The Economics Profession ain't diverse enough

Thus saith The Economist.  They been running the occasional think piece about economics.  This week they ran the last of the series.  And all they had to talk about was the lack of diversity, women and blacks, in economics faculties.  It's a worthy thought, I think.
   But I'm more interested in whether economics as a "science" gets it right or not.  Actually I consider economics as much as an art as a science, sorta like history.  In fact economics could call itself economic history.  Since you cannot run experiments in economics, at least not on the scale of a national economy, the people object, the best economists can do is gather observations,  like they do in geology and astronomy.  So although economists use a lot of mathematics ('cause a page of equations looks so cool in a paper) it isn't really a full science like physics and chemistry.  It's scientific, sometimes.
   But the real question is do the economists really know what they are doing? 

Eradicating Polio

  A piece on NHPR the other morning talked about eradicating polio in Pakistan.  The Pakistani's mounted a massive vaccination campaign, thousands of workers, going every where, and vaccinating every child they found.  The case rate dropped from several hundred polio cases a year down to this year, just one case so far. 
   Trouble is, the vaccination program is encountering Pakistani parents who refuse to allow their children to be vaccinated. The one polio case this year was a child whose parents refused vaccination, several times.  Vaccination program workers are reporting resistance and threats of violence. 
   I gotta wonder about a culture so poisonous that it prefers to see their young children die of a horrible disease rather than give them a life saving vaccine.  I remember back when the polio vaccine was first invented.  They set up tables outside in the Saxonville School yard, and in one day, they vaccinated every single kid in Saxonville including me.  Parents supported it 100%.
    

Driving back from DC.

It took me 11 and 1/2 hours this time, from DC motel to Mac's Market in Franconia.  It was pouring down rain in DC when I left at 7 AM.  It was heavy enough to create that road fog, a mix of falling rain, real fog, and spray thrown up by tires, that hangs over the roadway obscuring vision.  It was so thick I could not see an unlighted vehicle at all, and even the lighted ones were hard to see until I was right on their rear bumper.  The rain lightened up by the time I got to Delaware, and was pretty much dry at New York.  The sun was out by the time I reached Vermont.
   Pretty much every thing moving up and down the East Coast has to get thru, or get to, New York.  I tried the George Washington bridge this time, right around 12 noon.  A mistake, traffic is terrible, long periods of just plain stuck in traffic.   I think Tappan Zee bridge is a better deal.  They have the new Tappan Zee span open to traffic, and they are taking the old span down.
   The other touchy spot is Philadelphia, the last break in I95.  Coming up from the south on I95 in Delaware, you want to take the Delaware Memorial Bridge.  Don't follow the I95 signs to Philadelphia, you will get dumped off on city streets in North Philadelphia, or pushed onto I295 going the wrong way.  Looks like they never will finish I95 thru Philadelphia.   Stick with the Jersey Turnpike. 
   

Win 10 makes posting photos a pain

Used to be, back in the last decent Windows, Windows XP, you could hit photo upload in say Facebook, and you would get a set of snapshots of each photo in the directory.  Which made it pretty easy to click the photo you wanted to post.   Not too shabby.
  Well, the Micro$ofties managed to break that in Win 10.   Aren't we glad that Micro$oft has such a large programming staff with time to break stuff.  In Win 10 all you get is a bunch of  faceless icons, all alike, and you have to guess which one is the one you want to post.
Good Work Micro$ofties.

Driving down to DC, surveying the traffic

After posting about Ford getting out of the car business, at least the small econobox car business. I took note of what was on the road on the way down from Franconia to DC.  It does seem like fewer econoboxes, more pickups, more SUV's and the smaller SUVs that the car people call "crossovers".   About half the pickup trucks had company names painted on their doors, but the other half looked to be be privately owned. 
   And lots and lots of heavy trucks, 18 wheelers.  I figure that's a sign of a good economy, all those 18 wheelers on the road are either hauling some company's product to the customer, or going empty to pick up a load.  Lots and lots of heavy trucks on the interstates is a good sign.

Notes to Architects of Hotel/Motel[s]

I've on a trip to DC and have stayed in two pretty new hotels or motels on the way.  Used to be hotel was a multi story city building where you carried your bags in the front door and up to your room, and a motel was a one or two story building, each room with an exterior door, and you parked in front of you room door and carried your bags in  These two places were sorta hybrids.  You entered thru the front door, they were only a few stories tall  On points I should call them hotels.  But somehow that seems pretentious for what these places were, so I think of them as motels.  

   Improvement number 1 would be to find a floor covering that is not slippery as ice when wet.   Bathroom floors were glossy ceramic tile.  Stepping out of the shower was just asking for a fall.  Surely there is a tile product with a little grit in it to give some traction to a wet foot.  One place had a nice looking asphalt tile with a wood grain pattern to it in the bedroom.  Looked OK, but was slippery as all hell when wet.   Place had big sliding glass windows, that leaked when it rained, giving puddles on the bedroom floor.  Nearly broke my neck getting up to go to the bathroom at night. 

  Improvement Number 2, go with US standard light switches.  Both places had groovy Euro style switches, that were hard to see, even by day, and didn't feel like light switches in the dark, when you need to turn the lights on. 

   And while we are at it, lets go with water faucets clearly marked for hot and cold water.  At least colored red for hot and blue for cold.  A single tiny color dot isn't enough.

   One place had high definition TV cabled into all the rooms.  The working channels did show nice video.  About half the channels showed just error messages suggesting I check the antenna connections.  Some channels flicked off and then on.  Changing channels was slow, it took the high def TV 10-15 seconds to lock onto the high def digital signal and show a picture.  The TV would not remember it's channel settings, so turning it on in the morning meant you had to go looking for a watchable channel all over again. 

   And signage.  The Holiday Inn folk had the right idea back in the '60s, big sign, bright lights, make sure every one can see the place.  The place in DC had a tiny little sign, hidden by the brighter lights of a gas station, that I missed in the dark.   

Glad to see three American's freed from North Korea

At least they got out of Kim's jails with their health, unlike poor Otto Warmbier.  All three of them are obviously of Korean ancestry, but the press has uniformly called them Americans, which is a good thing.  And the fact that Kim let them go indicates that Kim wants something from the Americans and he thought letting these guys go would put the Americans into a better frame of mind.