John Podhoretz writing in Commentary thinks that unlike 06, the Republicans have a good chance in 08. Podhoretz sees Iraq as the major driving force behind both the Republican loss in 06 and the chances for victory in 08. He attributes the rout in 06 as a combination of terrible performance in Iraq, Katrina, the Harriet Miers nomination, and the immigration bill of 06. He sees the improved Iraq situation, the Democratic failure to pull the troops out, as decisive. He says the democratic nominee has two choices on Iraq, alienate the hard left by going for victory or alienating the independent voters who see no reason to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
Podhoretz' best bit:
"...according to polls, the present Democratic leadership in Congress is the object of an icy public scorn several degrees cooler even than the permafrost in which George W. Bush has been embalmed. "