Who is going to win???

 

 I simply do not know. The polls suggest that Biden has a small to moderate lead. They said this last time, and were predicting a Hillary win right up until the last minute. The polls have some problems. They run a 1000 call telephone poll and get 100 sets of replies. The pollsters have to boil all those numbers down to a duality, votes for Trump, votes for Biden. To do this, they get the figures for Republican and Democrat registration for the district. Then they adjust the count, to match what they expect.

And there is the problem of the shy Trump voter. The left is so unpleasant toward Republicans that many of them simply refuse to express any party affiliation at all, not even to pollsters. Between all these factors, I believe the polls could be seriously in error.

And I see Trump rallies with tens of thousands of cheering people. I don't see any Biden rallies at all. Surely all that good Trump enthusiasm will show up in the election.

The Great Debate

Meh.  Neither Trump nor Biden made a serious gaffe.  I would rate it as a draw.  The two candidates did not interrupt each other like they did the last time.  An improvement.  Both guys threw out a lot of "facts", which I could not check, and in many cases I had never heard of before.  It is hard to evaluate arguments when the "facts" thrown out in support might be real and might be phony.  Biden denied taking any money from the Russians.  That's hard to believe.  If Hunter Biden received $3.5 mil from the Russians I cannot imagine that he did not split the take with "the big guy".  Nobody has denied the story about Hunter's Russian payoff.  Silence gives assent.  If they don't deny it, it is probably true.  Fox news has 12 days to check out Biden's "facts" and label some, or all of them false.  Unless Fox convinces us voters that Biden was telling really ugly whoppers, I think this much bally-hooed debate won't have much effect on the election.

Aviation Week proposes hydrogen to fuel airliners.

 Reason is that hydrogen burns cleaner than jet fuel.  The H2 burns in atmospheric oxygen and the result is just plain water, H2O. Whereas jet fuel, a hydrocarbon, burns down to CO2 and H2O.  The greenies love the idea of no C2O in the exhaust of jet liners.  Not mentioned is the source of all that hydrogen.  In real life, we get hydrogen by reforming natural gas, of which the frackers have given us a good supply.  Natural gas is a mixture of various hydrocarbons, methane CH4 being common.  There are a lot of other compounds in the natural gas, and reforming squeezes hydrogen out of the ones that have a bit more hydrogen than the methane.  So, to fuel up a single jetliner we need maybe 30,000 gallons of hydrogen, and makes that gives us another 30,000 gallons of reformed natural gas.  We may have squeezed all the excess hydrogen out of it, but it will still burn just fine.  So every gallon of hydrogen burned in flight, we burn another gallon of natural gas on the ground somewhere.  This is reducing CO2 in the air??  Never mind, greenies won't understand.  

To get enough hydrogen into the aircraft we have to liquefy it.  Takes a lot of refrigeration and a lot of pressure to get it liquid.  The aircraft's hydrogen tanks have to be very strong and round.  The standard aircraft practice of just filling up the wings with liquid fuel won't work, the wings cannot take the pressure.   Aviation Week didn't say much about that.  

   Every so often Aviation Week pushes something really crazy.  This year it is hydrogen.  Years ago they ran a cover story about a secret American single stage to orbit space plane that was actually flying.  That story ran in just that one issue and was never heard of again.

Big Tech censors Hunter Biden story. Sherman Anti Trust can fix.

 The New York Post broke a juicy story about Hunter Biden getting multi million dollar payoffs from China to get the Chinese an intro to Joe Biden, who was Vice President at the time.  Wow.  Twitter and Facebook decided to censor this story and they have been zapping off their site any mentions of it, copies of it, probably any post with "Hunter" in it anywhere. 

   This particular story is so juicy that I think most of us have seen it on other media.  But, I don't think it is right for a couple of big silicon valley companies to be censoring stories, let alone juicy stories.  What to do?

Use the anti monopoly provisions of the Sherman Anti Trust act to break both companies in half.  Each half gets half the users, half the advertisers, half the offices and employees.  Both half get new names.  Both halves will work hard to please their users and advertisers, lest said users and advertisers flee to the other half.  That will work better that any sort of government regulation.   

First snow of the 2020-2021 winter up in Franconia Notch.  We have 4 1/2 inches of wet snow down and it is still coming down lightly.  They haven't plowed yet. 
 

Columbus

 You gotta respect Columbus.  By opening the America's to European exploitation he doubled of tripled the amount of land that all of European history had played out in.  The western frontier, land for all, the Homestead Act, was only possible after Columbus discovered all that new land.  A European history that played out in the limited land of Europe would have been "nasty, brutish, and short".

   Columbus, for a tarry handed seaman, was all sorts of persuasive. He got the queen of Spain to hock the crown jewels to finance his first voyage.  He needed the money to charter or buy Nina, Pinta and full rigged ship Santa Maria.  

Columbus was a canny seaman.  He knew the Atlantic winds, way back in 1492.  He understood that the trade winds, a little south of Spain, blew toward America.  Once he got there, he knew that the westerlies, north around the latitude of New York, blew steadily back to Europe and he used them to get home.  He had a better understanding of North Atlantic winds than Christopher Jones, skipper of the Mayflower, had 130 years later.  Jones sailed into the teeth of the westerlies on his way to Plymouth Rock.  He nearly did not make it. 

Anyhow, lets keep Columbus day as it is.  If we want to do an American Indian day, pick some other date. 

Judge Barrett hearings

 Democrats are saying that Judge Barrett will strike down Roe vs Wade, Obamacare, Obergerfell (sp?) (the gay marriage ruling) and I forget what else.  I am pretty sure Judge Barrett will rule in accordance with the written law.  If that causes her to strike down any of these Democrat sacred cows, too bad.  Congress can pass new laws anytime it feels like it.  If they have the votes.  Getting enough votes to reinstate Roe vs Wade might be tough.  Same goes for reinstating Obama care or Obergerfell (sp?)