Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Terrible Timer (kitchen timer that is)

It was cheap, $3 and a skosh at Wally Mart.  It ain't loud enough.  The all metal sixty year old timer it replaced, had a good loud single "ding" loud enough to be heard all over the living room.  This new cheap all plastic wonder timer just ain't loud enough.  I have burned half a dozen things to a crisp because I failed to hear the too soft, too short, buzz the new plastic one makes. 
   The maker was ashamed of his product and failed to put his name on it.  It does have "Made in China" stamped in the inside.  It's all white, about 3 inches wide by 3 inches high, half round top.  If we ever get the stores open again I will look for something better. 

Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Teach the kids the US Constitution

At the end of the American Revolution there were 13 independent colonies.  Each colony had its own legislature to make laws, a governor to execute them, courts to enforce them, an army, a navy, a diplomatic corps, taxes, and an establishment that ran things.  In short everything you need to become an independent nation.  And the people who were the colonial establishment, the colonial legislature, the administration and the courts, wanted to keep their jobs, their influence, and their position.  They all feared a Continental government would usurp their powers, position and livelihood. 
   On the other hand they all feared the British would be back for round two. They all knew that none of them were strong enough to stand off the Redcoats single handed.  They knew they needed to present a united front to a hostile world.  They also knew that the existing Articles of Confederation were not working.  The Confederation lacked even the power to levy its own taxes. 
   So, when the call to a Constitutional Convention went out over George Washington's signature, all the colonies sent a delegation.  All the delegations were intent upon setting up a federal government to handle foreign affairs and national defense  but not one that took over their jobs back home.  Hence a lot of careful language in the Constitution outlining just what powers the new federal government might have, and those powers it would not have. 
   Kids ought to understand the separation of powers into the three branches of the Federal government.  Article 1 creates the Congress to make the laws.  Article 2 sets up the Executive branch to execute existing law but without power to make new law.  Article 3 sets up the federal courts and defines their jurisdiction.  Note that the state courts existing at the time handled ordinary criminal and civil matters and the federal courts were restricted to matters of federal law.  They cannot try a defendant for murder, murder is a state crime, not a federal one. 
   The Constitution had a lot of compromises and on the whole was a very successful document.  It still controls the United States today, with a mere 27 amendments over 230 years.   Of those 27, ten were applied right after the adoption of the Constitution and should really be considered part of the original deal.  That leaves a mere 17 amendments over the course of 230 years, a pretty good record for stability. 

Monday, April 27, 2020

Testing Corona virus to death

Tests don't cure disease.  For a doctor treating a patient, results of a Corona virus test are useful, and can guide his treatment.  Numbers I saw yesterday showed we have nearly one million Corona virus cases and we have conducted five million Corona virus tests.  Sounds to me like we have tested all, and more than all, the patients that doctors are treating.  
   But on TV I see various talking heads,  the network kind and the medical kind and the political kind, calling for more and more testing and claiming that we cannot let people get back to work until we have tested more and more people.
  Why?  If we are testing all the patients, what good does testing everyone in the country do?  Especially when the test is suspicious.  Testing comes back positive on a lot of people who are in good health and show no symptoms.  The medics all say these individuals are "asymptomatic" which is true but doesn't tell us much.  We more practical people might say the test shows a lot of false positives.  With such a test, more testing will make the Corona virus epidemic look worse.   The political and network talking heads are fine with that, they think news of worse Corona virus infection hurts Trump, and they are all dyed in the wool anti-Trumpers.
   Me, I think we need to get the country back to work before we run out of stuff, like food, fuel, clothing, personal protective equipment, prescription drugs, toilet paper and a zillion other things. You can see the shortages in every grocery store, lots of  empty shelves.

Sunday, April 26, 2020

Teach kids The Declaration of Independence

It offers a fine educational opportunity for kids of all ages.  Obtain a printed copy or download it and print it out.  Have the kids read parts of it aloud.  Start with the second paragraph of the Declaration, the one that starts off "We hold these truths to be self evident, that all men are created equal,..."  If you have daughters you might point out that "Men" as well as "Mankind" meant (and still means) the whole human race, women and men together.  That usage persists until the rise of feminism.  Tolkien, writing in the 1950's would write of "races of Elves and Dwarves, and Men".  You can also point out to both sons and daughters that this clause prohibits titles of nobility (Duke, Earl, Marquis, Baron, etc) in America and to Americans.  This occurred at a time when the Great Powers, England, Spain, Russia, and France, all had hereditary nobles.  The first part of the Declaration is still alive and meaningful.  Jefferson's later list of specific grievances against the British Crown are of lesser importance today.  The grievances are political grievances from 250 years ago and their time has largely passed.  In 1776 they were important.  The Declaration of Independence was also a declaration of war against the British Crown, and Jefferson wanted to rally as many Americans to the patriot cause as he could.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Should US States be able to declare bankruptcy?




Been some discussion of this on the TV news.  We have some states that are pretty deep underwater.  They keep themselves running by borrowing from banks and Gawd-knows-who.  Right now I believe the states are considered “sovereign risk”, which means they will never go bankrupt and can always pay back the loan by raising taxes.  So it is perfectly legal to loan states more money, all the money they want.  And if the state looks flaky, charge them a good stiff interest rate. 
   Should there be a state bankruptcy option, some deep under water states will take it, and the banks will loose money big time.  Which ought to make the banks more wary lending to states that will never be able to pay them back.  Sucker banks in New York loaned Puerto Rico $80 billion over the years.  Puerto Rico is never going to be able to pay that off, so they just got a special act of Congress allowing them to declare bankruptcy.  The sucker banks will have to kiss off $80 billion, which is enough to hurt even the big banks.  Puerto Rico is going to have to tighten its belt, because nobody in their right mind is going to loan them a dime for many many years. 
   It is reasonable for a state to borrow money for a long term capital project like new school buildings, new bridges, and new flood control projects.  It is not reasonable for a state to borrow money for ordinary operating expenses such as paying state workers salaries or pensions, plowing the roads, or fixing potholes.   If states could declare bankruptcy the banks would be more cautious lenders.  States that do declare bankruptcy will find that nobody will loan to them, which ought to be incentive enough to avoid doing bankruptcy.
   In short, allowing states to declare bankruptcy will save tax payers money, save the banks money, and cut down on “waste, fraud, and abuse” by the states.

Thursday, April 23, 2020

Consumer Reports is all about foreign cars, Detroit is dead

I picked up the New Cars version of Consumer Reports, big thick one topic special magazine.  I'm an old car buff, I thought I would see what CR thinks about the current crop of cars.  You never know, I might need to replace my fifteen year old Buick sometime.
   They wrote 57 pages comparing cars, best cconobox, best minivan, best this, best that, and so forth.  Virtually every single car they listed was a foreign car, Japan, Korea, Germany, and others.  A few, very few, US cars listed.  Chevy scored occasionally, so did Ford.  Very occasionally Dodge, Buick, and Cadillac.  Poor old Caddy was down to a single listing.  But 95% of all the listings were for foreign cars.  Better sell your Detroit motor stocks.  Detroit is doomed.
  One problem Detroit has is brand dilution,  Chevy is offering 16 different models, 7 SUV's or SUV wannabe', 4 sedans, 2 hot rods, 2 pickup trucks, and some odd balls.  That's too many.  Seven of 'em were things I had never heard of or seen before.  And I am a car buff and pay attention such things.  Average car buyer is less informed than I am.  If we have never heard of it, it ain't gonna sell.
  One problem is Chevy doesn't advertise on TV anymore. And the car rags like Road and Track, Car and Driver, Motor Trend, and their ilk are dying out.
   Another problem is Chevy isn't really serious about the econobox market.  The bulk of the cars on the road these days are little cheap econoboxes.  Chevy's offerings ain't cheap ($13K and $16 K) for Sonic (Sonic is a hedgehog and Beretta is an Italian handgun) and Spark (Spark suggests electrical trouble). Good names there.  Behemoths like GM need to sell into the high volume market.  There ain't enough guys with Corvette money to keep GM alive.

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

A New Windows loophole?

Got a kind of scary email this morning.  The From address was the password I use to log into my home desktop.  Dunno how he got that.  Windows has so many loopholes, he must have found another one.  I don't use that password for anything other than logging into the desktop.  The email claimed to have captured all my porn watching, and made an obscene movie of me and threatened to email both to all sorts of people.  I doubt the obscene movie part since the desktop lacks a camera and I have a piece of masking tape over the camera in the laptop.
   Any how I changed my password and started running anti virus programs. 

I went Grocery shopping today

Depressing.  Most everybody, including yours truly, was wearing face masks.  More empty shelves.  Higher prices.  Hamburger up to $6.99 a pound.  Beef running between $10 and $20 a pound.  The only chicken was 4 packs of skinless boneless tasteless breasts $3 a pound.  Far more than I can eat before it goes bad.  Consumer Reports magazine $13.  Supply chain is breaking down.
   Only good sight was gasoline at Exxon Mobil for only $1.84 a gallon. 

Monday, April 20, 2020

Thinking of purchasing your first firearm?



If you are new to firearms, you need to know the basic safety rules
  1. Always treat every gun as loaded.
  2. Never point a gun at anything you don’t intend to kill
  3. Keep your finger off the trigger and outside of the trigger guard until you are ready to fire.
  4. After picking up a firearm make sure it is unloaded.  Always open the chamber and make sure no cartridge is lurking therein.
Guns are made that shoot various different cartridges of vastly different powers, starting with .22 Long Rifle and working up to Dirty Harry’s 44 magnum and .223 and 30-30 and 30-06 and .308 Winchester and 12 gauge shotgun.  I can recommend firing the more potent cartridges before buying a gun chambered for them.  You may find that the report and recoil of the more potent cartridges is so bad that you cannot shoot them well.  In which case buy a gun chambered for a lesser cartridge that you can shoot well. 
    Guns need to fit you.  It’s like buying clothing.  Long guns want to have the correct length of stock, so that your trigger hand can reach the trigger comfortably.  Hand guns are pickier about feel.  I learned hand guns in the Air Force.  At the time, the Air Force issue handgun was a .38 caliber revolver of the sort the police used in those days.  That was one miserable gun to shoot.  The grip was too small, the grips were old and soaked in gun oil and slippery.  The piece would twist in my hand with each shot, making the second and third shots harder.  About that time I acquired an Army .45 automatic.  That was a joy to shoot; the grip filled my hand nicely, and was at the right angle to push straight back rather than twisting.  The piece was always just right in my hand for the next shot.  I strongly recommend getting to a range and shooting off a box of ammunition in the handgun you want to buy before laying out the money to buy it.  Long guns are not so critical; if the stock feels right in the store you will most likely be happy with it.   Little pocket pistols chambered for full house cartridges lack the weight to soak up the recoil and the short barrel creates an ear shattering report.   Full sized service pistols will serve you better with the full house cartridges.
   Once you have the gun, you need to shoot it if you expect to hit anything with it.  Once a month is good, a couple of times a year is the bare minimum.   Buy a pair of ear defenders and wear them.  Other wise the recoil and the report will shock you into a flinch that ruins your chances of hitting much of anything.  Use both hands to shoot a hand gun.  Before firing take a half breath and hold it.  Center the front sight on the target bullseye; line the front sight up in the rear sight. notch. Squeeze the trigger slowly and gently.  It should be a surprise when the gun fires. 

Sunday, April 19, 2020

That digital TV cable is noisy

The sound is full of clicks and pops and just roaring sounds and musical score leaking in from other channels.  To say nothing of ringing telephones, furniture moving noises and emergency vehicle sirens.  From the sound of it they have a fire truck, an ambulance, or police cruiser zipping by every few minutes.  They need to move the studio to a quieter part of town and keep telephones out of the studio.  And get maintenance to track down and eliminate those annoying electronical noises in their sound channel. 

Closing Northern Vermont University (NVU) Lyndon Campus


Front page, above the fold, story in this weekend’s Caledonian Record. UVM Chancellor Jeb Spaulding called for closing the Lyndon campus (and some other places too) Needless to say the caused a hue and cry from alumni, students, and local business people. All duly reported on in the Record.
As a New Hampshire resident, the doings over the border in Vermont are only of academic interest. But they did publish some figures on NVU employment that makes me wonder. NVU Lyndon has nearly 1000 students. It also has 700 employees. That’s a pretty plump student faculty ratio. Only 43 employees are full time faculty. I have to wonder what the other 657 employees do, other than draw their pay. And, they pay their faculty peanuts. Assistant professors only make $50,518. A full professor makes $66,000. Electrical engineering pays a lot better than that.
Far as I am concerned, a student faculty ratio of 20 is about right. That would be 50 professors. Nobody else on the payroll. The students mow the grass, shovel the snow, sweep the halls, wash the dishes, and do all the janitorial chores. We did this at my old high school; it only took an hour a day of student time. No paper pushers or administrators at all. Faculty does necessary paperwork, mostly grading papers and writing report cards. Unnecessary paperwork (most of it) just goes into file 13.
Let’s see, 50 faculty at $66,000 each a year is $3.3 million. 1000 students paying $ 11,250 tuition is $11.25 million. You would think that they could make ends meet. Maybe even afford a couple of maintenance guys to fix stuff.

Saturday, April 18, 2020

I filled the car up for $1.88 a gallon

Cheap, Cheap.  I was paying $2.80 not so long ago. 

"We are NOT running out of food." Say many Web posts.

Why do I have trouble believing that?  With most of the country out of work, we have to be loosing food production, food processing, and food distributing.  Most of us can see the empty shelves in the food stores.   I don't believe this is caused by panic buying.  This Corona virus thing has been going on for a month, plenty of time for the buying panic to die down and for the food supply chain to fill up the empty shelves.  The shelves are still empty which makes me think the food supply chain is breaking down. 
   The medics and the media are all in favor of keeping the country shut down forever, or at least until a vaccine becomes available, which the TV says will take a year, which is forever if you are an empty grocery shelf.  Hence the trickle of "We are NOT running out of food" Web posts. 

Thursday, April 16, 2020

TurboTax recommends Adobe Acrobat

Me, I don't e-file my taxes.  E-file means the Infernal Revenue Service can feed your return straight into their computers for audit.  I know I won't be getting a refund, so I'm in no hurry to have the IRS computers scanning my returns.  I print out a paper copy and mail it in.  Turbo Tax kindly informs me that the IRS has been complaining about the scannability of forms printed by anything other than Adobe Reader.  Groovy.  Should IRS contact me and bitch that they cannot scan my paper 1040, my reply to them will be "Get a better scan program" and "I plan to hand scribe my return next year. Get used to it."

Wednesday, April 15, 2020

My lawn is melted out but the Cannon ski trails are still white

Spring is making an attempt up here.  It is in the forties temp wise.  My lawn is free of snow and the winter shocked grass is attempting to green up.  But the ski trails up on Cannon Mountain are still white.  This comes from all the snow making over the winter, combined with both skiers and snow grooming machines packing the trails down into ice.  They run the groomers ever night during ski season, I can see their lights running up and down the trails in the dark. 

Tuesday, April 14, 2020

We need some new pronouns

We need a unisex pronoun for cases where the person could be either male or female.  Right now I write "he/she".  This comes up in discussions of literature.  Say I am discussing the protagonist.  That's a $5 word that means hero or heroine.   Writing "he/she" seems sort of odd.  For that matter I find myself writing "him/her" more often than is good.  The new pronouns I want do not declare the person to be transgender, They just would be for use in cases where the person might be of either sex.

The Food Supply Chain is breaking down

Today I ran some errands.  First off, a dump run.  Stuff has been piling up for two weeks and I can smell the kitchen trash can.  It's time.  Two weeks ago the Franconia dump was on emergency Corona virus mode and they were only taking the big Pay-as-you-throw bags.  Which left me with a trunk still full of bottles and cans.  Today we have a new plan, we gave up on recycling.  I just pitched my pay-as-you-throw bag and all the bottles, cans, old magazines, and mixed paper into the industrial strength trash masher we have down at the dump.  And so my trunk is empty for the first time in two weeks. 
   Then a quick stop at Walmarts for a 40 can carton of canned catfood.  Place was not too busy.  The Dunkin donuts concession is not operating.  No glazed donuts for breakfast.  Maybe a quarter of the customer were wearing  face masks.  A guy asked me how I got my "1" license plate.  Turns out he is a constituent.  I gave him my card, told him I was standing for re-election.
  Then I did Shaws.  Again not too busy and a quarter of the customers wearing face masks.  They are running out of a lotta stuff.  I was seeing a lot of strange brands of stuff that I never saw before.  I'm thinking they sold out of the good old brands we all recognize and buy, and to fill the shelves they put out the strange branded stuff.  I'm thinking we all need to go back to work before we run out of food. 

Monday, April 13, 2020

Discuss a book with the kids.




After they read a book (or see a movie or a stage play) you can discuss the book with them. Good leading questions about a work of fiction might be
1.  Who is the hero/heroine (protagonist is a unisex word that covers both sexes).  What motivates the protagonist?  What does the protagonist do?  Is it successful?
2. Who is the view point character?  (Dr. Watson is the classic fictional view point character).  Often the protagonist is the view point character.
3.  Who is the villain?  What makes him/her evil? 
4.  Does this story follow the classic story outline?  
   Protagonist is faced with a challenge of some sort.  He/she attempts to deal with the challenge.  The first (and perhaps some later challenges) overwhelm the protagonist.  At the climax of the story the protagonist makes one last do of die effort to deal with his challenge.  He/She either wins or looses, winning is customary but not necessary.  All after the climax is anti-climax.  Is the anti-climax (if present) necessary?  When do we readers learn what the challenge is?  And what might the challenge be?  How much does the outcome depend upon the protagonist's skill and cunning?  And how much upon pure good luck?  What is the anti-climax (if there is one) and is it necessary to the story.  
5.  Is it one of those modern stories where the protagonist merely serves as a punching bag thru out the story?  Like Catcher in the Rye.
6.  Is the protagonist believable and realistic?
7.  What shelf in the bookstore does this book belong on?  Romances?  Mysteries? Science fiction and fantasy?  Historical novels?  The everything else shelf? 

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Let's Reform the Federal Income Tax Code




I thought I had finished up my taxes.  I fed all the returns into TurboTax, ran the return checker, printed out the return, found envelopes and addressed them, wrote the checks.  Whew.  So I go and get the mail.  Damn, another K1 form in today’s mail.  I will have to punch that in and then reprint to whole return.
We could make the whole tax scene better with a go thorough tax reform. 
  1. Repeal the entire tax code.  And get rid of the huge stack of court rulings supporting the existing code.
  2. New tax code must be less than 100 pages.
  3. The tax code exists to raise the money the Feds need to operate.  It is not to encourage electric cars, windmills, solar roofs, home ownership, teaching school, or greenie plans to throw us back to the Stone Age.
  4. Income is money you made.  Doesn’t matter how you made it, or where you made it.  Income is income.  We scrap capital gains which exists to give stock holders a break.  You make some money trading stocks, that’s income.
  5. Foreign companies get treated the same as domestic companies.  Get rid of the K1 schedule and have them file a 1099 just like domestic companies.
  6. No deductions for anything except charitable giving.  Contributions to the Republican Party, the Democratic Party and the NRA are deductible. 
  7. We have three tax brackets, one for the truly poor, one for the really rich, and one for average working stiffs.  Tax rate for the truly poor is 5%; they have to pay something to teach them how much taxes hurt.  Tax rate for the average working stiff is 17%.  I have been doing taxes for 60 years, and every year when the 1040 is ready to file I wind up paying 17%.  And tax rate for the really rich ought to be double that, 34%.  Congress must reset the breakpoints (how much income puts you in which class) every 4 years.
  8. No more “foundations” which allow the really rich to dodge a lot of taxes.

Feel free to post your favorite tax reforms.


Friday, April 10, 2020

Have your kids change a tire.

This is for kids old enough to drive.  That's 16 in most places.  Have them find the spare tire in the family car.  (Is it in the trunk? is it slung underneath the minivan? Is it on the rear hatchback? Where could a Detroit yo-yo hide the spare this year?)  And find the jack and the lug wrench.  Note to parents, if your car doesn't have a jack and a lug wrench you ought to go out and get them.  Town dump and auto junk yards ought to have old ones.  Get the kid[s] to set the parking brake before jacking up the car.  Pop the hub cap off.  Have them loosen the lug nuts while the weight of the car is on the flat wheel.  After the car is up on the jack, the necessary heave-ho needed to break the lug nuts loose may throw the car off the jack.  Loosen means less than one quarter turn.  A small can of penetrating oil will help with rusty and stuck lug nuts.  With the car jacked up, back off  all the lug nuts, put them in the hubcap, and pull the flat wheel off.  Put the spare on.  Put the lug nuts back on, tighten lightly, don't knock the car off the jack.  Lower the jack and then tighten all the lug nuts.  Put the hubcap back on.  Check the air pressure in the spare.  It has been aging in the trunk for years and it might have a slow leak and be close to flat itself.  If the spare isn't too flat, drive down to the nearest gas station that has air and pump it up.  This part is easier if you have a tire pressure gauge in the car.  They are only a few dollars at the auto parts store.  For extra credit get the kid[s] to stow the flat wheel, the jack, and the lug wrench so that they won't rattle when you hit a bump. 

Wednesday, April 8, 2020

British Labor Party gets new leadership

The US TV has not had a word about it, but an email reached me from the American Jewish Congress.  It congratulates the new leader of the Labor party, Ken Starmer opon his election.  The old Labor party leader, leftie Jeremy Corbyn, was outspokenly anti-Semitic,  anti-American, and an all around PITA for the Brits and for us.  Good riddance to Corbyn.  Ken Starmer is a new name to me, I never heard of him before, and I have no idea where he is coming from. 
   Surprising that the MSM has said nothing about this fairly serious change in British leadership.

Google is going wild. 1318 page views today.

Used to be blogger would show a few pageviews a day, if that.  Then I had an 800 page view day, a lull abd 1318 pageviews today.  Looks like the Google software weenies messed something up.

There are a lot of brain dead manufacturers out there

Those are the ones who fail to put their company name on their product.  If they had two brain cells firing they would always put their name and Made in USA on everything they make.  It's good for sales.  It's the best advertising they can get.
   We consumers ought to understand that products that are not marked Made in USA are probably made in China.

Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Why I don’t trust computer models.




A computer model is nothing more than a computer program that computes how something will change over time, Global warming, Corona virus, you name it, is going to work out.  I have written and tested plenty of computer models over a long career in R&D and programming.  When you start programming a computer model, you already have a clear idea of what you want the model to say.  If the model doesn’t say what you want it to say, you start fixing the code.  Work hard enough and the model will say what you want it to say if especially if you are willing to cheat.  One greenie climate change program had a line of code that read “If date younger than 1945 add a few degrees.  If date younger than 1955 add a few more.”  This bit of code came from the Hadley Climate Research Unit (CRU) and created Mann’s “hockey stick” plot of world temperature. 
   Any how a model (or two or other models) predicted massive infection rates of Corona virus world wide.  It is beginning to look like that model’s frightening predictions of infection, need for hospital beds, ventilators, and what ever, are not true, and the Corona virus epidemic is not as bad as the model predicted.  It is still pretty bad, but not as bad as the model predicted.

Mail in balloting is voter fraud.

What with Corona virus keeping everybody indoors, the Democrats are calling for mail in voting.  They figure the massive voter fraud this would cause will help the Democrats.  In this day and age of Xerox machines, PC's with very decent ink jet and laser printers, digital camera's everywhere to photograph any real paperwork (ballots, ID's what ever) needed to vote.  A simple program running on a  PC can crank out authentic looking ballots for every registered voter in the state.  And print address labels, or even envelopes with return addresses up in the left hand corner for them.  Add some stamps,  or go business reply mail, and you can swamp the electoral commissions with truck loads of good looking, but fake  ballots.  God help the voting commission when some one, appearing in person, demands to vote, and the town clerk refuses because the mail in ballot box stuffers have already voted that voter by mail. 
   Far as I am concerned, voters ought to brave the Corona virus infected streets, get to the polls, show their NH drivers licenses to poll workers who know everybody in town by sight,  and fill out an official ballot in a secure voting booth.  And get checked off on the voter rolls one by one. And personally drop their ballot into a ballot box.  Up here we still use antique wooden ballot boxes. 

Trump's daily Corona virus updates preempt Fox News

Used to be Brett Bauer and Britt Hume came on at 6 PM with the news of the day.  Now Trump comes on  a little of 6 PM, and briefs on the virus, zaps obnoxious lefty reporters, and takes hostile questions for about an hour.  Fox news doesn't get a shot at the audience until Trump is finished close to 7 PM.

Monday, April 6, 2020

Season 8 Game of Thrones




Meh.  So far I have watched the first three episodes.  First episode opens with Jaime Lannister on trial at Winterfell, before Sansa Stark and Danaris Targarien, neither of whom like him very much.  Jaime is explaining that although his sister Cercei is reneging on her promise to send troops to defend Winterfell against the invasion of the White Walkers, he feels he must come and join the fight.  After that opening not much else in the episode.  Episode 2 the army of the White Walkers has surrounded Winterfell and far outnumbers the defenders. Everyone knows that battle starts in the morning.  They gather round and do some serious drinking.  Lighting is so bad that I could only identify who was who by listening for distinctive tones of voice.  Best short part, perennial tomboy Arya decides that since she will probably die in battle tomorrow she might as well get laid for the first time this evening.  She hooks up with former king Robert Baratheon’s bastard son, good looking young guy who is into black smithery.  They kiss, clothes come off, and they get into bed.  The scene ends before we can hear any pillow talk between them.  Episode 3 is the actual day of battle and is remarkable for having absolutely no lines of dialog between any characters, for the entire hour long episode.  Attack begins at 0’dark thirty, and the sun never does come up.  It is too dark to figure out what is going on, except for a couple of short scenes of dragons swooping down and doing the flame thrower thing on the enemy.
   Not sure if I have the energy to watch the rest of the season.

Sunday, April 5, 2020

Toy Boat Woodshop for the Kids.


    Running out of things to keep the kids interested?  Teach them some wood shop.  Make some toy boats.  Make the hull from a board, or even a bit of 2 by 4, what ever you have.  Cut a bow.  Mark the middle of the board.  Lay a square (any kind, T-square, combination square, Speed square, what ever you have) across the hull, some inches back from the bow end, and draw a pencil line clean across the hull.  They draw diagonal lines to mark the bow from the middle of the end back to the square line.  That will give a symmetrical bow when you saw both sides of it.  You can cut the bow with any kind of hand saw, cross cut, miter, hack, coping; use what ever you have.  You can leave the stern square, or you can make a pair of 45 degree cuts to round it off a bit.  You can use a plane or a spoke shave to smooth and round the hull. 
   You need a cabin, a piece of wood nailed on lengthwise.  You need a bridge that is a short piece of wood, atop the cabin and cross wise up front.  You ought to have a smoke stack, although we left that detail off a lot of toy boats we built in the distant past.  For a stack you need something round, a bit of dowel, a bit of broomstick, a bit of PVC pipe, whatever.  Drill a hole in the cabin top.  Secure it with glue, white glue of yellow carpenters glue for wood, epoxy or superglue for PVC pipe.  The glue will bond better to PVC if you clean it with hot water and soap, or solvent (alcohol, paint thinner, acetone, lacquer thinner). 

Saturday, April 4, 2020

Do I believe Corona virus numbers coming out of China???

I ought to say "No" but lets just say I am deeply suspicious.  I think the communist government has total control of the news coming out of China, and I suspect that they make up what ever Corona virus numbers they think makes China look good.   If you are making up world statistics, like how many cases or how many deaths world wide, I would be tempted to simply leave out the numbers from China. 

Friday, April 3, 2020

What is the Corona virus death rate?

Death rate is calculated by dividing the number of deaths by the number of cases, and multiplying the resulting fraction by 100 to make it into percent.  So far so good.  We are pretty sure that we don't know the true number of cases of Corona virus (COVID-19).  We only call it a case when some brand new test comes back positive.  We are no where near to testing everybody.  At a guess (wild ass guess, WAG) there are two or three times as many cases out there than the ones we know about.  We expect that as we do more testing, we will find more cases, which reduces the death rate.  Right now, using the numbers we have, the death rate from Corona virus is somewhere between  1 or 2 percent. 
  Listening to the TV this morning I hear about people who look healthy, feel good, show no symptoms. are testing positive for Corona virus.  This might be something wrong with the test (it's brand new and we haven't had time to check everything), or it might be these people have a good strong immune system, or the grace of God, or something that keeps them healthy.  We don't know if these people are infectious.  Maybe they are, maybe they are not.  Should these people be counted as cases of the disease?  Is it reasonable to call healthy people sick just because a test comes back positive? 

Thursday, April 2, 2020

Spring snow. I have two inches down on the deck

And it is still falling.  Stupid Beast wanted out, even though it was snowing.  So I let her out, it was only a degree or two above freezing.  I left the door unlatched.  She understands that she can get back in by just pushing on the door.  She never closes the door behind her, but that is cats for you.  Spring must have missed her plane. 

What do the medics and the newsies want? Really?


The medics on TV seem more concerned with studies and papers about Corona virus than they do with curing patients.  They seem to be saying that by curing patients you upset their statistical studies of the disease.  I believe that doctors ought to be curing patients, not collecting statistics and doing studies. 
    Back in sailing ship days a British ship’s doctor came up with a cure for scurvy.  He proved his cure worked with a double blind experiment.  Half the patients got his cure and the other half got a fake (a placebo).  Neither the patient nor the doctor knew which was which to prevent preconceptions from influencing the reported results.  It was feared that the doctor writing up the patient’s progress would be tempted to report that patients receiving the real stuff were doing better than patients getting the placebo.  Hence keeping the doctor ignorant (blind) improved the objectivity of the experiment.  It’s good science, but it’s hard on the patients given the placebo. This "double blind" technique is still considered the proper way to test drugs and treatments now in the 21st century.
   Anyhow, the medics pontificating on TV about Corona virus seem more interested in good science rather than curing patients.  And the TV personalities seem more interested in trashing President Trump for his favorable comments on hydroxyl chloroquine than discussing how well it works. 
   Another strange thing.  Various bureaucrats, FDA, CDC, and others, seem to think that doctors may not proscribe “off-label” uses of drugs without their bureaucratic permission.  Me, I think the decision should lie with the doctor and patient, which means mostly with the doctor.  Most patients cheerfully accept anything their doctor says is good for them.  “You are the doctor” is the usual cliché.”  As it is, doctors are reluctant to discuss off label drug uses for fear of professional or bureaucratic retaliation.  

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Networking Windows 10


Used to be, back when Windows XP ruled the land, that you could connect two computers and move files between them.  Somehow (Micro$oft programming weenies probably) that capability has been lost.  I have a desktop and a laptop, both running Windows 10.  They both talk to my wifi router; they both are connected to the internet.  I would like to back up a bunch of files on the desktop to the laptop.  So far I cannot do it.  Neither machine can see the other machine, let alone transfer files. 
   There oughta be a way, but so far I have not found it.