Thursday, July 4, 2013

Egypt is more important than it looks

Egypt is one center of the Arab world.  (Iraq is the other).  Egypt became Moslem back in Mohammed's time.  To Moslems it is a holy land, not the holiest perhaps, but still holy.  The University of Cairo has been granting degrees since medieval times.  Arab fashion, art, literature, music, newspapers, all the cultural things are centered in Cairo.  The rest of the Arab world looks to Egypt for leadership, for ideology, for news.  Young Arabs are sent to Cairo for their education (at least those that are not sent to the United States).  Egypt is a trend setter, an example setter. 
   Yesterday's overthrow of the Islamist Morsi regime is very important.   It says, loud and clear, in an Arab voice, that Islamism is rejected by the mass of the Arab population.  This is the best thing we could have hoped for.  It may provide an example for the rest of the Middle East.  Turkey in particular.  
   Egypt now needs a decent regime, run by decent men, to bring some order out of chaos, get their economy working again, well enough to avert famine, and get the security situation in hand sufficiently to bring the tourists back. 
   I have no idea which Egyptians are presidential timber.  I don't read or speak Arabic, I have never been in the country.  But State Dept or CIA ought to have some idea.  At a minimum they should have a list of each Egyptian's standing, where he comes from, who supports him, where he was educated, what his political views are.  The US ought to quietly contact these people, at least the ones that we think would do Egypt some good, and assure them of our friendship, offer them help.  Lotta things we can help with, money, an internet presence, radio and TV broadcasting facilities, visas, air tickets, intelligence, arms and ammunition, economic development.  All we have to do is guarantee secrecy.
   Should it come out that El So-and-so is in the pay of the Americans, it's a death sentence for El So-and-so.  CIA has a terrible record in this regard, and State isn't much better.  Right now US military officers would be more convincing go betweens than anyone from the intelligence community.
 

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