleet he looked to do the intervention, merely to silence domestic political opponents is absurd.
Pearl Harbor happened because US commanders thought Pearl was so far away from Japan as to be immune to Japanese action. They just could not imagine getting hit at Pearl. Even though the Royal Navy had pulled off a very similar air strike on the Italians at Taranto just a few months before.
Pearl even ignored a radar warning. The US Army had a working radar station on Hawaii. It picked up the incoming Japanese strike 180 miles out. The Army radar operators telephoned a warning to fleet headquarters but the junior officer of the day ignored it. If fleet HQ had had it's act together, this was enough warning to scramble aircraft and call for battle stations, get the guns manned and the ammunition broken out of locked storage.
Pacific Fleet also ignored a report from a picket destroyer that had detected, depth charged, and sunk a submarine lurking right off Pearl, in a restricted zone, where no submarines had any business being. To ignore both a submarine warning and a radar warning the same morning takes a remarkable degree of stupidity.
I don't buy this. Roosevelt wanted to intervene in WWII and was prevented from doing so by a powerful isolationist movement. But, Roosevelt wanted to use the fleet to do the intervention. The idea that he would sacrifice the fleet he looked to do the intervention, merely to silence domestic political opponents is absurd.
Pearl Harbor happened because US commanders thought Pearl was so far away from Japan as to be immune to Japanese action. They just could not imagine getting hit at Pearl. Even though the Royal Navy had pulled off a very similar air strike on the Italians at Taranto just a few months before.
Pearl even ignored a radar warning. The US Army had a working radar station on Hawaii. It picked up the incoming Japanese strike 180 miles out. The Army radar operators telephoned a warning to fleet headquarters but the junior officer of the day ignored it. If fleet HQ had had it's act together, this was enough warning to scramble aircraft and call for battle stations, get the guns manned and the ammunition broken out of locked storage.
Pacific Fleet also ignored a report from a picket destroyer that had detected, depth charged, and sunk a submarine lurking right off Pearl, in a restricted zone, where no submarines had any business being. To ignore both a submarine warning and a radar warning the same morning takes a remarkable degree of stupidity.
Thursday, December 12, 2013
Sonic is a Hedgehog
Just noticed this evening, Chevy has renamed their lowest end car from Avio to Sonic. Note to Mary Barra. Sonic is a Hedgehog. Any kid knows that. It's as bad as when Chevy named a car Beretta years ago. Everyone knows Beretta is an Italian handgun.
Picking a car name is an important part of marketing it. So far Chevy has been screwing it up. Volt is a unit of electricity, not a hybrid car. Cruze is a height challenged movie star.
Picking a car name is an important part of marketing it. So far Chevy has been screwing it up. Volt is a unit of electricity, not a hybrid car. Cruze is a height challenged movie star.
Blood will get them gun control
NHPR was doing a piece on last year's Newtown massacre this morning. Just what I never wanted to hear. It certainly isn't news, everybody on earth heard about it. They interviewed a couple whose daughter had been killed. I didn't need this, I know all I want to know about the misery and suffering that comes from the loss of a child. So does any parent. I'm sure the interview didn't help the bereaved couple either.
So why do they run a piece that conveys no information and makes listeners feel sick to their stomachs?
Is it to drum up political support for gun control measures?
If so, shame on them.
So why do they run a piece that conveys no information and makes listeners feel sick to their stomachs?
Is it to drum up political support for gun control measures?
If so, shame on them.
Would you see either of these movies?
Oscar nominations are piling up for "12 years a Slave" and "American Hustle". The Oscar people may like them, but I cannot imagine myself paying admission, or even Netflixing, either of these movies.
Cannon gets some snow.
We got four inches, biggest snowfall this winter, yesterday and last night. Nice light fluffy powder, the best kind. And no wind to speak of, so it will stay on the trails and not get blown into the woods. It's a good start, four inches of natural snow is as good as days of snow blowing, so we ought to have a few more trails open.
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
GM gets a lady CEO
This was all over the news. Mary Barra is a old time GMer. She started with GM 30 years ago and is still there. She is an engineer and comes up thru manufacturing, which is closer to the core of GM than the bean counters who preceded her. I figure any woman who lasts 30 years in place like GM has gotta be pretty competent, or she would not have survived. Of course, I never heard of her before now, but then I don't follow Detroit news much.
The real question for the survival of Govt Motors, is she a car person? Can she bring to market cars that sell? Can she champion new cars that sell the way that Iacocca's Mustang, Arkus Dutov's Corvette, and Bunkie Knudsen's GTO did? Cars that make enough of a dent in popular culture to be the subject of pop songs. As opposed to GM's current lineup that is so bland that only renta-car companies like them?
For GM's sake let's hope. A lot of this is perceived value. Back in the good old days, Chevy had more perceived value than Ford. Used Chevys sold for more money than used Fords. This was due to good styling, that successfully steered a middle course between too radical and too stogy. Chevy engines were less troublesome and more powerful than Ford engines. Chevy 409's dominated NHRA drag racing. A generation of block head GM management has pretty much destroyed this legacy. At this time, Toyota commands more respect than anything from GM.
Ms Barra first needs to understand that GM is a huge company, which means it has to compete for the center of the car market. Which is the low cost four door four passenger sedan, the commute to work car and the go to the store car. GM needs to gain share in this market. This is Chevy Cruze and Impala turf. GM needs a well styled, competitively priced car in this market segment. Real volume. About 12 million new cars a year are sold in North America. Of this, a quarter, say 4 million cars, are plain four passenger sedans. That's enough volume to keep GM going.
Contrast that with Corvette. There simply ain't enough guys with Corvette money to keep GM alive. It's a great car, but you need a bread and butter seller to keep a behemoth fed.
How to proceed? Simple stuff like reliability and ruggedness is a good place to start. Some favorable mentions in Consumer Reports. Some top of the charts gas mileage. For instance Cruz is only doing 30+ mpg, whereas you need to hit 40 mpg before anyone cares much. Cruz has a good deal more horsepower than it needs. You can trade off power for gas mileage. A 40 mpg 60 hp car is a better seller in that market segment than the current 28 mpg 138 hp car. The old VW Beetle was perfectly driveable with only 36 hp. The Dodge Caravan's were driveable with 80 hp and a lot more weight and airdrag.
Better styling. The current Cruz is nose heavy and bland. The silhouette is round, slopes up the front, slopes down the back, boring, and so many others have it too.
Anyhow,. Mary Barra has her work cut out for her. She has to get decent sellers designed, and then force them thru all the institutional resistance and NIH, get them on sale, and promote them properly.
The real question for the survival of Govt Motors, is she a car person? Can she bring to market cars that sell? Can she champion new cars that sell the way that Iacocca's Mustang, Arkus Dutov's Corvette, and Bunkie Knudsen's GTO did? Cars that make enough of a dent in popular culture to be the subject of pop songs. As opposed to GM's current lineup that is so bland that only renta-car companies like them?
For GM's sake let's hope. A lot of this is perceived value. Back in the good old days, Chevy had more perceived value than Ford. Used Chevys sold for more money than used Fords. This was due to good styling, that successfully steered a middle course between too radical and too stogy. Chevy engines were less troublesome and more powerful than Ford engines. Chevy 409's dominated NHRA drag racing. A generation of block head GM management has pretty much destroyed this legacy. At this time, Toyota commands more respect than anything from GM.
Ms Barra first needs to understand that GM is a huge company, which means it has to compete for the center of the car market. Which is the low cost four door four passenger sedan, the commute to work car and the go to the store car. GM needs to gain share in this market. This is Chevy Cruze and Impala turf. GM needs a well styled, competitively priced car in this market segment. Real volume. About 12 million new cars a year are sold in North America. Of this, a quarter, say 4 million cars, are plain four passenger sedans. That's enough volume to keep GM going.
Contrast that with Corvette. There simply ain't enough guys with Corvette money to keep GM alive. It's a great car, but you need a bread and butter seller to keep a behemoth fed.
How to proceed? Simple stuff like reliability and ruggedness is a good place to start. Some favorable mentions in Consumer Reports. Some top of the charts gas mileage. For instance Cruz is only doing 30+ mpg, whereas you need to hit 40 mpg before anyone cares much. Cruz has a good deal more horsepower than it needs. You can trade off power for gas mileage. A 40 mpg 60 hp car is a better seller in that market segment than the current 28 mpg 138 hp car. The old VW Beetle was perfectly driveable with only 36 hp. The Dodge Caravan's were driveable with 80 hp and a lot more weight and airdrag.
Better styling. The current Cruz is nose heavy and bland. The silhouette is round, slopes up the front, slopes down the back, boring, and so many others have it too.
Anyhow,. Mary Barra has her work cut out for her. She has to get decent sellers designed, and then force them thru all the institutional resistance and NIH, get them on sale, and promote them properly.
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